Taylor Morrison (TMHC): are the analysts right?

Taylor Morrison · Consumer Discretionary · ref. ETF XLY · 55 calls · price $71.85
What the company does: Taylor Morrison construit et vend des maisons individuelles et multifamiliales pour acheteurs résidentiels aux États-Unis.
📈 1-year price
$71.77+14.7% over range
Jul 8, 25low $54.79 · high $71.98Jul 7, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
13% recommend buying · 8 analysts
⚠️ The stock trades above the median target: it has beaten expectations. The “Hold” reflects conviction on the company, but the remaining quantified upside is low/negative.

🎯 Analyst price target on TMHC

High target · 2 analysts$72.5+0.9%
Median target · 5 analysts$69-4.0%
Low target · 1 analyst$49-31.8%
Current price$71.85

🗳️ The analyst consensus

Analyst breakdown · 8 (6 months)
Strong Buy0%
Buy13%
Hold75%
Sell13%
Strong Sell0%

✅ Historical analyst reliability on TMHC

Most reliable analysts on TMHC (% profitable · 365j · ≥2 calls)
B. Riley Securities 100% +86.3% 5
Barclays 67% +2.6% 3
RBC Capital 60% +0.7% 5
JP Morgan 50% +2.3% 2
BTIG 50% -2.2% 2
Wedbush 50% -2.8% 2
Raymond James 0% -11.1% 2

📊 What $1,000 invested in Taylor Morrison would be worth

In short — $1,000 invested in Taylor Morrison 10 years ago would be worth $4,484 today, i.e. +16%/yr on average. Best year: 2023 (+76%), worst: 2018 (-35%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Taylor Morrison

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$1,172+17%
3 years ago$2,364+136%
5 years ago$2,797+180%
10 years ago$4,484+348%
since inception (2013)$2,777+178%

Return by year (Taylor Morrison)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+22%$1,219 (+22%)
2025-4%$1,172 (+17%)
2024+15%$1,345 (+34%)
2023+76%$2,364 (+136%)
2022-13%$2,052 (+105%)
2021+36%$2,797 (+180%)
2020+17%$3,282 (+228%)
2019+37%$4,512 (+351%)
2018-35%$2,932 (+193%)
2017+27%$3,725 (+272%)
2016+20%$4,484 (+348%)
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

👥 Analysts & forecasts📊 Returns & performance
📈 Fundamentals, technical momentum and live news will show here on the final site (loaded live from the same origin as the API).

📋 All analyst calls on TMHC

Raymond James
Jun 26, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on TMHC : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.8% · +7.5% (213 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 26, 27
■ Peer Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on TMHC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35% · -12.7% (20 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 10, 27
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$72.5
Price at call : $71.54 — gap to target +1%
Today : $71.85 — gap to target +1%
🎯 on TMHC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 2, 27
RBC Capital
Jun 2, 26
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$72.5
Price at call : $71.54 — gap to target +1%
Today : $71.85 — gap to target +1%
🎯 on TMHC : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 2, 27
Citizens
Jun 1, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on TMHC : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 1, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$72.5
Price at call : $71.5 — upside +1%
Today : $71.85 — upside +1%
🎯 on TMHC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 1, 27
RBC Capital
Jun 1, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$72.5
Price at call : $71.5 — upside +1%
Today : $71.85 — upside +1%
🎯 on TMHC : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 1, 27
RBC Capital
Apr 23, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$69
Price at call : $63.24 — upside +9%
Today : $71.85 — upside -4%
🎯 on TMHC : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 23, 27
Barclays
Apr 23, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$69
Price at call : $63.24 — upside +9%
Today : $71.85 — upside -4%
🎯 on TMHC : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 23, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68
Price at call : $61.94 — gap to target +10%
Today : $71.85 — gap to target -5%
🎯 on TMHC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.8% · +1.2% (308 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 20, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$80
Price at call : $60.64 — upside +32%
Today : $71.85 — upside +11%
🎯 on TMHC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 16, 27
Barclays
Apr 8, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$68
Price at call : $60.28 — upside +13%
Today : $71.85 — upside -5%
🎯 on TMHC : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 8, 27
▼ Sell · 🎯$49
Price at call : $55.94 — upside -12%
Today : $71.85 — upside -32%
🎯 on TMHC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 69.2% · +14.7% (26 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$85
Price at call : $63.53 — upside +34%
Today : $71.85 — upside +18%
🎯 on TMHC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 4, 27
RBC Capital
Feb 12, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$68
Price at call : $68.86 — upside -1%
Today : $71.85 — upside -5%
🎯 on TMHC : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 12, 27
Barclays
Feb 12, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$70
Price at call : $68.86 — upside +2%
Today : $71.85 — upside -3%
🎯 on TMHC : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 12, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $63.27 — gap to target +11%
Today : $71.85 — gap to target -3%
🎯 on TMHC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.8% · +1.2% (308 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 16, 27
Citizens
Jan 7, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$95
Price at call : $58.44 — upside +63%
Today : $71.85 — upside +32%
🎯 on TMHC : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 7, 27
RBC Capital
Oct 23, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$68
Price at call : $60.35 — upside +13%
Today : $71.85 — upside -5%
🎯 on TMHC : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$72
Price at call : $60.6 — upside +19%
Today : $71.85 — upside +0%
🎯 on TMHC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.8% · +1.2% (308 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 10, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $67.76 — upside +11%
Today : $71.85 — upside +4%
🎯 on TMHC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.8% · +1.2% (308 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 18, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$85
Price at call : $64.31 — upside +32%
Today : $71.85 — upside +18%
🎯 on TMHC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 69.2% · +14.7% (26 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 23, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $58.94 — upside +19%
Today : $71.85 — upside -3%
Expected +19% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.8% · +1.2% (308 calls)
+0.9%
stock +1% · XLY +18%
Barclays
Apr 24, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$69
Price at call : $57.62 — upside +20%
Today : $71.85 — upside -4%
Expected +20% · Actual +9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
+9.3%
stock +9% · XLY +19%
Wedbush
Apr 23, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$85
Price at call : $58.14 — upside +46%
Today : $71.85 — upside +18%
Expected +46% · Actual +9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.2% · +6.9% (242 calls)
+8.8%
stock +9% · XLY +22%
Barclays
Apr 8, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$70
Price at call : $57.42 — upside +22%
Today : $71.85 — upside -3%
Expected +22% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
+5.0%
stock +5% · XLY +15%
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $62.29 — gap to target -12%
Today : $71.85 — gap to target -23%
🎯 on TMHC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 69.2% · +14.7% (26 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 6, 26
JP Morgan
Feb 18, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$82
Price at call : $61.9 — upside +32%
Today : $71.85 — upside +14%
Expected +32% · Actual +8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.8% · +0.7% (360 calls)
+8.4%
stock +8% · XLY +3%
RBC Capital
Feb 13, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$74
Price at call : $64.18 — upside +15%
Today : $71.85 — upside +3%
Expected +15% · Actual +6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)
+6.1%
stock +6% · XLY +2%
▼ Sell
Actual -9% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 69.2% · +14.7% (26 calls)
+8.7%
stock -9% · XLY +6%
JP Morgan
Dec 13, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$90
Price at call : $64.72 — upside +39%
Today : $71.85 — upside +25%
Expected +39% · Actual -4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.8% · +0.7% (360 calls)
-3.9%
stock -4% · XLY +3%
Barclays
Dec 11, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$90
Price at call : $67.47 — upside +33%
Today : $71.85 — upside +25%
Expected +33% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
-6.6%
stock -7% · XLY +2%
Raymond James
Oct 29, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$84
Price at call : $69.42 — upside +21%
Today : $71.85 — upside +17%
Expected +21% · Actual -15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.8% · +7.5% (213 calls)
-14.8%
stock -15% · XLY +17%
Wedbush
Oct 25, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$85
Price at call : $69.89 — upside +22%
Today : $71.85 — upside +18%
Expected +22% · Actual -14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.2% · +6.9% (242 calls)
-14.4%
stock -14% · XLY +20%
BTIG
Oct 24, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$86
Price at call : $68.52 — upside +26%
Today : $71.85 — upside +20%
Expected +26% · Actual -13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.1% · -1.4% (38 calls)
-12.7%
stock -13% · XLY +20%
RBC Capital
Oct 24, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$77
Price at call : $68.52 — upside +12%
Today : $71.85 — upside +7%
Expected +12% · Actual -13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)
-12.7%
stock -13% · XLY +20%
Barclays
Oct 24, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $68.36 — gap to target +10%
Today : $71.85 — gap to target +4%
🎯 on TMHC : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 24, 25
Wedbush
Oct 23, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $68.36 — gap to target -5%
Today : $71.85 — gap to target -10%
🎯 on TMHC : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.2% · +6.9% (242 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 25
BTIG
Aug 19, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$78
Price at call : $63.48 — upside +23%
Today : $71.85 — upside +9%
Expected +23% · Actual +8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.1% · -1.4% (38 calls)
+8.4%
stock +8% · XLY +24%
▲ Outperform
Actual +14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
+14.5%
stock +14% · XLY +29%
RBC Capital
Jul 25, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$74
Price at call : $67.29 — upside +10%
Today : $71.85 — upside +3%
Expected +10% · Actual -10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)
-10.0%
stock -10% · XLY +24%
Barclays
Jul 25, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$72
Price at call : $67.29 — gap to target +7%
Today : $71.85 — gap to target +0%
🎯 on TMHC : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 25, 25
Wedbush
Jul 25, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $67.29 — gap to target -3%
Today : $71.85 — gap to target -10%
🎯 on TMHC : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.2% · +6.9% (242 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 25, 25
Raymond James
Jul 24, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$75
Price at call : $65.58 — upside +14%
Today : $71.85 — upside +4%
Expected +14% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.8% · +7.5% (213 calls)
-7.4%
stock -7% · XLY +23%
Barclays
Jul 12, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$62
Price at call : $61.44 — gap to target +1%
Today : $71.85 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on TMHC : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 12, 25
RBC Capital
May 1, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$63
Price at call : $56.25 — upside +12%
Today : $71.85 — upside -12%
Expected +12% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)
+4.7%
stock +5% · XLY +14%
Wedbush
May 1, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$61
Price at call : $56.06 — gap to target +9%
Today : $71.85 — gap to target -15%
🎯 on TMHC : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.2% · +6.9% (242 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 25
Wedbush
Apr 30, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $56.01 — gap to target -2%
Today : $71.85 — gap to target -23%
🎯 on TMHC : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.2% · +6.9% (242 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy
🎯 on TMHC : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 12, 25
RBC Capital
Feb 15, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$61
Price at call : $54.75 — upside +11%
Today : $71.85 — upside -15%
Expected +11% · Actual +15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TMHC : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)
+15.1%
stock +15% · XLY +26%
▲ Buy · 🎯$36
Price at call : $25.42 — upside +42%
Today : $71.85 — upside -50%
Expected +42% · Actual +44% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TMHC : 100% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49% · +25.0% (49 calls)
+43.8%
stock +44% · XLY -20%
▲ Buy · 🎯$25
Price at call : $20.46 — upside +22%
Today : $71.85 — upside -65%
Expected +22% · Actual +21% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TMHC : 100% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49% · +25.0% (49 calls)
+21.3%
stock +21% · XLY +39%
▲ Buy · 🎯$19
Price at call : $15.74 — upside +21%
Today : $71.85 — upside -74%
Expected +21% · Actual +103% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TMHC : 100% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49% · +25.0% (49 calls)
+103.4%
stock +103% · XLY +49%
▲ Buy · 🎯$23
Price at call : $8.59 — upside +168%
Today : $71.85 — upside -68%
Expected +168% · Actual +260% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TMHC : 100% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49% · +25.0% (49 calls)
+260.4%
stock +260% · XLY +83%
▲ Buy · 🎯$26
Price at call : $22.89 — upside +14%
Today : $71.85 — upside -64%
Expected +14% · Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TMHC : 100% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49% · +25.0% (49 calls)
+2.5%
stock +2% · XLY +15%
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)