TopBuild Corp. (BLD): are the analysts right?

TopBuild Corp. · Consumer Discretionary · ref. ETF XLY · 67 calls · price $366.32
What the company does: TopBuild installe et distribue de l'isolant et des matériaux de construction.
📈 1-year price
$354.53-0.7% over range
Jul 8, 25low $335.39 · high $550.9Jul 2, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
25% recommend buying · 8 analysts

🎯 Analyst price target on BLD

High target · 3 analysts$500+36.5%
Median target · 7 analysts$475+29.7%
Low target · 1 analyst$407+11.1%
Current price$366.32

🗳️ The analyst consensus

Analyst breakdown · 8 (6 months)
Strong Buy0%
Buy25%
Hold75%
Sell0%
Strong Sell0%

✅ Historical analyst reliability on BLD

Most reliable analysts on BLD (% profitable · 365j · ≥2 calls)
Loop Capital 100% +43.5% 2
DA Davidson 100% +24.1% 3
Benchmark 63% +23.6% 8
Evercore ISI Group 57% -2.0% 7
BTIG 33% +5.3% 6

📊 What $1,000 invested in TopBuild Corp. would be worth

In short — $1,000 invested in TopBuild Corp. 10 years ago would be worth $11,522 today, i.e. +28%/yr on average. Best year: 2023 (+139%), worst: 2022 (-43%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in TopBuild Corp.

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$1,139+14%
3 years ago$2,266+127%
5 years ago$1,926+93%
10 years ago$11,522+1052%
since inception (2015)$12,327+1133%

Return by year (TopBuild Corp.)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)-15%$850 (-15%)
2025+34%$1,139 (+14%)
2024-17%$947 (-5%)
2023+139%$2,266 (+127%)
2022-43%$1,285 (+28%)
2021+50%$1,926 (+93%)
2020+79%$3,439 (+244%)
2019+129%$7,878 (+688%)
2018-41%$4,681 (+368%)
2017+113%$9,959 (+896%)
2016+16%$11,522 (+1052%)
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

👥 Analysts & forecasts📊 Returns & performance
📈 Fundamentals, technical momentum and live news will show here on the final site (loaded live from the same origin as the API).

📋 All analyst calls on BLD

Loop Capital
May 6, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$485
Price at call : $428.03 — gap to target +13%
Today : $366.32 — gap to target +32%
🎯 on BLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60% · +9.8% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
DA Davidson
May 6, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$437
Price at call : $438.93 — gap to target -0%
Today : $366.32 — gap to target +19%
🎯 on BLD : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.2% · -5.8% (80 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
JP Morgan
Apr 21, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$496
Price at call : $452.82 — gap to target +10%
Today : $366.32 — gap to target +35%
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.8% · +0.7% (360 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 21, 27
DA Davidson
Apr 20, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$465
Price at call : $469.92 — upside -1%
Today : $366.32 — upside +27%
🎯 on BLD : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.2% · -5.8% (80 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 20, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$407
Price at call : $400.58 — gap to target +2%
Today : $366.32 — gap to target +11%
🎯 on BLD : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.4% · -6.7% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 13, 27
Wells Fargo
Apr 8, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$475
Price at call : $384.47 — upside +24%
Today : $366.32 — upside +30%
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 8, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 69.2% · +14.7% (26 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 27
DA Davidson
Mar 18, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$465
Price at call : $346.98 — upside +34%
Today : $366.32 — upside +27%
🎯 on BLD : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.2% · -5.8% (80 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 18, 27
RBC Capital
Feb 27, 26
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$433
Price at call : $438.95 — gap to target -1%
Today : $366.32 — gap to target +18%
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 27, 27
Wells Fargo
Feb 27, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$525
Price at call : $438.95 — upside +20%
Today : $366.32 — upside +43%
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 27, 27
Benchmark
Feb 27, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$500
Price at call : $438.95 — upside +14%
Today : $366.32 — upside +36%
🎯 on BLD : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.5% · +2.5% (40 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 27, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$471
Price at call : $448.3 — gap to target +5%
Today : $366.32 — gap to target +29%
🎯 on BLD : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.4% · -6.7% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 27, 27
Wells Fargo
Feb 11, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$600
Price at call : $537.33 — upside +12%
Today : $366.32 — upside +64%
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 11, 27
Wells Fargo
Jan 14, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$540
Price at call : $500.68 — upside +8%
Today : $366.32 — upside +47%
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 14, 27
Jefferies
Dec 15, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$536
Price at call : $428.59 — upside +25%
Today : $366.32 — upside +46%
🎯 on BLD : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · +2.2% (145 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 15, 26
DA Davidson
Dec 10, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$485
Price at call : $444.02 — upside +9%
Today : $366.32 — upside +32%
🎯 on BLD : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.2% · -5.8% (80 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 10, 26
RBC Capital
Nov 20, 25
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$410
Price at call : $431.15 — gap to target -5%
Today : $366.32 — gap to target +12%
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 20, 26
Wells Fargo
Nov 17, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$500
Price at call : $411.81 — upside +21%
Today : $366.32 — upside +36%
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 17, 26
DA Davidson
Nov 5, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$485
Price at call : $405.71 — upside +20%
Today : $366.32 — upside +32%
🎯 on BLD : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.2% · -5.8% (80 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 5, 26
Benchmark
Nov 5, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$515
Price at call : $405.63 — upside +27%
Today : $366.32 — upside +41%
🎯 on BLD : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.5% · +2.5% (40 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 5, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$448
Price at call : $405.63 — gap to target +10%
Today : $366.32 — gap to target +22%
🎯 on BLD : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.4% · -6.7% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 5, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$510
Price at call : $423.22 — upside +21%
Today : $366.32 — upside +39%
🎯 on BLD : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 51.2% · +4.7% (256 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$449
Price at call : $423.22 — gap to target +6%
Today : $366.32 — gap to target +23%
🎯 on BLD : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.4% · -6.7% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$390
Price at call : $423.22 — gap to target -8%
Today : $366.32 — gap to target +6%
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$424
Price at call : $390.86 — gap to target +8%
Today : $366.32 — gap to target +16%
🎯 on BLD : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.4% · -6.7% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 29, 26
Benchmark
Aug 6, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$444
Price at call : $413.17 — upside +7%
Today : $366.32 — upside +21%
🎯 on BLD : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.5% · +2.5% (40 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 6, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$418
Price at call : $404.33 — gap to target +3%
Today : $366.32 — gap to target +14%
🎯 on BLD : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.4% · -6.7% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 6, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$450
Price at call : $404.33 — upside +11%
Today : $366.32 — upside +23%
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 69.2% · +14.7% (26 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 6, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$370
Price at call : $404.33 — gap to target -8%
Today : $366.32 — gap to target +1%
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 5, 26
Loop Capital
Jul 9, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$400
Price at call : $384.77 — upside +4%
Today : $366.32 — upside +9%
🎯 on BLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60% · +9.8% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 26
JP Morgan
Jul 9, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$398
Price at call : $384.77 — upside +3%
Today : $366.32 — upside +9%
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.8% · +0.7% (360 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$400
Price at call : $378.8 — upside +6%
Today : $366.32 — upside +9%
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.8% · +1.2% (308 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 26
Loop Capital
May 8, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$360
Price at call : $295.26 — upside +22%
Today : $366.32 — upside -2%
Expected +22% · Actual +44% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on BLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60% · +9.8% (45 calls)
+43.8%
stock +44% · XLY +18%
DA Davidson
May 8, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$395
Price at call : $295.26 — upside +34%
Today : $366.32 — upside +8%
Expected +34% · Actual +44% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on BLD : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.2% · -5.8% (80 calls)
+43.8%
stock +44% · XLY +18%
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$320
Price at call : $295.26 — gap to target +8%
Today : $366.32 — gap to target -13%
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 61.8% · +18.0% (55 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 8, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$356
Price at call : $312.99 — upside +14%
Today : $366.32 — upside -3%
Expected +14% · Actual +14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BLD : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.7% · +0.4% (234 calls)
+14.0%
stock +14% · XLY +6%
Benchmark
Mar 3, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$375
Price at call : $296.12 — upside +27%
Today : $366.32 — upside +2%
Expected +27% · Actual +46% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on BLD : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.5% · +2.5% (40 calls)
+46.1%
stock +46% · XLY +8%
Loop Capital
Feb 27, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$390
Price at call : $306.39 — upside +27%
Today : $366.32 — upside +6%
Expected +27% · Actual +43% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on BLD : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 60% · +9.8% (45 calls)
+43.3%
stock +43% · XLY +7%
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$310
Price at call : $306.39 — gap to target +1%
Today : $366.32 — gap to target -15%
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 27, 26
Goldman Sachs
Jan 14, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$410
Price at call : $332.97 — upside +23%
Today : $366.32 — upside +12%
Expected +23% · Actual +46% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on BLD : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 51.2% · +4.7% (256 calls)
+46.0%
stock +46% · XLY +10%
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$381
Price at call : $339.96 — gap to target +12%
Today : $366.32 — gap to target +4%
🎯 on BLD : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.4% · -6.7% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 16, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 69.2% · +14.7% (26 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 13, 25
DA Davidson
Nov 7, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$450
Price at call : $368.89 — upside +22%
Today : $366.32 — upside +23%
Expected +22% · Actual +18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on BLD : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.2% · -5.8% (80 calls)
+17.5%
stock +18% · XLY +11%
▲ Outperform · 🎯$443
Price at call : $372.55 — upside +19%
Today : $366.32 — upside +21%
Expected +19% · Actual +13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BLD : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.4% · -6.7% (90 calls)
+13.4%
stock +13% · XLY +11%
▲ Outperform · 🎯$491
Price at call : $409.22 — upside +20%
Today : $366.32 — upside +34%
Expected +20% · Actual +6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BLD : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.4% · -6.7% (90 calls)
+6.3%
stock +6% · XLY +18%
Jefferies
Oct 9, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$515
Price at call : $385.56 — upside +34%
Today : $366.32 — upside +41%
Expected +34% · Actual +10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BLD : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · +2.2% (145 calls)
+9.8%
stock +10% · XLY +16%
DA Davidson
Aug 9, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$460
Price at call : $374.06 — upside +23%
Today : $366.32 — upside +26%
Expected +23% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BLD : 100% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.2% · -5.8% (80 calls)
+11.0%
stock +11% · XLY +29%
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$400
Price at call : $372.72 — gap to target +7%
Today : $366.32 — gap to target +9%
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 61.8% · +18.0% (55 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 8, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$489
Price at call : $373.65 — upside +31%
Today : $366.32 — upside +33%
Expected +31% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BLD : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.4% · -6.7% (90 calls)
+11.2%
stock +11% · XLY +29%
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$395
Price at call : $373.65 — gap to target +6%
Today : $366.32 — gap to target +8%
🎯 on BLD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 7, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$555
Price at call : $465.48 — upside +19%
Today : $366.32 — upside +52%
Expected +19% · Actual -23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BLD : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.4% · -6.7% (90 calls)
-23.1%
stock -23% · XLY +13%
Benchmark
May 8, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$470
Price at call : $408.68 — upside +15%
Today : $366.32 — upside +28%
Expected +15% · Actual -28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BLD : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.5% · +2.5% (40 calls)
-27.8%
stock -28% · XLY +13%
▲ Outperform · 🎯$527
Price at call : $441.78 — upside +19%
Today : $366.32 — upside +44%
Expected +19% · Actual -36% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BLD : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.4% · -6.7% (90 calls)
-35.7%
stock -36% · XLY +6%
Benchmark
Mar 1, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$450
Price at call : $404.36 — upside +11%
Today : $366.32 — upside +23%
Expected +11% · Actual -27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BLD : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.5% · +2.5% (40 calls)
-26.8%
stock -27% · XLY +16%
▲ Outperform · 🎯$441
Price at call : $409.42 — upside +8%
Today : $366.32 — upside +20%
Expected +8% · Actual -26% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BLD : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.4% · -6.7% (90 calls)
-26.2%
stock -26% · XLY +20%
▲ Outperform · 🎯$368
Price at call : $263.32 — upside +40%
Today : $366.32 — upside +0%
Expected +40% · Actual +40% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on BLD : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 34.4% · -6.7% (90 calls)
+40.1%
stock +40% · XLY +36%
Benchmark
Aug 8, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$320
Price at call : $296.63 — upside +8%
Today : $366.32 — upside -13%
Expected +8% · Actual +26% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on BLD : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.5% · +2.5% (40 calls)
+26.0%
stock +26% · XLY +2%
BTIG
Oct 21, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$292
Price at call : $232.71 — upside +25%
Today : $366.32 — upside -20%
Expected +25% · Actual -31% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BLD : 33% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.1% · -1.4% (38 calls)
-31.4%
stock -31% · XLY -26%
Benchmark
Sep 9, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$275
Price at call : $223.73 — upside +23%
Today : $366.32 — upside -25%
Expected +23% · Actual -17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BLD : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.5% · +2.5% (40 calls)
-16.8%
stock -17% · XLY -11%
BTIG
Aug 4, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$271
Price at call : $217.42 — upside +25%
Today : $366.32 — upside -26%
Expected +25% · Actual -10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on BLD : 33% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.1% · -1.4% (38 calls)
-9.6%
stock -10% · XLY -10%
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)