Is Stephens & Co. a reliable analyst?

In short — Over 1 year, 67.5% of Stephens & Co.'s targets proved profitable, for an average gain of +17.7% per call (all calls, winners and losers) — i.e. +4.1% vs its sector, across 533 timestamped calls replayed against real prices. JPI verdict: fairly reliable. An analyst can be good in one sector and poor in another — details below.
67.5%profitable calls
+17.7%avg gain / call
+4.1%vs sector
533scored calls

In which sectors is Stephens & Co. reliable?

SectorCalls % profitable Avg gain 2015+ Avg gain 2020+ Last 12 months
Comm.1266.7%+56.8%+45.3%
Tech2766.7%+31.2%+35.0%+58.0% (2)
Cons. disc.7875.6%+24.0%+25.4%-4.7% (2)
Industry13672.1%+23.2%+24.9%+15.1% (13)
Materials2975.9%+17.6%+20.4%-4.1% (3)
Cons. staples4967.3%+15.6%+20.2%+25.8% (6)
Real estate1338.5%+4.4%+8.5%-19.8% (2)
Energy2347.8%+5.0%+6.4%-11.0% (5)
Health9767%+8.4%+6.2%+0.9% (3)
Finance6959.4%+8.9%+6.0%+3.3% (4)

The stocks Stephens & Co. covers (track record per stock)

StockCalls % profitable Avg gain 2015+ Avg gain 2020+ Last 12 months
CVNA Carvana5100%+81.9%+81.9%-4.7% (2)
BLDR Builders FirstSource1080%+66.2%+67.7%
CRWD CrowdStrike875%+59.8%+59.8%+58.0% (2)
TSCO Tractor Supply887.5%+55.3%+57.2%
ADM Archer Daniels Midland475%+32.5%+53.1%
GNRC Generac875%+48.8%+48.8%-12.7% (1)
DXCM Dexcom3100%+38.4%+46.5%
TTD Trade Desk (The)955.6%+64.4%+45.3%
RF Regions Financial Corporation3100%+37.4%+37.4%+17.4% (1)
CPRT Copart6100%+34.8%+36.9%
ADBE Adobe Inc.3100%+36.3%
CASY Casey's1586.7%+32.9%+35.3%+28.2% (5)
BKR Baker Hughes475%+25.3%+35.2%
ROK Rockwell Automation3100%+28.9%+35.1%+31.5% (1)
MA Mastercard475%+33.0%+32.0%
WAB Wabtec1492.9%+29.8%+29.8%+1.2% (1)
HUBB Hubbell Incorporated475%+21.7%+29.5%-0.5% (2)
EMR Emerson Electric4100%+24.2%+29.4%
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill1782.4%+24.8%+26.9%
FDX FedEx1861.1%+25.8%+25.8%+13.4% (4)
HCA HCA Healthcare988.9%+22.7%+23.8%-5.7% (2)
DPZ Domino's988.9%+26.9%+23.4%
AZO AutoZone5100%+27.0%+22.7%
CFG Citizens Financial Group771.4%+20.7%+20.7%
WMT Walmart875%+14.1%+20.4%
% profitable = share of its calls that made money (1 year). Avg gain / call = average absolute gain per call (winners and losers). Point-in-time, S&P 500 backtest.
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)