Archer Daniels Midland (ADM): are the analysts right?

Archer Daniels Midland · Consumer Staples · ref. ETF XLP · 50 calls · price $78.2
What the company does: Archer-Daniels-Midland fournit des ingrédients nutritionnels pour humains et animaux mondialement.
📈 1-year price
$78.2+43.4% over range
Jul 8, 25low $53.54 · high $84.11Jul 7, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
20% recommend buying · 5 analysts
⚠️ The stock trades above the median target: it has beaten expectations. The “Hold” reflects conviction on the company, but the remaining quantified upside is low/negative.

🎯 Analyst price target on ADM

High target · 1 analyst$95+21.5%
Median target · 5 analysts$77-1.5%
Low target · 1 analyst$58-25.8%
Current price$78.2

🗳️ The analyst consensus

Analyst breakdown · 5 (6 months)
Strong Buy0%
Buy20%
Hold40%
Sell40%
Strong Sell0%

💰 Archer Daniels Midland dividend

2.69%annual yield
🏆 Aristocrat25 yrs of consecutive dividend increases
That's ~$2.06 per share per year.

✅ Historical analyst reliability on ADM

Most reliable analysts on ADM (% profitable · 365j · ≥2 calls)
UBS 50% +14.3% 2
Barclays 20% -25.0% 5
B of A Securities 0% -46.6% 3

📊 What $1,000 invested in Archer Daniels Midland would be worth

In short — $1,000 invested in Archer Daniels Midland 10 years ago would be worth $2,185 today, i.e. +8%/yr on average. Best year: 2020 (+50%), worst: 2023 (-33%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Archer Daniels Midland

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$1,619+62%
3 years ago$960-4%
5 years ago$1,350+35%
10 years ago$2,185+119%
since inception (1984)$30,114+2911%

Return by year (Archer Daniels Midland)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+11%$1,107 (+11%)
2025+46%$1,619 (+62%)
2024-11%$1,439 (+44%)
2023-33%$960 (-4%)
2022+1%$974 (-3%)
2021+39%$1,350 (+35%)
2020+50%$2,029 (+103%)
2019-11%$1,798 (+80%)
2018+2%$1,840 (+84%)
2017-12%$1,627 (+63%)
2016+34%$2,185 (+119%)
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

👥 Analysts & forecasts📊 Returns & performance💰 Dividend
📈 Fundamentals, technical momentum and live news will show here on the final site (loaded live from the same origin as the API).

📋 All analyst calls on ADM

UBS
Jun 15, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$95
Price at call : $78.02 — upside +22%
Today : $78.2 — upside +21%
🎯 on ADM : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 48.6% · +2.7% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 15, 27
UBS
May 8, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$90
Price at call : $77.66 — upside +16%
Today : $78.2 — upside +15%
🎯 on ADM : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 48.6% · +2.7% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 8, 27
JP Morgan
May 6, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$74
Price at call : $77.53 — upside -5%
Today : $78.2 — upside -5%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 54.5% · +1.3% (354 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
▼ Underweight · 🎯$58
Price at call : $77.53 — upside -25%
Today : $78.2 — upside -26%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 50.8% · +0.4% (421 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
Barclays
May 6, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$85
Price at call : $77.53 — gap to target +10%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target +9%
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.4% · -2.4% (328 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
Jefferies
Apr 6, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$77
Price at call : $72.15 — gap to target +7%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -2%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 42.6% · -0.3% (176 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 6, 27
Barclays
Apr 1, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$77
Price at call : $73.83 — gap to target +4%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -2%
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.4% · -2.4% (328 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 1, 27
JP Morgan
Mar 24, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$65
Price at call : $71.66 — upside -9%
Today : $78.2 — upside -17%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 54.5% · +1.3% (354 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 24, 27
Barclays
Feb 19, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68
Price at call : $67.88 — gap to target +0%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -13%
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.4% · -2.4% (328 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 19, 27
JP Morgan
Feb 4, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$61
Price at call : $65.43 — upside -7%
Today : $78.2 — upside -22%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 54.5% · +1.3% (354 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 4, 27
JP Morgan
Jan 21, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$60
Price at call : $67.12 — upside -11%
Today : $78.2 — upside -23%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 54.5% · +1.3% (354 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 21, 27
▼ Underweight · 🎯$50
Price at call : $57.98 — upside -14%
Today : $78.2 — upside -36%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 50.8% · +0.4% (421 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 16, 26
JP Morgan
Nov 5, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$59
Price at call : $56.29 — upside +5%
Today : $78.2 — upside -25%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 54.5% · +1.3% (354 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 5, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$57
Price at call : $58.56 — gap to target -3%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -27%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 50.8% · +0.4% (421 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 12, 26
UBS
Aug 11, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $58.56 — upside +20%
Today : $78.2 — upside -10%
🎯 on ADM : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 48.6% · +2.7% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 11, 26
Barclays
Aug 6, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$61
Price at call : $56.73 — gap to target +8%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -22%
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.4% · -2.4% (328 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 6, 26
Barclays
Jul 2, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$50
Price at call : $55.31 — upside -10%
Today : $78.2 — upside -36%
Expected -10% · Actual +41% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.4% · -2.4% (328 calls)
-40.9%
stock +41% · XLP +2%
UBS
May 19, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $50.01 — upside +20%
Today : $78.2 — upside -23%
Expected +20% · Actual +59% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on ADM : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 48.6% · +2.7% (243 calls)
+58.8%
stock +59% · XLP +5%
▼ Underperform · 🎯$45
Price at call : $48.53 — upside -7%
Today : $78.2 — upside -42%
Expected -7% · Actual +65% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ADM : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 47.3% · +1.6% (241 calls)
-64.5%
stock +65% · XLP +3%
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$47
Price at call : $46.13 — gap to target +2%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -40%
🎯 on ADM : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 47.3% · +1.6% (241 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 15, 26
Citigroup
Apr 15, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$49
Price at call : $46.13 — gap to target +6%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -37%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 43.2% · -1.6% (292 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 15, 26
Barclays
Feb 24, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$48
Price at call : $48.4 — upside -1%
Today : $78.2 — upside -39%
Expected -1% · Actual +41% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.4% · -2.4% (328 calls)
-40.5%
stock +41% · XLP +9%
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$47
Price at call : $45.22 — gap to target +4%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -40%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 50.8% · +0.4% (421 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 11, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$48
Price at call : $46.44 — upside +3%
Today : $78.2 — upside -39%
Expected +3% · Actual +49% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ADM : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 47.3% · +1.6% (241 calls)
-49.2%
stock +49% · XLP +10%
BMO Capital
Feb 5, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$49
Price at call : $45.55 — gap to target +8%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -37%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 57.3% · +5.1% (150 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 5, 26
Barclays
Jan 21, 25
▼ Underweight · 🎯$50
Price at call : $51.22 — upside -2%
Today : $78.2 — upside -36%
Expected -2% · Actual +32% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.4% · -2.4% (328 calls)
-32.2%
stock +32% · XLP +6%
▼ Underperform · 🎯$54
Price at call : $51.19 — upside +5%
Today : $78.2 — upside -31%
Expected +5% · Actual +26% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ADM : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 47.3% · +1.6% (241 calls)
-26.2%
stock +26% · XLP +8%
Citigroup
Dec 4, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $52.28 — gap to target +5%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -30%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 43.2% · -1.6% (292 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 4, 25
BMO Capital
Dec 4, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$51
Price at call : $51.77 — gap to target -1%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -35%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 57.3% · +5.1% (150 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 4, 25
Barclays
Dec 4, 24
▼ Underweight · 🎯$56
Price at call : $51.77 — upside +8%
Today : $78.2 — upside -28%
Expected +8% · Actual +15% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.4% · -2.4% (328 calls)
-14.7%
stock +15% · XLP -5%
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$52
Price at call : $51.43 — gap to target +1%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -34%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 50.8% · +0.4% (421 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 12, 25
UBS
Sep 9, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $59.05 — gap to target +8%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -18%
🎯 on ADM : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 48.6% · +2.7% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 9, 25
JP Morgan
Jul 31, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$66
Price at call : $60.48 — gap to target +9%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 54.5% · +1.3% (354 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 31, 25
Citigroup
Jul 15, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$63
Price at call : $64.56 — gap to target -2%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -19%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 43.2% · -1.6% (292 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 15, 25
Citigroup
Apr 3, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $63.24 — gap to target +1%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -18%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 43.2% · -1.6% (292 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 3, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$74
Price at call : $59.31 — gap to target +25%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -5%
🎯 on ADM : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 47.3% · +1.6% (241 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 14, 25
BMO Capital
Mar 13, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $58.21 — gap to target +3%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -23%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 57.3% · +5.1% (150 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 13, 25
Jefferies
Mar 13, 24
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $58.21 — gap to target +12%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 42.6% · -0.3% (176 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 13, 25
Citigroup
Feb 1, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$57
Price at call : $56.76 — gap to target +0%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -27%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 43.2% · -1.6% (292 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 31, 25
UBS
Jan 26, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$51
Price at call : $52.05 — gap to target -2%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -35%
🎯 on ADM : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 48.6% · +2.7% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 25, 25
Goldman Sachs
Jan 23, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$67
Price at call : $52.31 — gap to target +28%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 47.5% · +0.1% (200 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 22, 25
Stifel
Jan 22, 24
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$56
Price at call : $52.31 — gap to target +7%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -28%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 56.9% · +8.0% (195 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 21, 25
Barclays
Jan 22, 24
▼ Underweight · 🎯$60
Price at call : $52.31 — upside +15%
Today : $78.2 — upside -23%
Expected +15% · Actual -3% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ADM : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.4% · -2.4% (328 calls)
+3.4%
stock -3% · XLP +7%
Roth MKM
Jan 22, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$66
Price at call : $52.31 — gap to target +26%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 21, 25
BMO Capital
Jan 22, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$66
Price at call : $51.69 — gap to target +28%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 57.3% · +5.1% (150 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 21, 25
Goldman Sachs
Jan 22, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$67
Price at call : $51.69 — gap to target +30%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 47.5% · +0.1% (200 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 21, 25
Baird
Jan 22, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$61
Price at call : $51.69 — gap to target +18%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -22%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 66.7% · +12.0% (60 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 21, 25
UBS
Dec 20, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$104
Price at call : $70.68 — upside +47%
Today : $78.2 — upside +33%
Expected +47% · Actual -30% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ADM : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 48.6% · +2.7% (243 calls)
-30.1%
stock -30% · XLP +13%
BMO Capital
Dec 18, 23
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$80
Price at call : $72.34 — gap to target +11%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target +2%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 57.3% · +5.1% (150 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 17, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$76
Price at call : $71.57 — gap to target +6%
Today : $78.2 — gap to target -3%
🎯 on ADM : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 50.8% · +0.4% (421 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 29, 24
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)