Is Morgan Stanley a reliable analyst?

In short — Over 1 year, 61.3% of Morgan Stanley's targets proved profitable, for an average gain of +11.8% per call (all calls, winners and losers) — i.e. +2.6% vs its sector, across 6459 timestamped calls replayed against real prices. JPI verdict: fairly reliable. An analyst can be good in one sector and poor in another — details below.
61.3%profitable calls
+11.8%avg gain / call
+2.6%vs sector
6459scored calls

In which sectors is Morgan Stanley reliable?

SectorCalls % profitable Avg gain 2015+ Avg gain 2020+ Last 12 months
Tech91166.8%+29.2%+32.7%+64.9% (144)
Energy35561.4%+12.8%+23.9%+4.6% (61)
Comm.28063.9%+19.1%+20.5%+9.1% (22)
Materials13662.5%+13.8%+17.9%+10.0% (17)
Health73167.7%+14.0%+14.1%+6.0% (80)
Industry95156.8%+9.3%+14.0%+9.2% (70)
Utilities77760.1%+10.0%+10.7%-2.4% (35)
Finance102258.9%+7.9%+9.2%+1.6% (136)
Cons. staples39863.1%+4.3%+5.6%+5.0% (32)
Cons. disc.69559.4%+1.6%+2.1%-0.9% (79)
Real estate20349.8%+0.4%-3.0%+7.0% (19)

The stocks Morgan Stanley covers (track record per stock)

StockCalls % profitable Avg gain 2015+ Avg gain 2020+ Last 12 months
WDC Western Digital1957.9%+236.6%+250.4%+321.5% (10)
STX Seagate Technology1172.7%+245.9%+245.9%+216.1% (7)
MRNA Moderna4100%+161.5%+206.8%
FCX Freeport-McMoRan1172.7%+115.4%+169.0%+41.1% (2)
GEV GE Vernova7100%+168.8%+168.8%+66.0% (5)
KLAC KLA Corporation3100%+139.2%+139.2%+62.1% (3)
CMI Cummins475%+69.9%+100.7%-3.3% (1)
NVDA Nvidia2892.9%+87.7%+97.9%+4.7% (9)
KEY KeyCorp742.9%+27.4%+91.6%
GE GE Aerospace12100%+75.4%+75.4%+30.0% (1)
VST Vistra Corp.4182.9%+68.8%+71.6%-24.8% (1)
CEG Constellation Energy30100%+71.4%+71.4%-16.5% (1)
KEYS Keysight Technologies4100%+70.7%+70.7%
DOV Dover Corporation12100%+42.9%+67.1%
NXPI NXP Semiconductors15100%+51.3%+64.1%
TSCO Tractor Supply887.5%+58.6%+58.6%
MPC Marathon Petroleum2673.1%+32.5%+56.6%+28.9% (4)
LLY Lilly (Eli)3794.6%+54.6%+56.2%+31.3% (6)
COHR Coherent Corp.5100%+56.2%+56.2%
CRWD CrowdStrike2788.9%+53.5%+53.5%+28.7% (4)
DASH DoorDash4100%+53.4%+53.4%-22.7% (3)
ANET Arista Networks1788.2%+44.5%+53.2%+19.0% (7)
AIG American International Group1258.3%+16.5%+53.1%
HWM Howmet Aerospace8100%+52.3%+52.3%+45.9% (1)
META Meta Platforms1478.6%+52.0%+52.0%
% profitable = share of its calls that made money (1 year). Avg gain / call = average absolute gain per call (winners and losers). Point-in-time, S&P 500 backtest.
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)