Marathon Petroleum (MPC): are the analysts right?

Marathon Petroleum · Energy · ref. ETF XLE · 93 calls · price $266.33
What the company does: Marathon Petroleum est une société énergétique intégrée opérant raffinage, marketing et production de diesel renouvelable.
📈 1-year price
$266.33+48.0% over range
Jul 8, 25low $158.59 · high $268.99Jul 7, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
75% recommend buying · 12 analysts

🎯 Analyst price target on MPC

High target · 1 analyst$335+25.8%
Median target · 12 analysts$270+1.4%
Low target · 1 analyst$210-21.2%
Current price$266.33

🗳️ The analyst consensus

Analyst breakdown · 12 (6 months)
Strong Buy0%
Buy75%
Hold25%
Sell0%
Strong Sell0%

💰 Marathon Petroleum dividend

1.48%annual yield
That's ~$3.91 per share per year.

✅ Historical analyst reliability on MPC

Most reliable analysts on MPC (% profitable · 365j · ≥2 calls)
Raymond James 75% +25.3% 12
Barclays 75% +23.2% 12
Wells Fargo 75% +22.3% 12
Scotiabank 75% +16.6% 8

📊 What $1,000 invested in Marathon Petroleum would be worth

In short — $1,000 invested in Marathon Petroleum 10 years ago would be worth $4,932 today, i.e. +17%/yr on average. Best year: 2022 (+82%), worst: 2020 (-31%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Marathon Petroleum

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$1,833+83%
3 years ago$2,197+120%
5 years ago$6,182+518%
10 years ago$4,932+393%
since inception (2011)$11,677+1068%

Return by year (Marathon Petroleum)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+57%$1,572 (+57%)
2025+17%$1,833 (+83%)
2024-6%$1,723 (+72%)
2023+27%$2,197 (+120%)
2022+82%$3,995 (+300%)
2021+55%$6,182 (+518%)
2020-31%$4,243 (+324%)
2019+2%$4,333 (+333%)
2018-11%$3,875 (+287%)
2017+31%$5,078 (+408%)
2016-3%$4,932 (+393%)
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

👥 Analysts & forecasts📊 Returns & performance💰 Dividend
📈 Fundamentals, technical momentum and live news will show here on the final site (loaded live from the same origin as the API).

📋 All analyst calls on MPC

TD Cowen
Jun 29, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$315
Price at call : $255.67 — upside +23%
Today : $266.33 — upside +18%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 35.7% · -4.1% (28 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 29, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$265
Price at call : $250.86 — upside +6%
Today : $266.33 — upside -0%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 52.7% · +2.7% (376 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 12, 27
Mizuho
May 27, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$284
Price at call : $247.05 — gap to target +15%
Today : $266.33 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 46% · +1.1% (198 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 27, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$291
Price at call : $244.87 — upside +19%
Today : $266.33 — upside +9%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 7, 27
Citigroup
May 6, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$257
Price at call : $242.26 — gap to target +6%
Today : $266.33 — gap to target -4%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.9% · +4.2% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
TD Cowen
May 6, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$320
Price at call : $242.26 — upside +32%
Today : $266.33 — upside +20%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 35.7% · -4.1% (28 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
Barclays
May 6, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$270
Price at call : $242.26 — upside +11%
Today : $266.33 — upside +1%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.5% · +4.6% (393 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
Wells Fargo
May 6, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$335
Price at call : $245.78 — upside +36%
Today : $266.33 — upside +26%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.5% · +7.0% (329 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 6, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$233
Price at call : $227.21 — upside +3%
Today : $266.33 — upside -13%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 52.7% · +2.7% (376 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 24, 27
Scotiabank
Apr 22, 26
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$210
Price at call : $221.1 — upside -5%
Today : $266.33 — upside -21%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +5.2% (83 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
Citigroup
Apr 10, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$243
Price at call : $225.29 — gap to target +8%
Today : $266.33 — gap to target -9%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.9% · +4.2% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 10, 27
Barclays
Apr 10, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$230
Price at call : $225.29 — upside +2%
Today : $266.33 — upside -14%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.5% · +4.6% (393 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 10, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$228
Price at call : $222.62 — gap to target +2%
Today : $266.33 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 48.5% · +1.2% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 27
UBS
Apr 2, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$280
Price at call : $241.4 — upside +16%
Today : $266.33 — upside +5%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 58.2% · +13.6% (184 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 2, 27
Wells Fargo
Mar 31, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$331
Price at call : $244.18 — upside +36%
Today : $266.33 — upside +24%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.5% · +7.0% (329 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 31, 27
Raymond James
Mar 25, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$270
Price at call : $248.31 — upside +9%
Today : $266.33 — upside +1%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.2% (321 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 25, 27
Mizuho
Mar 17, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$224
Price at call : $236.24 — gap to target -5%
Today : $266.33 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 46% · +1.1% (198 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 17, 27
Goldman Sachs
Mar 12, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$239
Price at call : $226.18 — upside +6%
Today : $266.33 — upside -10%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 60.9% · +10.5% (128 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 12, 27
Citigroup
Feb 9, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$210
Price at call : $204.15 — gap to target +3%
Today : $266.33 — gap to target -21%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.9% · +4.2% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 9, 27
BMO Capital
Feb 9, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$225
Price at call : $204.15 — upside +10%
Today : $266.33 — upside -16%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 68.1% · +8.3% (47 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 9, 27
Wells Fargo
Feb 4, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$217
Price at call : $195.83 — upside +11%
Today : $266.33 — upside -19%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.5% · +7.0% (329 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 4, 27
Citigroup
Jan 14, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$182
Price at call : $177.59 — gap to target +2%
Today : $266.33 — gap to target -32%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.9% · +4.2% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 14, 27
Barclays
Jan 13, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$194
Price at call : $181.09 — upside +7%
Today : $266.33 — upside -27%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.5% · +4.6% (393 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 27
Mizuho
Jan 13, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$205
Price at call : $175.85 — gap to target +17%
Today : $266.33 — gap to target -23%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 46% · +1.1% (198 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$184
Price at call : $176.17 — gap to target +4%
Today : $266.33 — gap to target -31%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 48.5% · +1.2% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 8, 27
Barclays
Nov 17, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$202
Price at call : $199.61 — upside +1%
Today : $266.33 — upside -24%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.5% · +4.6% (393 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 17, 26
Piper Sandler
Nov 14, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$231
Price at call : $195.97 — gap to target +18%
Today : $266.33 — gap to target -13%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 48.5% · +1.2% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 14, 26
Wells Fargo
Nov 5, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$213
Price at call : $186.18 — upside +14%
Today : $266.33 — upside -20%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.5% · +7.0% (329 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 5, 26
Raymond James
Oct 17, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$203
Price at call : $186.27 — upside +9%
Today : $266.33 — upside -24%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.2% (321 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 17, 26
Wells Fargo
Oct 17, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$214
Price at call : $184.47 — upside +16%
Today : $266.33 — upside -20%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.5% · +7.0% (329 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 17, 26
Barclays
Oct 13, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$194
Price at call : $183.12 — upside +6%
Today : $266.33 — upside -27%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.5% · +4.6% (393 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 13, 26
Scotiabank
Oct 9, 25
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$189
Price at call : $180.89 — upside +4%
Today : $266.33 — upside -29%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +5.2% (83 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$200
Price at call : $193.52 — upside +3%
Today : $266.33 — upside -25%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 52.7% · +2.7% (376 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 3, 26
UBS
Sep 26, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$220
Price at call : $198.69 — upside +11%
Today : $266.33 — upside -17%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 58.2% · +13.6% (184 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 26, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$210
Price at call : $187.25 — gap to target +12%
Today : $266.33 — gap to target -21%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 65.5% · +7.4% (29 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 19, 26
Mizuho
Sep 15, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$188
Price at call : $182.99 — gap to target +3%
Today : $266.33 — gap to target -29%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 46% · +1.1% (198 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 15, 26
Piper Sandler
Sep 11, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$222
Price at call : $180.28 — gap to target +23%
Today : $266.33 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 48.5% · +1.2% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 11, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$199
Price at call : $181.69 — upside +10%
Today : $266.33 — upside -25%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.2% (321 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 9, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$192
Price at call : $178.98 — gap to target +7%
Today : $266.33 — gap to target -28%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 53.7% · +7.1% (121 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 3, 26
Piper Sandler
Jul 22, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$182
Price at call : $175.25 — gap to target +4%
Today : $266.33 — gap to target -32%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 48.5% · +1.2% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 26
Citigroup
Jul 16, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$182
Price at call : $174.17 — gap to target +4%
Today : $266.33 — gap to target -32%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 51.9% · +4.2% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 16, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$182
Price at call : $172.37 — upside +6%
Today : $266.33 — upside -32%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 52.7% · +2.7% (376 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 16, 26
Raymond James
Jul 15, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$200
Price at call : $172.37 — upside +16%
Today : $266.33 — upside -25%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.2% (321 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 15, 26
■ Peer Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 55.6% · +3.0% (27 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 14, 26
Scotiabank
Jul 11, 25
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$180
Price at call : $175.63 — upside +2%
Today : $266.33 — upside -32%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +5.2% (83 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 11, 26
Barclays
Jul 11, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$189
Price at call : $175.63 — upside +8%
Today : $266.33 — upside -29%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.5% · +4.6% (393 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 11, 26
UBS
Jul 10, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$203
Price at call : $179.86 — upside +13%
Today : $266.33 — upside -24%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 58.2% · +13.6% (184 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 10, 26
Piper Sandler
Jul 10, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$175
Price at call : $179.86 — gap to target -3%
Today : $266.33 — gap to target -34%
🎯 on MPC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Energy : 48.5% · +1.2% (196 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 10, 26
Wells Fargo
Jul 10, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$205
Price at call : $182.26 — upside +12%
Today : $266.33 — upside -23%
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.5% · +7.0% (329 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 10, 26
Raymond James
Jun 30, 25
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$188
Price at call : $169.95 — upside +11%
Today : $266.33 — upside -29%
Expected +11% · Actual +56% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.2% (321 calls)
+55.9%
stock +56% · XLE +24%
Wells Fargo
Jun 11, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$182
Price at call : $164.66 — upside +11%
Today : $266.33 — upside -32%
Expected +11% · Actual +58% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.5% · +7.0% (329 calls)
+58.4%
stock +58% · XLE +32%
Wells Fargo
May 13, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$180
Price at call : $163.52 — upside +10%
Today : $266.33 — upside -32%
Expected +10% · Actual +52% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.5% · +7.0% (329 calls)
+52.2%
stock +52% · XLE +36%
Barclays
May 12, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$159
Price at call : $162.84 — upside -2%
Today : $266.33 — upside -40%
Expected -2% · Actual +53% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.5% · +4.6% (393 calls)
+53.0%
stock +53% · XLE +34%
Barclays
Apr 14, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$141
Price at call : $122.23 — upside +15%
Today : $266.33 — upside -47%
Expected +15% · Actual +82% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.5% · +4.6% (393 calls)
+82.5%
stock +82% · XLE +41%
Scotiabank
Apr 11, 25
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$147
Price at call : $124.85 — upside +18%
Today : $266.33 — upside -45%
Expected +18% · Actual +80% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.2% · +5.2% (83 calls)
+80.5%
stock +80% · XLE +44%
Wells Fargo
Apr 11, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$175
Price at call : $124.85 — upside +40%
Today : $266.33 — upside -34%
Expected +40% · Actual +80% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.5% · +7.0% (329 calls)
+80.5%
stock +80% · XLE +44%
▲ Strong Buy · 🎯$183
Price at call : $121.53 — upside +51%
Today : $266.33 — upside -31%
Expected +51% · Actual +83% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 47.7% · +7.2% (321 calls)
+83.2%
stock +83% · XLE +48%
Wells Fargo
Mar 21, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$185
Price at call : $149.96 — upside +23%
Today : $266.33 — upside -31%
Expected +23% · Actual +55% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.5% · +7.0% (329 calls)
+55.1%
stock +55% · XLE +29%
Barclays
Mar 14, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$161
Price at call : $146.16 — upside +10%
Today : $266.33 — upside -40%
Expected +10% · Actual +57% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 54.5% · +4.6% (393 calls)
+56.6%
stock +57% · XLE +27%
Wells Fargo
Feb 5, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$183
Price at call : $151.93 — upside +20%
Today : $266.33 — upside -31%
Expected +20% · Actual +34% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MPC : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Energy : 50.5% · +7.0% (329 calls)
+33.6%
stock +34% · XLE +20%
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)