Is TD Cowen a reliable analyst?

In short — Over 1 year, 61.3% of TD Cowen's targets proved profitable, for an average gain of +13.5% per call (all calls, winners and losers) — i.e. -0.6% vs its sector, across 752 timestamped calls replayed against real prices. JPI verdict: mixed reliability. An analyst can be good in one sector and poor in another — details below.
61.3%profitable calls
+13.5%avg gain / call
-0.6%vs sector
752scored calls

In which sectors is TD Cowen reliable?

SectorCalls % profitable Avg gain 2015+ Avg gain 2020+ Last 12 months
Comm.4180.5%+31.5%+31.5%-3.0% (19)
Tech17065.9%+24.1%+24.1%+25.1% (93)
Industry11168.5%+22.5%+22.5%+12.4% (46)
Cons. disc.18761.5%+10.0%+10.0%-0.5% (61)
Finance5563.6%+5.2%+5.2%+5.2% (67)
Cons. staples4143.9%+2.3%+2.3%+0.6% (12)
Health9554.7%+2.4%+2.2%+4.8% (52)
Energy2842.9%-2.1%-2.1%+5.4% (20)
Materials850%-4.6%-4.6%
Real estate1625%-6.4%-6.4%+2.9% (3)

The stocks TD Cowen covers (track record per stock)

StockCalls % profitable Avg gain 2015+ Avg gain 2020+ Last 12 months
VRT Vertiv6100%+191.9%+191.9%+17.7% (3)
NVDA Nvidia12100%+102.1%+102.1%+5.3% (4)
MU Micron Technology785.7%+77.8%+77.8%+146.7% (8)
NFLX Netflix4100%+67.4%+67.4%-19.9% (3)
META Meta Platforms5100%+66.2%+66.2%
TKO TKO Group Holdings3100%+58.6%+58.6%-2.8% (2)
AVGO Broadcom4100%+51.8%+51.8%-2.2% (3)
RL Ralph Lauren Corporation13100%+49.0%+49.0%+24.5% (1)
SYF Synchrony Financial3100%+47.3%+47.3%-13.1% (1)
RTX RTX Corporation3100%+46.0%+46.0%
UBER Uber475%+38.1%+38.1%-10.4% (2)
ORCL Oracle Corporation683.3%+37.4%+37.4%-27.8% (7)
LII Lennox International5100%+36.7%+36.7%
GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Class C)475%+36.2%+36.2%+13.6% (7)
DDOG Datadog3100%+35.4%+35.4%+69.9% (4)
MCK McKesson Corporation4100%+33.5%+33.5%-2.6% (2)
AMD Advanced Micro Devices560%+32.4%+32.4%+47.5% (3)
WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc.6100%+32.2%+32.2%+17.7% (3)
BSX Boston Scientific5100%+31.8%+31.8%-40.6% (1)
WMT Walmart8100%+30.9%+30.9%-12.9% (2)
HLT Hilton Worldwide4100%+29.9%+29.9%
GOOGL Alphabet Inc. (Class A)683.3%+27.4%+27.4%
MRVL Marvell Technology475%+26.7%+26.7%
AMAT Applied Materials580%+26.7%+26.7%+44.2% (2)
V Visa Inc.3100%+26.4%+26.4%
% profitable = share of its calls that made money (1 year). Avg gain / call = average absolute gain per call (winners and losers). Point-in-time, S&P 500 backtest.
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)