Is UBS a reliable analyst?

In short — Over 1 year, 62.9% of UBS's targets proved profitable, for an average gain of +17.2% per call (all calls, winners and losers) — i.e. +5.5% vs its sector, across 2703 timestamped calls replayed against real prices. JPI verdict: fairly reliable. An analyst can be good in one sector and poor in another — details below.
62.9%profitable calls
+17.2%avg gain / call
+5.5%vs sector
2703scored calls

In which sectors is UBS reliable?

SectorCalls % profitable Avg gain 2015+ Avg gain 2020+ Last 12 months
Materials13965.5%+31.5%+40.7%-0.5% (65)
Tech43268.5%+33.5%+38.1%+51.9% (144)
Energy15558.7%+23.0%+32.7%+10.7% (54)
Cons. disc.34364.1%+17.0%+23.0%-3.0% (103)
Comm.13767.2%+22.6%+22.7%-9.8% (23)
Industry39561.5%+14.1%+19.7%+14.3% (122)
Finance37564.5%+12.7%+16.8%+3.1% (90)
Utilities18465.8%+8.7%+9.2%+3.2% (35)
Health27558.2%+8.6%+8.4%+10.6% (73)
Cons. staples20857.7%+3.9%+5.5%+5.4% (61)
Real estate6041.7%+1.4%-1.8%+2.7% (34)

The stocks UBS covers (track record per stock)

StockCalls % profitable Avg gain 2015+ Avg gain 2020+ Last 12 months
DVN Devon Energy771.4%+37.5%+201.8%+0.4% (4)
FCX Freeport-McMoRan5100%+127.9%+180.2%+12.3% (6)
TRGP Targa Resources1471.4%+107.3%+143.3%+11.5% (1)
MU Micron Technology3073.3%+113.8%+126.0%+266.3% (11)
EXPE Expedia Group785.7%+55.9%+120.2%
ALB Albemarle Corporation1181.8%+94.2%+119.0%-43.4% (6)
DOW Dow Inc.475%+55.0%+108.8%
AMD Advanced Micro Devices1060%+34.7%+94.6%+106.2% (5)
NVDA Nvidia2596%+97.9%+91.7%-3.4% (4)
PANW Palo Alto Networks450%+19.7%+87.7%
PWR Quanta Services580%+69.0%+86.8%+21.4% (3)
MOS Mosaic Company (The)944.4%+32.3%+85.8%-30.2% (6)
STLD Steel Dynamics4100%+61.7%+78.7%
IBKR Interactive Brokers10100%+77.6%+77.6%
COF Capital One450%+32.5%+76.8%-4.3% (1)
RCL Royal Caribbean Group1190.9%+74.3%+74.3%+2.4% (5)
AVGO Broadcom1593.3%+54.2%+70.4%+3.0% (7)
OKE Oneok1478.6%+41.1%+68.9%+16.2% (1)
META Meta Platforms1384.6%+68.6%+68.6%
FTNT Fortinet3100%+65.8%
DD DuPont1275%+52.4%+64.2%+17.4% (7)
LRCX Lam Research1566.7%+49.7%+60.7%+89.5% (7)
APP AppLovin757.1%+59.9%+59.9%+5.9% (6)
DDOG Datadog4100%+59.8%+59.8%+49.2% (4)
JCI Johnson Controls1060%+20.1%+58.6%-1.8% (2)
% profitable = share of its calls that made money (1 year). Avg gain / call = average absolute gain per call (winners and losers). Point-in-time, S&P 500 backtest.
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)