Dollar Tree (DLTR): are the analysts right?

Dollar Tree · Consumer Staples · ref. ETF XLP · 109 calls · price $122.65
What the company does: Dollar Tree Inc. exploite des magasins de détail discount sous les marques Dollar Tree et Dollar Tree Canada aux États-Unis et au Canada.
📈 1-year price
$122.65+17.5% over range
Jul 8, 25low $85.04 · high $141.21Jul 7, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
38% recommend buying · 16 analysts

🎯 Analyst price target on DLTR

High target · 1 analyst$170+38.6%
Median target · 16 analysts$127.5+4.0%
Low target · 1 analyst$80-34.8%
Current price$122.65

🗳️ The analyst consensus

Analyst breakdown · 16 (6 months)
Strong Buy0%
Buy38%
Hold38%
Sell25%
Strong Sell0%

✅ Historical analyst reliability on DLTR

Most reliable analysts on DLTR (% profitable · 365j · ≥2 calls)
Guggenheim 67% +10.1% 9
Truist Securities 58% +6.1% 12
Loop Capital 40% -7.9% 5
Deutsche Bank 33% -10.5% 12
Gordon Haskett 33% -11.7% 6
Telsey Advisory Group 17% -23.7% 12

📊 What $1,000 invested in Dollar Tree would be worth

In short — $1,000 invested in Dollar Tree 10 years ago would be worth $1,566 today, i.e. +5%/yr on average. Best year: 2025 (+64%), worst: 2024 (-47%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Dollar Tree

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$1,614+61%
3 years ago$855-14%
5 years ago$1,119+12%
10 years ago$1,566+57%
since inception (1995)$81,640+8064%

Return by year (Dollar Tree)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)-2%$983 (-2%)
2025+64%$1,614 (+61%)
2024-47%$851 (-15%)
2023+0%$855 (-14%)
2022+1%$861 (-14%)
2021+30%$1,119 (+12%)
2020+15%$1,286 (+29%)
2019+4%$1,339 (+34%)
2018-16%$1,127 (+13%)
2017+39%$1,567 (+57%)
20160%$1,566 (+57%)
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

👥 Analysts & forecasts📊 Returns & performance
📈 Fundamentals, technical momentum and live news will show here on the final site (loaded live from the same origin as the API).

📋 All analyst calls on DLTR

JP Morgan
Jul 6, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$170
Price at call : $121.46 — upside +40%
Today : $122.65 — upside +39%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 54.5% · +1.3% (354 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 6, 27
BNP Paribas
May 29, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$98
Price at call : $111.35 — upside -12%
Today : $122.65 — upside -20%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : May 29, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$136
Price at call : $111.35 — upside +22%
Today : $122.65 — upside +11%
🎯 on DLTR : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.7% · +1.1% (70 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 29, 27
Guggenheim
May 29, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$135
Price at call : $111.35 — upside +21%
Today : $122.65 — upside +10%
🎯 on DLTR : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 64.7% · +5.3% (68 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 29, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$130
Price at call : $116.44 — gap to target +12%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target +6%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 50.8% · +0.4% (421 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 29, 27
Freedom Broker
May 28, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$124
Price at call : $116.44 — gap to target +6%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target +1%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : May 28, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$107
Price at call : $113 — upside -5%
Today : $122.65 — upside -13%
🎯 on DLTR : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.7% · +1.1% (70 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 27, 27
Barclays
May 27, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$131
Price at call : $113 — upside +16%
Today : $122.65 — upside +7%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.4% · -2.4% (328 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 27, 27
Piper Sandler
May 26, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$101
Price at call : $93.7 — gap to target +8%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target -18%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 36.1% · -4.1% (133 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 26, 27
UBS
May 22, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$132
Price at call : $93.7 — upside +41%
Today : $122.65 — upside +8%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 48.6% · +2.7% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$150
Price at call : $103.83 — gap to target +44%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target +22%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 63.9% · +9.9% (119 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 21, 27
Citigroup
Mar 17, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$125
Price at call : $107.49 — gap to target +16%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target +2%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 43.2% · -1.6% (292 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 17, 27
Jefferies
Mar 17, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$80
Price at call : $107.49 — upside -26%
Today : $122.65 — upside -35%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 42.6% · -0.3% (176 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 17, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$142
Price at call : $107.49 — upside +32%
Today : $122.65 — upside +16%
🎯 on DLTR : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.7% · +1.1% (70 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 17, 27
Piper Sandler
Mar 17, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$116
Price at call : $107.49 — gap to target +8%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target -5%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 36.1% · -4.1% (133 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 17, 27
Guggenheim
Mar 17, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$130
Price at call : $111.84 — upside +16%
Today : $122.65 — upside +6%
🎯 on DLTR : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 64.7% · +5.3% (68 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 17, 27
▲ Outperform · 🎯$150
Price at call : $111.84 — upside +34%
Today : $122.65 — upside +22%
🎯 on DLTR : 17% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 56.6% · +3.3% (235 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 17, 27
▼ Underperform · 🎯$89
Price at call : $111.84 — upside -20%
Today : $122.65 — upside -27%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 47.3% · +1.6% (241 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 17, 27
Bernstein
Mar 17, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$124
Price at call : $111.84 — gap to target +11%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target +1%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 62.1% · +4.1% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 17, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$126
Price at call : $111.84 — gap to target +13%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target +3%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 50.8% · +0.4% (421 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 17, 27
▲ Outperform · 🎯$150
Price at call : $113.25 — upside +32%
Today : $122.65 — upside +22%
🎯 on DLTR : 17% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 56.6% · +3.3% (235 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 10, 27
Citigroup
Feb 27, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$132
Price at call : $126.48 — gap to target +4%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target +8%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 43.2% · -1.6% (292 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 27, 27
BMO Capital
Feb 13, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$95
Price at call : $126.06 — upside -25%
Today : $122.65 — upside -23%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 57.3% · +5.1% (150 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 13, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$160
Price at call : $119.69 — gap to target +34%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target +30%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 63.9% · +9.9% (119 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 3, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$146
Price at call : $139.95 — gap to target +4%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target +19%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 50.8% · +0.4% (421 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 15, 27
Barclays
Jan 8, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$149
Price at call : $132.38 — upside +13%
Today : $122.65 — upside +21%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.4% · -2.4% (328 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 8, 27
Bernstein
Jan 5, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$123
Price at call : $128.57 — gap to target -4%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target +0%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 62.1% · +4.1% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 5, 27
Wells Fargo
Dec 19, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$145
Price at call : $127.84 — upside +13%
Today : $122.65 — upside +18%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 53.1% · +1.4% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 19, 26
Barclays
Dec 9, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$136
Price at call : $124.24 — upside +9%
Today : $122.65 — upside +11%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.4% · -2.4% (328 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 9, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$130
Price at call : $119.68 — gap to target +9%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target +6%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 50.8% · +0.4% (421 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 8, 26
Citigroup
Dec 4, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$132
Price at call : $122.44 — upside +8%
Today : $122.65 — upside +8%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 43.2% · -1.6% (292 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 4, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$120
Price at call : $122.44 — gap to target -2%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target -2%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 63.9% · +9.9% (119 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 4, 26
UBS
Dec 4, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$138
Price at call : $122.44 — upside +13%
Today : $122.65 — upside +13%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 48.6% · +2.7% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 4, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$114
Price at call : $122.44 — gap to target -7%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target -7%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 36.1% · -4.1% (133 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 4, 26
Wells Fargo
Dec 4, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$125
Price at call : $122.44 — upside +2%
Today : $122.65 — upside +2%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 53.1% · +1.4% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 4, 26
Guggenheim
Dec 4, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$130
Price at call : $115.87 — upside +12%
Today : $122.65 — upside +6%
🎯 on DLTR : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 64.7% · +5.3% (68 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 4, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$135
Price at call : $115.87 — upside +17%
Today : $122.65 — upside +10%
🎯 on DLTR : 17% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 56.6% · +3.3% (235 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 4, 26
▼ Underperform · 🎯$85
Price at call : $115.87 — upside -27%
Today : $122.65 — upside -31%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 47.3% · +1.6% (241 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 4, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$130
Price at call : $112.92 — upside +15%
Today : $122.65 — upside +6%
🎯 on DLTR : 17% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 56.6% · +3.3% (235 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 3, 26
Goldman Sachs
Nov 13, 25
▼ Sell · 🎯$103
Price at call : $103.15 — upside -0%
Today : $122.65 — upside -16%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 47.5% · +0.1% (200 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 13, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$104
Price at call : $106.18 — gap to target -2%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target -15%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 63.9% · +9.9% (119 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 11, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $100.47 — gap to target -0%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target -18%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 63.9% · +9.9% (119 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 21, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$105
Price at call : $96.44 — gap to target +9%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 63.9% · +9.9% (119 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 16, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$130
Price at call : $94.03 — upside +38%
Today : $122.65 — upside +6%
🎯 on DLTR : 17% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 56.6% · +3.3% (235 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 16, 26
Wells Fargo
Oct 10, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$115
Price at call : $92.59 — upside +24%
Today : $122.65 — upside -6%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 53.1% · +1.4% (243 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 10, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$102
Price at call : $87.83 — gap to target +16%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 63.9% · +9.9% (119 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 7, 26
Jefferies
Oct 7, 25
▼ Underperform · 🎯$70
Price at call : $85.04 — upside -18%
Today : $122.65 — upside -43%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 42.6% · -0.3% (176 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 7, 26
Bernstein
Oct 6, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $87.68 — gap to target +14%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target -18%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 62.1% · +4.1% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 6, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$105
Price at call : $95.9 — gap to target +9%
Today : $122.65 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 63.9% · +9.9% (119 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 23, 26
■ Peer Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on DLTR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. staples : 50% · +5.5% (10 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 18, 26
▼ Reduce · 🎯$95
Price at call : $100.25 — upside -5%
Today : $122.65 — upside -23%
🎯 on DLTR : 33% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 50% · -3.5% (26 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 3, 26
Guggenheim
Jun 5, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $94.5 — upside +6%
Today : $122.65 — upside -18%
Expected +6% · Actual +14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on DLTR : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 64.7% · +5.3% (68 calls)
+14.0%
stock +14% · XLP +2%
▲ Buy · 🎯$109
Price at call : $94.5 — upside +15%
Today : $122.65 — upside -11%
Expected +15% · Actual +14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on DLTR : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.7% · +1.1% (70 calls)
+14.0%
stock +14% · XLP +2%
▲ Buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $91.24 — upside +10%
Today : $122.65 — upside -18%
Expected +10% · Actual +20% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on DLTR : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.7% · +1.1% (70 calls)
+19.9%
stock +20% · XLP -1%
▲ Buy · 🎯$89
Price at call : $84.44 — upside +5%
Today : $122.65 — upside -27%
Expected +5% · Actual +15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on DLTR : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.7% · +1.1% (70 calls)
+14.6%
stock +15% · XLP +3%
Guggenheim
May 5, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $83.79 — upside +19%
Today : $122.65 — upside -18%
Expected +19% · Actual +15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on DLTR : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 64.7% · +5.3% (68 calls)
+15.2%
stock +15% · XLP +4%
Guggenheim
Mar 28, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$95
Price at call : $75.07 — upside +27%
Today : $122.65 — upside -23%
Expected +27% · Actual +41% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on DLTR : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 64.7% · +5.3% (68 calls)
+40.9%
stock +41% · XLP +0%
▲ Buy · 🎯$84
Price at call : $72.75 — upside +15%
Today : $122.65 — upside -32%
Expected +15% · Actual +45% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on DLTR : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.7% · +1.1% (70 calls)
+45.4%
stock +45% · XLP +2%
▲ Buy · 🎯$76
Price at call : $69.21 — upside +10%
Today : $122.65 — upside -38%
Expected +10% · Actual +53% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on DLTR : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 45.7% · +1.1% (70 calls)
+53.1%
stock +53% · XLP +2%
Guggenheim
Dec 6, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $71.6 — upside +40%
Today : $122.65 — upside -18%
Expected +40% · Actual +68% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on DLTR : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. staples : 64.7% · +5.3% (68 calls)
+68.1%
stock +68% · XLP -5%
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)