Is BMO Capital a reliable analyst?

In short — Over 1 year, 66.8% of BMO Capital's targets proved profitable, for an average gain of +15.6% per call (all calls, winners and losers) — i.e. +4.1% vs its sector, across 1700 timestamped calls replayed against real prices. JPI verdict: fairly reliable. An analyst can be good in one sector and poor in another — details below.
66.8%profitable calls
+15.6%avg gain / call
+4.1%vs sector
1700scored calls

In which sectors is BMO Capital reliable?

SectorCalls % profitable Avg gain 2015+ Avg gain 2020+ Last 12 months
Tech32772.2%+24.0%+25.2%-1.4% (40)
Comm.10158.4%+18.2%+22.5%+14.8% (11)
Industry13871.7%+17.9%+21.4%+18.4% (32)
Utilities19373.1%+17.6%+17.6%+1.8% (49)
Finance23269%+14.4%+13.9%+11.1% (37)
Energy3551.4%+7.8%+13.0%+13.5% (14)
Health19568.2%+14.2%+12.5%+9.4% (12)
Materials12863.3%+14.2%+11.8%+8.4% (25)
Cons. disc.14562.8%+9.7%+9.5%-2.6% (20)
Cons. staples11859.3%+9.1%+8.4%-0.7% (10)
Real estate8854.5%+2.7%+0.1%-2.6% (12)

The stocks BMO Capital covers (track record per stock)

StockCalls % profitable Avg gain 2015+ Avg gain 2020+ Last 12 months
NVDA Nvidia1687.5%+118.0%+144.3%
GEV GE Vernova6100%+137.8%+137.8%+58.4% (5)
VST Vistra Corp.1283.3%+122.9%+122.9%-16.6% (5)
DXCM Dexcom5100%+96.7%
AVGO Broadcom875%+46.0%+72.6%
FCX Freeport-McMoRan580%+72.7%+68.8%+48.0% (3)
CRWD CrowdStrike14100%+67.2%+67.2%+60.9% (6)
BLDR Builders FirstSource475%+66.2%+66.2%
DASH DoorDash683.3%+64.3%+64.3%-27.8% (1)
KKR KKR & Co.683.3%+57.0%+61.0%-9.2% (2)
DE Deere & Company8100%+35.0%+60.4%
EBAY eBay Inc.650%+14.6%+54.7%+25.0% (1)
DIS Walt Disney Company (The)633.3%+10.0%+53.6%
MSCI MSCI Inc.6100%+50.0%+51.6%
STLD Steel Dynamics333.3%-0.3%+43.9%+28.3% (2)
ALB Albemarle Corporation944.4%+26.6%+38.2%+2.7% (1)
MU Micron Technology977.8%+37.0%+37.3%
NFLX Netflix1764.7%+31.0%+37.0%-24.9% (2)
GILD Gilead Sciences1172.7%+21.1%+33.9%+13.2% (1)
ARES Ares Management6100%+33.7%+33.7%
LLY Lilly (Eli)1656.3%+13.5%+33.2%+26.8% (2)
CVX Chevron Corporation450%+1.2%+33.2%
IP International Paper366.7%+9.0%+32.4%
MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities580%+14.5%+32.3%+4.3% (1)
BKR Baker Hughes366.7%+32.1%+32.1%-0.7% (3)
% profitable = share of its calls that made money (1 year). Avg gain / call = average absolute gain per call (winners and losers). Point-in-time, S&P 500 backtest.
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)