Microsoft (MSFT): are the analysts right?

Microsoft · Information Technology · ref. ETF XLK · 279 calls · price $388.84
What the company does: Microsoft développe et commercialise des logiciels, services et appareils (Microsoft 365, Teams, Azure) pour les entreprises et consommateurs.
📈 1-year price
$388.84-21.7% over range
Jul 8, 25low $352.83 · high $542.07Jul 7, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
96% recommend buying · 27 analysts

🎯 Analyst price target on MSFT

High target · 1 analyst$680+74.9%
Median target · 27 analysts$545+40.2%
Low target · 1 analyst$400+2.9%
Current price$388.84

🗳️ The analyst consensus

Analyst breakdown · 27 (6 months)
Strong Buy0%
Buy96%
Hold4%
Sell0%
Strong Sell0%

💰 Microsoft dividend

0.93%annual yield
📈 Steady dividend — 20 yrs of consecutive dividend increases
That's ~$3.56 per share per year.

✅ Historical analyst reliability on MSFT

Most reliable analysts on MSFT (% profitable · 365j · ≥2 calls)
Wolfe Research ↗ 100% +30.0% 6
Mizuho ↗ 100% +29.3% 12
Macquarie ↗ 100% +17.2% 5
Deutsche Bank ↗ 92% +29.4% 12
Argus Research ↗ 90% +19.9% 10
Barclays ↗ 83% +25.2% 12
BMO Capital ↗ 83% +21.3% 12
UBS ↗ 83% +16.2% 12
RBC Capital ↗ 83% +12.9% 12
Piper Sandler ↗ 83% +11.9% 12

📊 What $1,000 invested in Microsoft would be worth

In short — $1,000 invested in Microsoft 10 years ago would be worth $7,331 today, i.e. +22%/yr on average. Best year: 2023 (+66%), worst: 2022 (-17%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Microsoft

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$940-6%
3 years ago$1,496+50%
5 years ago$1,605+61%
10 years ago$7,331+633%
since inception (1986)$3,070,123+306912%

Return by year (Microsoft)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)-5%$950 (-5%)
2025-1%$940 (-6%)
2024-4%$902 (-10%)
2023+66%$1,496 (+50%)
2022-17%$1,248 (+25%)
2021+29%$1,605 (+61%)
2020+43%$2,302 (+130%)
2019+45%$3,330 (+233%)
2018+19%$3,978 (+298%)
2017+47%$5,830 (+483%)
2016+26%$7,331 (+633%)
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

👥 Analysts & forecasts📊 Returns & performance💰 Dividend
📈 Fundamentals, technical momentum and live news will show here on the final site (loaded live from the same origin as the API).

📋 All analyst calls on MSFT

Wolfe Research ↗
Jul 6, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$525
Price at call : $388.84 — upside +35%
Today : $388.84 — upside +35%
🎯 on MSFT : 100% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 42.4% · -1.1% (92 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 6, 27
DA Davidson ↗
Jul 6, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$550
Price at call : $388.84 — upside +41%
Today : $388.84 — upside +41%
🎯 on MSFT : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 51.6% · +7.4% (161 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 6, 27
Stifel ↗
Jun 25, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$400
Price at call : $372.97 — gap to target +7%
Today : $388.84 — gap to target +3%
🎯 on MSFT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47.3% · +8.7% (643 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 25, 27
TD Cowen ↗
Jun 4, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$540
Price at call : $416.67 — upside +30%
Today : $388.84 — upside +39%
🎯 on MSFT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 42.9% · +1.9% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 4, 27
Cantor Fitzgerald ↗
Jun 4, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$502
Price at call : $428.05 — upside +17%
Today : $388.84 — upside +29%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 53.4% · +35.2% (189 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 4, 27
Citizens
Jun 4, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$550
Price at call : $428.05 — upside +28%
Today : $388.84 — upside +41%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 4, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jun 1, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$650
Price at call : $441.31 — upside +47%
Today : $388.84 — upside +67%
🎯 on MSFT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +6.5% (530 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 1, 27
Citizens
Jun 1, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$550
Price at call : $441.31 — upside +25%
Today : $388.84 — upside +41%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 1, 27
Wedbush ↗
May 13, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$575
Price at call : $409.43 — upside +40%
Today : $388.84 — upside +48%
🎯 on MSFT : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 55% · +27.1% (360 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 13, 27
Tigress Financial ↗
May 7, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$680
Price at call : $420.77 — upside +62%
Today : $388.84 — upside +75%
🎯 on MSFT : 63% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 38.3% · +5.9% (47 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 7, 27
Stifel ↗
May 1, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$415
Price at call : $413.62 — gap to target +0%
Today : $388.84 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on MSFT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47.3% · +8.7% (643 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 27
Bernstein ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$646
Price at call : $414.44 — upside +56%
Today : $388.84 — upside +66%
🎯 on MSFT : 78% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47% · +5.3% (117 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
Citigroup ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$620
Price at call : $414.44 — upside +50%
Today : $388.84 — upside +59%
🎯 on MSFT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.7% · +14.1% (823 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
Evercore ISI Group ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$510
Price at call : $414.44 — upside +23%
Today : $388.84 — upside +31%
🎯 on MSFT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +7.6% (308 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
Guggenheim ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$586
Price at call : $414.44 — upside +41%
Today : $388.84 — upside +51%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 53.7% · +1.9% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
Barclays ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$545
Price at call : $414.44 — upside +32%
Today : $388.84 — upside +40%
🎯 on MSFT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.4% · +6.6% (929 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$625
Price at call : $414.44 — upside +51%
Today : $388.84 — upside +61%
🎯 on MSFT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +6.5% (530 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
Benchmark ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$525
Price at call : $414.44 — upside +27%
Today : $388.84 — upside +35%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 50.3% · +7.3% (161 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
Cantor Fitzgerald ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$502
Price at call : $414.44 — upside +21%
Today : $388.84 — upside +29%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 53.4% · +35.2% (189 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
Wedbush ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$575
Price at call : $407.78 — upside +41%
Today : $388.84 — upside +48%
🎯 on MSFT : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 55% · +27.1% (360 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
Truist Securities ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$575
Price at call : $407.78 — upside +41%
Today : $388.84 — upside +48%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 54.4% · +14.8% (195 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
Scotiabank ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$550
Price at call : $407.78 — upside +35%
Today : $388.84 — upside +41%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 26.7% · -16.7% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
Apr 30, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$540
Price at call : $407.78 — upside +32%
Today : $388.84 — upside +39%
🎯 on MSFT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 46% · +4.4% (528 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
Benchmark ↗
Apr 28, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$450
Price at call : $429.25 — upside +5%
Today : $388.84 — upside +16%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 50.3% · +7.3% (161 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 28, 27
BMO Capital ↗
Apr 28, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$505
Price at call : $429.25 — upside +18%
Today : $388.84 — upside +30%
🎯 on MSFT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 46.8% · +0.3% (348 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 28, 27
Oppenheimer ↗
Apr 27, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$515
Price at call : $429.25 — upside +20%
Today : $388.84 — upside +32%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 47.3% · +9.4% (444 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 27, 27
Guggenheim ↗
Apr 23, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$586
Price at call : $424.62 — upside +38%
Today : $388.84 — upside +51%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 53.7% · +1.9% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 23, 27
Citigroup ↗
Apr 22, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$600
Price at call : $415.75 — upside +44%
Today : $388.84 — upside +54%
🎯 on MSFT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.7% · +14.1% (823 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 22, 27
TD Cowen ↗
Apr 16, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$540
Price at call : $420.26 — upside +28%
Today : $388.84 — upside +39%
🎯 on MSFT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 42.9% · +1.9% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 16, 27
Baird ↗
Apr 15, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$500
Price at call : $411.22 — upside +22%
Today : $388.84 — upside +29%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 43.1% · +1.0% (394 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 15, 27
Mizuho ↗
Apr 14, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$515
Price at call : $393.11 — upside +31%
Today : $388.84 — upside +32%
🎯 on MSFT : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.3% · +6.9% (576 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 14, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
Apr 14, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$500
Price at call : $393.11 — upside +27%
Today : $388.84 — upside +29%
🎯 on MSFT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 46% · +4.4% (528 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 14, 27
BNP Paribas
Apr 10, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$556
Price at call : $384.37 — upside +45%
Today : $388.84 — upside +43%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 10, 27
UBS ↗
Mar 25, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$510
Price at call : $365.97 — upside +39%
Today : $388.84 — upside +31%
🎯 on MSFT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 53.3% · +10.4% (529 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 25, 27
Stifel ↗
Feb 5, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$392
Price at call : $401.14 — gap to target -2%
Today : $388.84 — gap to target +1%
🎯 on MSFT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47.3% · +8.7% (643 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 5, 27
Citigroup ↗
Jan 30, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$635
Price at call : $423.37 — upside +50%
Today : $388.84 — upside +63%
🎯 on MSFT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.7% · +14.1% (823 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 30, 27
DA Davidson ↗
Jan 29, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$650
Price at call : $430.29 — upside +51%
Today : $388.84 — upside +67%
🎯 on MSFT : 67% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 51.6% · +7.4% (161 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 29, 27
RBC Capital ↗
Jan 29, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$640
Price at call : $430.29 — upside +49%
Today : $388.84 — upside +65%
🎯 on MSFT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 40.7% · -8.4% (437 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 29, 27
Scotiabank ↗
Jan 29, 26
▲ Sector Outperform · 🎯$600
Price at call : $430.29 — upside +39%
Today : $388.84 — upside +54%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 26.7% · -16.7% (45 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 29, 27
Stifel ↗
Jan 29, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$540
Price at call : $430.29 — upside +25%
Today : $388.84 — upside +39%
🎯 on MSFT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47.3% · +8.7% (643 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 29, 27
Wedbush ↗
Jan 29, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$575
Price at call : $430.29 — upside +34%
Today : $388.84 — upside +48%
🎯 on MSFT : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 55% · +27.1% (360 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 29, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jan 29, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$615
Price at call : $430.29 — upside +43%
Today : $388.84 — upside +58%
🎯 on MSFT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +6.5% (530 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 29, 27
Evercore ISI Group ↗
Jan 29, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$580
Price at call : $433.5 — upside +34%
Today : $388.84 — upside +49%
🎯 on MSFT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +7.6% (308 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 29, 27
Cantor Fitzgerald ↗
Jan 29, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$590
Price at call : $433.5 — upside +36%
Today : $388.84 — upside +52%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 53.4% · +35.2% (189 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 29, 27
Keybanc ↗
Jan 29, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$600
Price at call : $433.5 — upside +38%
Today : $388.84 — upside +54%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 47.3% · +4.5% (695 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 29, 27
Piper Sandler ↗
Jan 29, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$600
Price at call : $433.5 — upside +38%
Today : $388.84 — upside +54%
🎯 on MSFT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 46% · +4.4% (528 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 29, 27
B of A Securities ↗
Jan 26, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$520
Price at call : $470.28 — upside +11%
Today : $388.84 — upside +34%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 50.2% · +13.9% (707 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 26, 27
UBS ↗
Jan 23, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$600
Price at call : $470.28 — upside +28%
Today : $388.84 — upside +54%
🎯 on MSFT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 53.3% · +10.4% (529 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 23, 27
Wells Fargo ↗
Jan 22, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$630
Price at call : $465.95 — upside +35%
Today : $388.84 — upside +62%
🎯 on MSFT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +6.5% (530 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 22, 27
Guggenheim ↗
Jan 22, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$586
Price at call : $451.14 — upside +30%
Today : $388.84 — upside +51%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 53.7% · +1.9% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 22, 27
Loop Capital ↗
Jul 24, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$600
Price at call : $513.71 — upside +17%
Today : $388.84 — upside +54%
🎯 on MSFT : no call matured yet · 📊 on Tech : 50.8% · +13.0% (120 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 24, 26
Wedbush ↗
Jun 25, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$600
Price at call : $497.45 — upside +21%
Today : $388.84 — upside +54%
Expected +21% · Actual -25% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MSFT : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 55% · +27.1% (360 calls)
-25.0%
stock -25% · XLK +44%
Wells Fargo ↗
Jun 25, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$585
Price at call : $497.45 — upside +18%
Today : $388.84 — upside +50%
Expected +18% · Actual -25% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MSFT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +6.5% (530 calls)
-25.0%
stock -25% · XLK +44%
Wells Fargo ↗
Jun 13, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$565
Price at call : $474.96 — upside +19%
Today : $388.84 — upside +45%
Expected +19% · Actual -16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MSFT : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 48.5% · +6.5% (530 calls)
-15.8%
stock -16% · XLK +60%
Citigroup ↗
Jun 11, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$605
Price at call : $478.87 — upside +26%
Today : $388.84 — upside +56%
Expected +26% · Actual -18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MSFT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.7% · +14.1% (823 calls)
-18.4%
stock -18% · XLK +52%
RBC Capital ↗
May 23, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$525
Price at call : $460.69 — upside +14%
Today : $388.84 — upside +35%
Expected +14% · Actual -10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MSFT : 83% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 40.7% · -8.4% (437 calls)
-9.7%
stock -10% · XLK +59%
Evercore ISI Group ↗
May 22, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$515
Price at call : $450.18 — upside +14%
Today : $388.84 — upside +32%
Expected +14% · Actual -8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MSFT : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 45.5% · +7.6% (308 calls)
-7.6%
stock -8% · XLK +63%
Goldman Sachs ↗
May 21, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$550
Price at call : $454.86 — upside +21%
Today : $388.84 — upside +41%
Expected +21% · Actual -8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MSFT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 51.1% · +8.3% (515 calls)
-8.0%
stock -8% · XLK +57%
Citigroup ↗
May 15, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$540
Price at call : $454.27 — upside +19%
Today : $388.84 — upside +39%
Expected +19% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MSFT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 50.7% · +14.1% (823 calls)
-6.8%
stock -7% · XLK +48%
Jefferies ↗
May 1, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$550
Price at call : $435.28 — upside +26%
Today : $388.84 — upside +41%
Expected +26% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MSFT : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Tech : 47.3% · +3.4% (448 calls)
-5.0%
stock -5% · XLK +50%
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)