Is Argus Research a reliable analyst?

In short — Over 1 year, 65% of Argus Research's targets proved profitable, for an average gain of +13.5% per call (all calls, winners and losers) — i.e. +2.8% vs its sector, across 1039 timestamped calls replayed against real prices. JPI verdict: fairly reliable. An analyst can be good in one sector and poor in another — details below.
65%profitable calls
+13.5%avg gain / call
+2.8%vs sector
1039scored calls

In which sectors is Argus Research reliable?

SectorCalls % profitable Avg gain 2015+ Avg gain 2020+ Last 12 months
Tech13467.2%+24.9%+29.3%+69.9% (18)
Energy3265.6%+19.5%+28.2%+30.9% (1)
Cons. disc.15566.5%+19.6%+23.9%-10.0% (21)
Finance11278.6%+17.7%+20.0%+1.7% (14)
Industry16665.7%+14.0%+16.1%+7.7% (12)
Materials4864.6%+14.2%+15.3%+6.4% (14)
Comm.4057.5%+12.2%+11.7%+4.1% (5)
Health14461.8%+9.0%+10.3%+3.0% (14)
Real estate5265.4%+5.6%+4.1%+25.0% (4)
Cons. staples8650%-0.9%-1.7%+12.6% (5)
Utilities7062.9%+0.6%-4.5%+6.1% (10)

The stocks Argus Research covers (track record per stock)

StockCalls % profitable Avg gain 2015+ Avg gain 2020+ Last 12 months
TSLA Tesla, Inc.771.4%+186.2%+186.2%
NVDA Nvidia8100%+86.4%+75.3%+9.0% (1)
AMD Advanced Micro Devices475%+56.5%+73.4%
OKE Oneok3100%+73.1%
CFG Citizens Financial Group475%+42.7%+68.8%+14.8% (1)
AAPL Apple Inc.4100%+46.2%+61.4%+15.5% (1)
TPR Tapestry, Inc.475%+61.3%+61.3%
EXPE Expedia Group425%-3.3%+60.8%+1.7% (1)
VLO Valero Energy475%+44.1%+60.0%
ANET Arista Networks5100%+72.1%+59.0%
HWM Howmet Aerospace3100%+57.0%+57.0%
BA Boeing366.7%+15.2%+54.6%
SWKS Skyworks Solutions366.7%+37.2%+54.5%
RCL Royal Caribbean Group785.7%+50.0%+51.5%
LULU Lululemon Athletica4100%+47.2%+50.5%
NUE Nucor450%+29.0%+49.3%
ALB Albemarle Corporation366.7%+24.7%+48.5%-37.2% (1)
PKG Packaging Corporation of America3100%+39.7%+48.1%
MS Morgan Stanley366.7%+47.8%+47.5%
DRI Darden Restaurants4100%+34.0%+47.3%+5.0% (2)
PH Parker Hannifin4100%+38.5%+43.3%+13.9% (1)
APD Air Products3100%+24.5%+42.7%+14.7% (2)
PPG PPG Industries450%+28.8%+40.7%
WMB Williams Companies475%+21.5%+39.6%+30.9% (1)
CAH Cardinal Health560%+16.8%+38.2%
% profitable = share of its calls that made money (1 year). Avg gain / call = average absolute gain per call (winners and losers). Point-in-time, S&P 500 backtest.
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)