McDonald's (MCD): are the analysts right?

McDonald's · Consumer Discretionary · ref. ETF XLY · 167 calls · price $282.21
What the company does: McDonald's possède, exploite et franchise des restaurants offrant hamburgers, sandwichs, frites et boissons mondialement.
📈 1-year price
$282.21-3.2% over range
Jul 8, 25low $264.54 · high $341.06Jul 7, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
63% recommend buying · 19 analysts

🎯 Analyst price target on MCD

High target · 4 analysts$385+36.4%
Median target · 19 analysts$334+18.4%
Low target · 4 analysts$300+6.3%
Current price$282.21

🗳️ The analyst consensus

Analyst breakdown · 19 (6 months)
Strong Buy0%
Buy63%
Hold37%
Sell0%
Strong Sell0%

💰 McDonald's dividend

2.73%annual yield
That's ~$7.35 per share per year.

✅ Historical analyst reliability on MCD

Most reliable analysts on MCD (% profitable · 365j · ≥2 calls)
TD Cowen 100% +14.2% 12
JP Morgan 100% +13.2% 12
BTIG 86% +7.7% 7
Tigress Financial 83% +10.3% 6
BMO Capital 75% +5.0% 12
Guggenheim 67% +8.6% 12
Stephens & Co. 67% +4.5% 12
Wedbush 67% +3.9% 12
Truist Securities 67% +3.5% 12
Keybanc 58% +4.6% 12

📊 What $1,000 invested in McDonald's would be worth

In short — $1,000 invested in McDonald's 10 years ago would be worth $2,288 today, i.e. +9%/yr on average. Best year: 2017 (+41%), worst: 2024 (-2%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in McDonald's

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$932-7%
3 years ago$1,026+3%
5 years ago$1,260+26%
10 years ago$2,288+129%
since inception (1985)$82,119+8112%

Return by year (McDonald's)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)-12%$884 (-12%)
2025+5%$932 (-7%)
2024-2%$912 (-9%)
2023+13%$1,026 (+3%)
2022-2%$1,008 (+1%)
2021+25%$1,260 (+26%)
2020+9%$1,368 (+37%)
2019+11%$1,522 (+52%)
2018+3%$1,570 (+57%)
2017+41%$2,221 (+122%)
2016+3%$2,288 (+129%)
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

👥 Analysts & forecasts📊 Returns & performance💰 Dividend
📈 Fundamentals, technical momentum and live news will show here on the final site (loaded live from the same origin as the API).

📋 All analyst calls on MCD

Keybanc
Jun 29, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$315
Price at call : $267.18 — upside +18%
Today : $282.21 — upside +12%
🎯 on MCD : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48% · +2.2% (225 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 29, 27
JP Morgan
May 11, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$305
Price at call : $274.84 — upside +11%
Today : $282.21 — upside +8%
🎯 on MCD : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.2% · -2.3% (514 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 11, 27
RBC Capital
May 8, 26
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$305
Price at call : $274.6 — gap to target +11%
Today : $282.21 — gap to target +8%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.4% · -9.7% (304 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 8, 27
Barclays
May 8, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$350
Price at call : $274.6 — upside +27%
Today : $282.21 — upside +24%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.7% · +0.1% (680 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 8, 27
▲ Outperform · 🎯$350
Price at call : $274.6 — upside +27%
Today : $282.21 — upside +24%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 39.4% · -8.0% (198 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 8, 27
Wells Fargo
May 8, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$320
Price at call : $275.75 — upside +16%
Today : $282.21 — upside +13%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.8% (492 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 8, 27
Keybanc
May 8, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$330
Price at call : $275.75 — upside +20%
Today : $282.21 — upside +17%
🎯 on MCD : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48% · +2.2% (225 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 8, 27
TD Cowen
May 7, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$300
Price at call : $275.75 — gap to target +9%
Today : $282.21 — gap to target +6%
🎯 on MCD : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.7% · -6.1% (187 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 7, 27
BTIG
May 7, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$370
Price at call : $283.7 — upside +30%
Today : $282.21 — upside +31%
🎯 on MCD : 86% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.8% · +10.2% (129 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 7, 27
BTIG
Apr 28, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$370
Price at call : $292.39 — upside +27%
Today : $282.21 — upside +31%
🎯 on MCD : 86% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.8% · +10.2% (129 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 28, 27
Rothschild & Co
Apr 23, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$306
Price at call : $299.36 — gap to target +2%
Today : $282.21 — gap to target +8%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 23, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$334
Price at call : $300.07 — gap to target +11%
Today : $282.21 — gap to target +18%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.4% · -7.8% (739 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 21, 27
Keybanc
Apr 20, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$345
Price at call : $306.94 — upside +12%
Today : $282.21 — upside +22%
🎯 on MCD : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48% · +2.2% (225 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 20, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$385
Price at call : $330.8 — upside +16%
Today : $282.21 — upside +36%
🎯 on MCD : 83% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 56.5% · +8.6% (69 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 6, 27
Keybanc
Mar 3, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$354
Price at call : $332.17 — upside +7%
Today : $282.21 — upside +25%
🎯 on MCD : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48% · +2.2% (225 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 3, 27
JP Morgan
Feb 24, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$325
Price at call : $333.01 — upside -2%
Today : $282.21 — upside +15%
🎯 on MCD : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.2% · -2.3% (514 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 24, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$380
Price at call : $327.58 — upside +16%
Today : $282.21 — upside +35%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 56.7% · +8.5% (164 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 13, 27
Guggenheim
Feb 13, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$320
Price at call : $327.58 — gap to target -2%
Today : $282.21 — gap to target +13%
🎯 on MCD : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.9% · -2.8% (149 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 13, 27
Jefferies
Feb 12, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$375
Price at call : $327.58 — upside +14%
Today : $282.21 — upside +33%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.3% · +6.6% (246 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 12, 27
Citigroup
Feb 12, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$375
Price at call : $327.58 — upside +14%
Today : $282.21 — upside +33%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.4% · +0.6% (569 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 12, 27
UBS
Feb 12, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$365
Price at call : $327.58 — upside +11%
Today : $282.21 — upside +29%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.4% · +2.9% (437 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 12, 27
RBC Capital
Feb 12, 26
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$330
Price at call : $327.58 — gap to target +1%
Today : $282.21 — gap to target +17%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.4% · -9.7% (304 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 12, 27
Piper Sandler
Feb 12, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$325
Price at call : $327.58 — gap to target -1%
Today : $282.21 — gap to target +15%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 52% · +17.0% (277 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 12, 27
Barclays
Feb 12, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$380
Price at call : $327.58 — upside +16%
Today : $282.21 — upside +35%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.7% · +0.1% (680 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 12, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$370
Price at call : $332.08 — upside +11%
Today : $282.21 — upside +31%
🎯 on MCD : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.3% · -5.4% (283 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 12, 27
Wells Fargo
Feb 12, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$355
Price at call : $332.08 — upside +7%
Today : $282.21 — upside +26%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.8% (492 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 12, 27
BTIG
Feb 12, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$370
Price at call : $332.08 — upside +11%
Today : $282.21 — upside +31%
🎯 on MCD : 86% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.8% · +10.2% (129 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 12, 27
TD Cowen
Feb 12, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$320
Price at call : $332.08 — gap to target -4%
Today : $282.21 — gap to target +13%
🎯 on MCD : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.7% · -6.1% (187 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 12, 27
Mizuho
Feb 6, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$325
Price at call : $327.16 — gap to target -1%
Today : $282.21 — gap to target +15%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 43.2% · +2.5% (132 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 6, 27
Guggenheim
Feb 3, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$325
Price at call : $323.69 — gap to target +0%
Today : $282.21 — gap to target +15%
🎯 on MCD : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.9% · -2.8% (149 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 3, 27
BTIG
Feb 2, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$360
Price at call : $318.53 — upside +13%
Today : $282.21 — upside +28%
🎯 on MCD : 86% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.8% · +10.2% (129 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 2, 27
Keybanc
Jan 9, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$340
Price at call : $306.75 — upside +11%
Today : $282.21 — upside +20%
🎯 on MCD : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48% · +2.2% (225 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 9, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$356
Price at call : $307.32 — upside +16%
Today : $282.21 — upside +26%
🎯 on MCD : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.3% · -5.4% (283 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 8, 27
TD Cowen
Jan 8, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$320
Price at call : $308.88 — gap to target +4%
Today : $282.21 — gap to target +13%
🎯 on MCD : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 33.7% · -6.1% (187 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 8, 27
Barclays
Jan 7, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$372
Price at call : $308.88 — upside +20%
Today : $282.21 — upside +32%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.7% · +0.1% (680 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 7, 27
Oppenheimer
Jan 6, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$355
Price at call : $302.77 — upside +17%
Today : $282.21 — upside +26%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.9% · +8.7% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 6, 27
Guggenheim
Nov 19, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$310
Price at call : $302.74 — gap to target +2%
Today : $282.21 — gap to target +10%
🎯 on MCD : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.9% · -2.8% (149 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 19, 26
Baird
Nov 6, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$325
Price at call : $299.66 — gap to target +8%
Today : $282.21 — gap to target +15%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.2% · +3.2% (327 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 6, 26
Wells Fargo
Nov 6, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$345
Price at call : $299.66 — upside +15%
Today : $282.21 — upside +22%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.8% (492 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 6, 26
Barclays
Nov 6, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$358
Price at call : $299.66 — upside +19%
Today : $282.21 — upside +27%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.7% · +0.1% (680 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 6, 26
Mizuho
Oct 28, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$300
Price at call : $306.4 — gap to target -2%
Today : $282.21 — gap to target +6%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 43.2% · +2.5% (132 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 28, 26
BTIG
Oct 24, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy
🎯 on MCD : 86% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.8% · +10.2% (129 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 24, 26
Barclays
Oct 22, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$362
Price at call : $306.97 — upside +18%
Today : $282.21 — upside +28%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.7% · +0.1% (680 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 22, 26
Citigroup
Oct 21, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$375
Price at call : $310.11 — upside +21%
Today : $282.21 — upside +33%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.4% · +0.6% (569 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 21, 26
Wells Fargo
Oct 16, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$340
Price at call : $305.33 — upside +11%
Today : $282.21 — upside +20%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · +4.8% (492 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 16, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$350
Price at call : $305.25 — upside +15%
Today : $282.21 — upside +24%
🎯 on MCD : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.3% · -5.4% (283 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 14, 26
Guggenheim
Oct 10, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$295
Price at call : $297.01 — gap to target -1%
Today : $282.21 — gap to target +5%
🎯 on MCD : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.9% · -2.8% (149 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 10, 26
RBC Capital
Oct 9, 25
■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$320
Price at call : $293.81 — gap to target +9%
Today : $282.21 — gap to target +13%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 42.4% · -9.7% (304 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 26
Citigroup
Sep 17, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$381
Price at call : $301.14 — upside +27%
Today : $282.21 — upside +35%
🎯 on MCD : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.4% · +0.6% (569 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 17, 26
BMO Capital
Sep 4, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$360
Price at call : $316.99 — upside +14%
Today : $282.21 — upside +28%
🎯 on MCD : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.6% · -2.0% (149 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 4, 26
Keybanc
Jun 30, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$325
Price at call : $292.17 — upside +11%
Today : $282.21 — upside +15%
Expected +11% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MCD : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48% · +2.2% (225 calls)
-7.5%
stock -7% · XLY +8%
Loop Capital
Jun 6, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$315
Price at call : $307.36 — gap to target +2%
Today : $282.21 — gap to target +12%
🎯 on MCD : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 43.6% · +0.8% (78 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 6, 26
BMO Capital
May 5, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$345
Price at call : $315.72 — upside +9%
Today : $282.21 — upside +22%
Expected +9% · Actual -10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MCD : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.6% · -2.0% (149 calls)
-9.7%
stock -10% · XLY +18%
▲ Buy · 🎯$340
Price at call : $307.6 — upside +11%
Today : $282.21 — upside +20%
Expected +11% · Actual +8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MCD : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 35.3% · -5.4% (283 calls)
+8.0%
stock +8% · XLY +4%
BMO Capital
Feb 11, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$340
Price at call : $307.6 — upside +11%
Today : $282.21 — upside +20%
Expected +11% · Actual +8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MCD : 75% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 37.6% · -2.0% (149 calls)
+8.0%
stock +8% · XLY +4%
Keybanc
Feb 11, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$335
Price at call : $310.21 — upside +8%
Today : $282.21 — upside +19%
Expected +8% · Actual +4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MCD : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48% · +2.2% (225 calls)
+4.2%
stock +4% · XLY +5%
JP Morgan
Feb 11, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$300
Price at call : $310.21 — upside -3%
Today : $282.21 — upside +6%
Expected -3% · Actual +4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MCD : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 44.2% · -2.3% (514 calls)
+4.2%
stock +4% · XLY +5%
Loop Capital
Feb 11, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$346
Price at call : $310.21 — upside +12%
Today : $282.21 — upside +23%
Expected +12% · Actual +4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MCD : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 43.6% · +0.8% (78 calls)
+4.2%
stock +4% · XLY +5%
Wedbush
Feb 11, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$330
Price at call : $310.21 — upside +6%
Today : $282.21 — upside +17%
Expected +6% · Actual +4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MCD : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50.1% · +2.8% (381 calls)
+4.2%
stock +4% · XLY +5%
Keybanc
Jan 24, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$320
Price at call : $293.09 — upside +9%
Today : $282.21 — upside +13%
Expected +9% · Actual +7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MCD : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48% · +2.2% (225 calls)
+6.8%
stock +7% · XLY +6%
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)