Is Macquarie a reliable analyst?

In short — Over 1 year, 62.6% of Macquarie's targets proved profitable, for an average gain of +11.1% per call (all calls, winners and losers) — i.e. +2.1% vs its sector, across 302 timestamped calls replayed against real prices. JPI verdict: fairly reliable. An analyst can be good in one sector and poor in another — details below.
62.6%profitable calls
+11.1%avg gain / call
+2.1%vs sector
302scored calls

In which sectors is Macquarie reliable?

SectorCalls % profitable Avg gain 2015+ Avg gain 2020+ Last 12 months
Tech5870.7%+27.3%+49.3%+5.7% (9)
Real estate8100%+22.0%
Cons. disc.4660.9%+13.9%+20.9%-2.9% (16)
Utilities11100%+16.8%
Cons. staples2263.6%+8.5%
Finance4465.9%+10.9%+2.3%+1.0% (10)
Industry3060%+0.1%
Comm.5650%+2.9%-0.1%+1.4% (1)
Materials1560%-1.8%-2.5%
Energy1030%-2.9%

The stocks Macquarie covers (track record per stock)

StockCalls % profitable Avg gain 2015+ Avg gain 2020+ Last 12 months
APP AppLovin475%+145.9%+145.9%+12.7% (1)
NOW ServiceNow4100%+49.0%+57.0%
RCL Royal Caribbean Group887.5%+43.2%+55.0%
CRWD CrowdStrike5100%+52.6%+52.6%
CRM Salesforce8100%+21.0%+40.2%
MU Micron Technology580%+39.1%
LVS Las Vegas Sands4100%+32.9%+32.9%-10.8% (6)
NFLX Netflix1369.2%+22.4%+31.7%
LYV Live Nation Entertainment580%+26.2%+26.2%
CCL Carnival Corporation771.4%+19.2%+25.5%
SWK Stanley Black & Decker3100%+23.0%
AMT American Tower3100%+21.2%
V Visa Inc.683.3%+18.5%+18.5%+4.7% (4)
WYNN Wynn Resorts666.7%+18.4%+18.4%-9.1% (6)
ORCL Oracle Corporation3100%+15.5%
MSFT Microsoft5100%+17.2%+14.7%
T AT&T3100%+14.2%
DDOG Datadog425%+13.9%+13.9%+47.4% (3)
CMI Cummins366.7%+13.8%
PEP PepsiCo4100%+13.8%
XYZ Block, Inc.366.7%+9.5%+9.5%
PCAR Paccar475%+8.7%
MA Mastercard450%+4.1%+4.1%-0.4% (3)
WFC Wells Fargo450%+2.3%
MGM MGM Resorts450%+0.5%+0.5%+18.3% (4)
% profitable = share of its calls that made money (1 year). Avg gain / call = average absolute gain per call (winners and losers). Point-in-time, S&P 500 backtest.
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)