Arch Capital Group (ACGL): are the analysts right?

Arch Capital Group · Financials · ref. ETF XLF · 69 calls · price $102.85
What the company does: Arch Capital Group fournit des produits d'assurance, réassurance et assurance hypothécaire mondialement.
📈 1-year price
$102.85+14.0% over range
Jul 8, 25low $84.72 · high $102.85Jul 7, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
50% recommend buying · 10 analysts

🎯 Analyst price target on ACGL

High target · 1 analyst$122.5+19.1%
Median target · 10 analysts$110+7.0%
Low target · 3 analysts$100-2.8%
Current price$102.85

🗳️ The analyst consensus

Analyst breakdown · 10 (6 months)
Strong Buy0%
Buy50%
Hold50%
Sell0%
Strong Sell0%

✅ Historical analyst reliability on ACGL

Most reliable analysts on ACGL (% profitable · 365j · ≥2 calls)
UBS 100% +8.5% 2
Morgan Stanley 100% +4.1% 2
Wells Fargo 42% -0.4% 12

📊 What $1,000 invested in Arch Capital Group would be worth

In short — $1,000 invested in Arch Capital Group 10 years ago would be worth $4,175 today, i.e. +15%/yr on average. Best year: 2019 (+61%), worst: 2020 (-16%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Arch Capital Group

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$1,051+5%
3 years ago$1,546+55%
5 years ago$2,691+169%
10 years ago$4,175+317%
since inception (1995)$39,707+3871%

Return by year (Arch Capital Group)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+1%$1,012 (+1%)
2025+4%$1,051 (+5%)
2024+24%$1,307 (+31%)
2023+18%$1,546 (+55%)
2022+41%$2,184 (+118%)
2021+23%$2,691 (+169%)
2020-16%$2,263 (+126%)
2019+61%$3,632 (+263%)
2018-12%$3,208 (+221%)
2017+5%$3,374 (+237%)
2016+24%$4,175 (+317%)
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

👥 Analysts & forecasts📊 Returns & performance
📈 Fundamentals, technical momentum and live news will show here on the final site (loaded live from the same origin as the API).

📋 All analyst calls on ACGL

▲ Overweight · 🎯$110
Price at call : $101.81 — upside +8%
Today : $102.85 — upside +7%
🎯 on ACGL : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 53.9% · +2.2% (1056 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 6, 27
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$102
Price at call : $94.7 — gap to target +8%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target -1%
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 47.9% · +0.1% (455 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 5, 27
Mizuho
May 5, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$101
Price at call : $94.14 — gap to target +7%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target -2%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 26.8% · -22.6% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 5, 27
Citigroup
Apr 30, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$122.5
Price at call : $93.82 — upside +31%
Today : $102.85 — upside +19%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.7% · +0.2% (619 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
Wells Fargo
Apr 30, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$110
Price at call : $94.46 — upside +16%
Today : $102.85 — upside +7%
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.1% · +0.3% (646 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 30, 27
JP Morgan
Apr 20, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$110
Price at call : $98.85 — gap to target +11%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 52.1% · -1.0% (482 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 20, 27
Barclays
Apr 8, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$106
Price at call : $98.84 — gap to target +7%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target +3%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 50.4% · +0.5% (922 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 8, 27
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$105
Price at call : $98.6 — gap to target +6%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target +2%
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 47.9% · +0.1% (455 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 27
UBS
Feb 17, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$114
Price at call : $98.06 — upside +16%
Today : $102.85 — upside +11%
🎯 on ACGL : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.4% · +2.8% (457 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 17, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $98.06 — gap to target +2%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target -3%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 72.2% · +17.8% (18 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 17, 27
Citigroup
Feb 13, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$120
Price at call : $98.88 — upside +21%
Today : $102.85 — upside +17%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.7% · +0.2% (619 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 13, 27
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$104
Price at call : $98.88 — gap to target +5%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target +1%
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 47.9% · +0.1% (455 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 13, 27
Mizuho
Feb 12, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$102
Price at call : $99.85 — gap to target +2%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target -1%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 26.8% · -22.6% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 12, 27
RBC Capital
Feb 11, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$115
Price at call : $99.85 — upside +15%
Today : $102.85 — upside +12%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 44.7% · -1.3% (461 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 11, 27
Wells Fargo
Feb 11, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$109
Price at call : $99.85 — upside +9%
Today : $102.85 — upside +6%
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.1% · +0.3% (646 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 11, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$97
Price at call : $91.29 — gap to target +6%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target -6%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 72.2% · +17.8% (18 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 14, 27
Barclays
Jan 8, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$104
Price at call : $95.18 — gap to target +9%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target +1%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 50.4% · +0.5% (922 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 8, 27
▼ Sell · 🎯$93
Price at call : $95.18 — upside -2%
Today : $102.85 — upside -10%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 53.6% · +1.9% (386 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 8, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $96.38 — gap to target +4%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target -3%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 55.8% · +1.3% (215 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 7, 27
JP Morgan
Jan 7, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$117
Price at call : $96.38 — gap to target +21%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target +14%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 52.1% · -1.0% (482 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 7, 27
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$102
Price at call : $95.16 — gap to target +7%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target -1%
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 47.9% · +0.1% (455 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 6, 27
Mizuho
Dec 16, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$95
Price at call : $95.58 — gap to target -1%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target -8%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 26.8% · -22.6% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 16, 26
Roth Capital
Dec 2, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$110
Price at call : $92.72 — upside +19%
Today : $102.85 — upside +7%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 2, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$110
Price at call : $91.79 — upside +20%
Today : $102.85 — upside +7%
🎯 on ACGL : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 53.9% · +2.2% (1056 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 17, 26
Wells Fargo
Oct 29, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$106
Price at call : $86.64 — upside +22%
Today : $102.85 — upside +3%
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.1% · +0.3% (646 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 29, 26
JP Morgan
Oct 28, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$111
Price at call : $84.72 — gap to target +31%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target +8%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 52.1% · -1.0% (482 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 28, 26
Goldman Sachs
Oct 14, 25
▼ Sell · 🎯$88
Price at call : $92.23 — upside -5%
Today : $102.85 — upside -14%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 53.6% · +1.9% (386 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 14, 26
Barclays
Oct 8, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$99
Price at call : $92.23 — gap to target +7%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target -4%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 50.4% · +0.5% (922 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 8, 26
Wells Fargo
Oct 8, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$111
Price at call : $92.23 — upside +20%
Today : $102.85 — upside +8%
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.1% · +0.3% (646 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 8, 26
■ Peer Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 53.6% · +7.2% (56 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 16, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$103
Price at call : $90.72 — gap to target +14%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target +0%
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 47.9% · +0.1% (455 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 14, 26
Citigroup
Aug 13, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$113
Price at call : $89.95 — upside +26%
Today : $102.85 — upside +10%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 51.7% · +0.2% (619 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 13, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$102
Price at call : $88.66 — gap to target +15%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target -1%
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 47.9% · +0.1% (455 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 5, 26
UBS
Aug 4, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$118
Price at call : $88.66 — upside +33%
Today : $102.85 — upside +15%
🎯 on ACGL : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.4% · +2.8% (457 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 4, 26
Wells Fargo
Jul 31, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$107
Price at call : $88 — upside +22%
Today : $102.85 — upside +4%
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.1% · +0.3% (646 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 31, 26
JP Morgan
Jul 14, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$110
Price at call : $90.59 — gap to target +21%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 52.1% · -1.0% (482 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 14, 26
Wells Fargo
Jul 10, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$110
Price at call : $87.84 — upside +25%
Today : $102.85 — upside +7%
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.1% · +0.3% (646 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 10, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$101
Price at call : $87.92 — gap to target +15%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target -2%
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 47.9% · +0.1% (455 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 9, 26
Jefferies
Jun 10, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $89.77 — gap to target +11%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target -3%
🎯 on ACGL : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 49.2% · +0.5% (313 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 10, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$110
Price at call : $94.19 — upside +17%
Today : $102.85 — upside +7%
Expected +17% · Actual +3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 53.9% · +2.2% (1056 calls)
+2.8%
stock +3% · XLF +1%
▲ Outperform · 🎯$113
Price at call : $92.69 — upside +22%
Today : $102.85 — upside +10%
Expected +22% · Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 47.9% · +0.1% (455 calls)
+2.0%
stock +2% · XLF +4%
Wells Fargo
May 1, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$108
Price at call : $92.48 — upside +17%
Today : $102.85 — upside +5%
Expected +17% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.1% · +0.3% (646 calls)
+1.3%
stock +1% · XLF +4%
JMP Securities
Apr 30, 25
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$125
Price at call : $89.67 — upside +39%
Today : $102.85 — upside +22%
Expected +39% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
+4.6%
stock +5% · XLF +7%
Barclays
Apr 11, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$93
Price at call : $92.87 — gap to target +0%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target -10%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 50.4% · +0.5% (922 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 11, 26
Jefferies
Apr 11, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$106
Price at call : $92.87 — upside +14%
Today : $102.85 — upside +3%
Expected +14% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 49.2% · +0.5% (313 calls)
+4.5%
stock +5% · XLF +10%
▲ Overweight · 🎯$105
Price at call : $92.13 — upside +14%
Today : $102.85 — upside +2%
Expected +14% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 53.9% · +2.2% (1056 calls)
+5.4%
stock +5% · XLF +11%
▲ Outperform · 🎯$104
Price at call : $90.58 — upside +15%
Today : $102.85 — upside +1%
Expected +15% · Actual +6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 47.9% · +0.1% (455 calls)
+5.9%
stock +6% · XLF +11%
UBS
Apr 9, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$124
Price at call : $90.58 — upside +37%
Today : $102.85 — upside +21%
Expected +37% · Actual +6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.4% · +2.8% (457 calls)
+5.9%
stock +6% · XLF +11%
JP Morgan
Apr 8, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$107
Price at call : $91.48 — gap to target +17%
Today : $102.85 — gap to target +4%
🎯 on ACGL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 52.1% · -1.0% (482 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 8, 26
UBS
Feb 18, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$127
Price at call : $88.33 — upside +44%
Today : $102.85 — upside +23%
Expected +44% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.4% · +2.8% (457 calls)
+11.0%
stock +11% · XLF +1%
▲ Outperform · 🎯$113
Price at call : $88.2 — upside +28%
Today : $102.85 — upside +10%
Expected +28% · Actual +12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 47.9% · +0.1% (455 calls)
+12.1%
stock +12% · XLF +1%
Wells Fargo
Feb 12, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$106
Price at call : $88.26 — upside +20%
Today : $102.85 — upside +3%
Expected +20% · Actual +13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.1% · +0.3% (646 calls)
+13.1%
stock +13% · XLF +1%
Wells Fargo
Jan 14, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$107
Price at call : $93.62 — upside +14%
Today : $102.85 — upside +4%
Expected +14% · Actual -3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.1% · +0.3% (646 calls)
-2.9%
stock -3% · XLF +10%
▲ Outperform · 🎯$120
Price at call : $90.83 — upside +32%
Today : $102.85 — upside +17%
Expected +32% · Actual +3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 47.9% · +0.1% (455 calls)
+2.6%
stock +3% · XLF +16%
Wells Fargo
Nov 19, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$109
Price at call : $95.71 — upside +14%
Today : $102.85 — upside +6%
Expected +14% · Actual -4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.1% · +0.3% (646 calls)
-4.0%
stock -4% · XLF +3%
Wells Fargo
Nov 4, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$118
Price at call : $95 — upside +24%
Today : $102.85 — upside +15%
Expected +24% · Actual -8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.1% · +0.3% (646 calls)
-7.9%
stock -8% · XLF +13%
Wells Fargo
Oct 10, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$126
Price at call : $114.4 — upside +10%
Today : $102.85 — upside +23%
Expected +10% · Actual -19% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.1% · +0.3% (646 calls)
-19.4%
stock -19% · XLF +13%
Wells Fargo
Aug 12, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$110
Price at call : $97.73 — upside +13%
Today : $102.85 — upside +7%
Expected +13% · Actual -8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.1% · +0.3% (646 calls)
-8.0%
stock -8% · XLF +24%
▲ Outperform · 🎯$121
Price at call : $98.4 — upside +23%
Today : $102.85 — upside +18%
Expected +23% · Actual -10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 70% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 47.9% · +0.1% (455 calls)
-9.7%
stock -10% · XLF +23%
Wells Fargo
Jul 11, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$111
Price at call : $96.5 — upside +15%
Today : $102.85 — upside +8%
Expected +15% · Actual -6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on ACGL : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 48.1% · +0.3% (646 calls)
-6.1%
stock -6% · XLF +24%
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)