Churchill Downs Inc. (CHDN): are the analysts right?

Churchill Downs Inc. · Consumer Discretionary · ref. ETF XLY · 54 calls · price $89.77
What the company does: Churchill Downs opère des hippodromes, des services de paris en ligne et des casinos régionaux aux États-Unis.
📈 1-year price
$86.23-17.6% over range
Jul 8, 25low $83.07 · high $117.59Jul 7, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
100% recommend buying · 4 analysts

🎯 Analyst price target on CHDN

High target · 1 analyst$155+72.7%
Median target · 4 analysts$147+63.8%
Low target · 1 analyst$130+44.8%
Current price$89.77

🗳️ The analyst consensus

Analyst breakdown · 4 (6 months)
Strong Buy0%
Buy100%
Hold0%
Sell0%
Strong Sell0%

💰 Churchill Downs Inc. dividend

0.49%annual yield
📈 Steady dividend15 yrs of consecutive dividend increases
That's ~$0.44 per share per year.

✅ Historical analyst reliability on CHDN

Most reliable analysts on CHDN (% profitable · 365j · ≥2 calls)
Susquehanna 60% +11.6% 5
Barclays 50% +0.5% 2
Macquarie 50% -4.8% 2
Truist Securities 50% -5.8% 2
JMP Securities 29% -11.8% 7
Mizuho 17% -14.7% 6
Stifel 0% -18.0% 3
Wells Fargo 0% -24.1% 3

📊 What $1,000 invested in Churchill Downs Inc. would be worth

In short — $1,000 invested in Churchill Downs Inc. 10 years ago would be worth $3,801 today, i.e. +14%/yr on average. Best year: 2019 (+69%), worst: 2025 (-15%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Churchill Downs Inc.

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$671-33%
3 years ago$848-15%
5 years ago$920-8%
10 years ago$3,801+280%
since inception (1993)$19,382+1838%

Return by year (Churchill Downs Inc.)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)-21%$788 (-21%)
2025-15%$671 (-33%)
2024-1%$664 (-34%)
2023+28%$848 (-15%)
2022-12%$744 (-26%)
2021+24%$920 (-8%)
2020+42%$1,307 (+31%)
2019+69%$2,205 (+120%)
2018+5%$2,311 (+131%)
2017+55%$3,575 (+257%)
2016+6%$3,801 (+280%)
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

👥 Analysts & forecasts📊 Returns & performance💰 Dividend
📈 Fundamentals, technical momentum and live news will show here on the final site (loaded live from the same origin as the API).

📋 All analyst calls on CHDN

Macquarie
May 19, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$145
Price at call : $85.63 — upside +69%
Today : $89.77 — upside +62%
🎯 on CHDN : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · -0.4% (28 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 19, 27
Macquarie
Apr 24, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$150
Price at call : $100.39 — upside +49%
Today : $89.77 — upside +67%
🎯 on CHDN : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · -0.4% (28 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 24, 27
Mizuho
Apr 24, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$155
Price at call : $100.39 — upside +54%
Today : $89.77 — upside +73%
🎯 on CHDN : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -13.8% (64 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 24, 27
Citizens
Apr 24, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$149
Price at call : $100.39 — upside +48%
Today : $89.77 — upside +66%
🎯 on CHDN : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 24, 27
Wells Fargo
Apr 16, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$130
Price at call : $93.27 — upside +39%
Today : $89.77 — upside +45%
🎯 on CHDN : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 16, 27
Wells Fargo
Feb 27, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$124
Price at call : $93.78 — upside +32%
Today : $89.77 — upside +38%
🎯 on CHDN : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 27, 27
Citizens
Jan 14, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$146
Price at call : $108.08 — upside +35%
Today : $89.77 — upside +63%
🎯 on CHDN : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 14, 27
Wells Fargo
Jan 5, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$125
Price at call : $113.27 — upside +10%
Today : $89.77 — upside +39%
🎯 on CHDN : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 5, 27
Wells Fargo
Nov 18, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$115
Price at call : $104.56 — upside +10%
Today : $89.77 — upside +28%
🎯 on CHDN : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 18, 26
Macquarie
Oct 24, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$155
Price at call : $103.11 — upside +50%
Today : $89.77 — upside +73%
🎯 on CHDN : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · -0.4% (28 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 24, 26
Barclays
Oct 24, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$132
Price at call : $103.11 — upside +28%
Today : $89.77 — upside +47%
🎯 on CHDN : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 24, 26
Susquehanna
Oct 21, 25
▲ Positive · 🎯$124
Price at call : $96.22 — upside +29%
Today : $89.77 — upside +38%
🎯 on CHDN : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32% · -6.0% (50 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 21, 26
JP Morgan
Oct 16, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$128
Price at call : $86.75 — upside +48%
Today : $89.77 — upside +43%
🎯 on CHDN : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.8% · +0.7% (360 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 16, 26
Macquarie
Jul 28, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$155
Price at call : $110.6 — upside +40%
Today : $89.77 — upside +73%
🎯 on CHDN : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · -0.4% (28 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 28, 26
Mizuho
Jul 25, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$142
Price at call : $111.25 — upside +28%
Today : $89.77 — upside +58%
🎯 on CHDN : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -13.8% (64 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 25, 26
Barclays
Jul 25, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$131
Price at call : $111.25 — upside +18%
Today : $89.77 — upside +46%
🎯 on CHDN : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 25, 26
Susquehanna
Jul 23, 25
▲ Positive · 🎯$126
Price at call : $109.16 — upside +15%
Today : $89.77 — upside +40%
🎯 on CHDN : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32% · -6.0% (50 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 23, 26
Mizuho
Jul 22, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$136
Price at call : $109.16 — upside +25%
Today : $89.77 — upside +51%
🎯 on CHDN : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -13.8% (64 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 26
Barclays
Jul 18, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$127
Price at call : $105.66 — upside +20%
Today : $89.77 — upside +41%
🎯 on CHDN : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 18, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$145
Price at call : $106.27 — upside +36%
Today : $89.77 — upside +62%
🎯 on CHDN : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 16, 26
Stifel
Jul 11, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$133
Price at call : $106.89 — upside +24%
Today : $89.77 — upside +48%
🎯 on CHDN : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.7% · -1.9% (168 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 11, 26
JP Morgan
Jun 23, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$116
Price at call : $99.83 — upside +16%
Today : $89.77 — upside +29%
Expected +16% · Actual -14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.8% · +0.7% (360 calls)
-13.5%
stock -14% · XLY +6%
JMP Securities
May 27, 25
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$138
Price at call : $94.54 — upside +46%
Today : $89.77 — upside +54%
Expected +46% · Actual -8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-8.1%
stock -8% · XLY +12%
Mizuho
May 23, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$134
Price at call : $94.54 — upside +42%
Today : $89.77 — upside +49%
Expected +42% · Actual -12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -13.8% (64 calls)
-12.1%
stock -12% · XLY +10%
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$144
Price at call : $92.2 — upside +56%
Today : $89.77 — upside +60%
Expected +56% · Actual +0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+0.1%
stock +0% · XLY +21%
Jefferies
Apr 25, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$127
Price at call : $89.37 — upside +42%
Today : $89.77 — upside +41%
Expected +42% · Actual +12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · +2.2% (145 calls)
+12.3%
stock +12% · XLY +19%
Mizuho
Apr 25, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$137
Price at call : $89.37 — upside +53%
Today : $89.77 — upside +53%
Expected +53% · Actual +12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -13.8% (64 calls)
+12.3%
stock +12% · XLY +19%
Barclays
Apr 25, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$124
Price at call : $88.35 — upside +40%
Today : $89.77 — upside +38%
Expected +40% · Actual +14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
+13.6%
stock +14% · XLY +19%
Macquarie
Apr 24, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$154
Price at call : $88.35 — upside +74%
Today : $89.77 — upside +72%
Expected +74% · Actual +14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · -0.4% (28 calls)
+13.6%
stock +14% · XLY +19%
JMP Securities
Apr 24, 25
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$157
Price at call : $88.35 — upside +78%
Today : $89.77 — upside +75%
Expected +78% · Actual +14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+13.6%
stock +14% · XLY +19%
▲ Buy · 🎯$155
Price at call : $87.99 — upside +76%
Today : $89.77 — upside +73%
Expected +76% · Actual +15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CHDN : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
+15.4%
stock +15% · XLY +22%
Susquehanna
Apr 22, 25
▲ Positive · 🎯$136
Price at call : $105.04 — upside +29%
Today : $89.77 — upside +51%
Expected +29% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32% · -6.0% (50 calls)
-6.8%
stock -7% · XLY +24%
Mizuho
Apr 22, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$140
Price at call : $103 — upside +36%
Today : $89.77 — upside +56%
Expected +36% · Actual -14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -13.8% (64 calls)
-13.7%
stock -14% · XLY +28%
Barclays
Apr 11, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$125
Price at call : $102.51 — upside +22%
Today : $89.77 — upside +39%
Expected +22% · Actual -13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
-12.7%
stock -13% · XLY +20%
Stifel
Apr 10, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$142
Price at call : $102.51 — upside +39%
Today : $89.77 — upside +58%
Expected +39% · Actual -13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.7% · -1.9% (168 calls)
-12.7%
stock -13% · XLY +20%
Stifel
Feb 21, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$161
Price at call : $114.81 — upside +40%
Today : $89.77 — upside +79%
Expected +40% · Actual -18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.7% · -1.9% (168 calls)
-18.1%
stock -18% · XLY +6%
Wells Fargo
Feb 21, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$158
Price at call : $116.91 — upside +35%
Today : $89.77 — upside +76%
Expected +35% · Actual -20% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)
-19.6%
stock -20% · XLY +5%
Mizuho
Feb 19, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$148
Price at call : $119.54 — upside +24%
Today : $89.77 — upside +65%
Expected +24% · Actual -23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -13.8% (64 calls)
-22.9%
stock -23% · XLY +3%
Wells Fargo
Feb 10, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$165
Price at call : $121.76 — upside +36%
Today : $89.77 — upside +84%
Expected +36% · Actual -22% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)
-22.2%
stock -22% · XLY +5%
JMP Securities
Jan 16, 25
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$166
Price at call : $124.57 — upside +33%
Today : $89.77 — upside +85%
Expected +33% · Actual -14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-14.2%
stock -14% · XLY +8%
JMP Securities
Dec 19, 24
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$166
Price at call : $132.23 — upside +26%
Today : $89.77 — upside +85%
Expected +26% · Actual -13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-13.3%
stock -13% · XLY +7%
▲ Buy · 🎯$165
Price at call : $141.17 — upside +17%
Today : $89.77 — upside +84%
Expected +17% · Actual -27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
-27.0%
stock -27% · XLY +20%
Mizuho
Oct 22, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$151
Price at call : $134.23 — upside +12%
Today : $89.77 — upside +68%
Expected +12% · Actual -28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -13.8% (64 calls)
-28.3%
stock -28% · XLY +20%
Wells Fargo
Oct 17, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$168
Price at call : $138.01 — upside +22%
Today : $89.77 — upside +87%
Expected +22% · Actual -31% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)
-30.7%
stock -31% · XLY +18%
JMP Securities
Oct 14, 24
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$166
Price at call : $138.82 — upside +20%
Today : $89.77 — upside +85%
Expected +20% · Actual -37% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-37.4%
stock -37% · XLY +19%
▲ Buy · 🎯$155
Price at call : $136.07 — upside +14%
Today : $89.77 — upside +73%
Expected +14% · Actual -25% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 46.8% · +1.2% (308 calls)
-24.9%
stock -25% · XLY +31%
Macquarie
Jul 26, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$162
Price at call : $145 — upside +12%
Today : $89.77 — upside +80%
Expected +12% · Actual -23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 50% · -0.4% (28 calls)
-23.3%
stock -23% · XLY +22%
JMP Securities
Jul 26, 24
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$166
Price at call : $145 — upside +14%
Today : $89.77 — upside +85%
Expected +14% · Actual -23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 29% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-23.3%
stock -23% · XLY +22%
Mizuho
Jul 26, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$157
Price at call : $145 — upside +8%
Today : $89.77 — upside +75%
Expected +8% · Actual -23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 17% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -13.8% (64 calls)
-23.3%
stock -23% · XLY +22%
Stifel
Jul 26, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$164
Price at call : $145 — upside +13%
Today : $89.77 — upside +83%
Expected +13% · Actual -23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 0% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 38.7% · -1.9% (168 calls)
-23.3%
stock -23% · XLY +22%
Susquehanna
Oct 19, 23
▲ Positive · 🎯$138
Price at call : $112.2 — upside +23%
Today : $89.77 — upside +54%
Expected +23% · Actual +23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CHDN : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32% · -6.0% (50 calls)
+23.0%
stock +23% · XLY +29%
Susquehanna
Feb 27, 23
▲ Positive · 🎯$286
Price at call : $121.9 — upside +135%
Today : $89.77 — upside +219%
Expected +135% · Actual -0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32% · -6.0% (50 calls)
-0.4%
stock -0% · XLY +25%
Susquehanna
Jan 20, 23
▲ Positive · 🎯$280
Price at call : $121.56 — upside +130%
Today : $89.77 — upside +212%
Expected +130% · Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CHDN : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32% · -6.0% (50 calls)
+2.4%
stock +2% · XLY +25%
Susquehanna
Sep 25, 20
▲ Positive
Actual +40% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CHDN : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 32% · -6.0% (50 calls)
+39.6%
stock +40% · XLY +27%
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)