Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV): are the analysts right?

Hilton Grand Vacations · Consumer Discretionary · ref. ETF XLY · 55 calls · price $53.48
What the company does: Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. développe, vend et gère des stations balnéaires et plans de multipropriété sous la marque Hilton Grand Vacations.
📈 1-year price
$51.23+12.2% over range
Jul 8, 25low $36.99 · high $54.69Jul 7, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
43% recommend buying · 7 analysts

🎯 Analyst price target on HGV

High target · 2 analysts$71+32.8%
Median target · 7 analysts$55+2.8%
Low target · 1 analyst$47-12.1%
Current price$53.48

🗳️ The analyst consensus

Analyst breakdown · 7 (6 months)
Strong Buy0%
Buy43%
Hold57%
Sell0%
Strong Sell0%

✅ Historical analyst reliability on HGV

Most reliable analysts on HGV (% profitable · 365j · ≥2 calls)
Morgan Stanley 100% +30.7% 2
JMP Securities 75% +10.7% 4
Mizuho 60% +3.8% 5
Truist Securities 58% -0.3% 12
Barclays 33% +5.6% 3
Goldman Sachs 0% -18.8% 5

📊 What $1,000 invested in Hilton Grand Vacations would be worth

In short — $1,000 invested in Hilton Grand Vacations 10 years ago would be worth $1,749 today, i.e. +6%/yr on average. Best year: 2021 (+66%), worst: 2018 (-37%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Hilton Grand Vacations

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$1,345+34%
3 years ago$1,359+36%
5 years ago$1,670+67%
since inception (2017)$1,749+75%

Return by year (Hilton Grand Vacations)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+17%$1,170 (+17%)
2025+15%$1,345 (+34%)
2024-3%$1,303 (+30%)
2023+4%$1,359 (+36%)
2022-26%$1,005 (+0%)
2021+66%$1,670 (+67%)
2020-9%$1,523 (+52%)
2019+30%$1,984 (+98%)
2018-37%$1,248 (+25%)
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

👥 Analysts & forecasts📊 Returns & performance
📈 Fundamentals, technical momentum and live news will show here on the final site (loaded live from the same origin as the API).

📋 All analyst calls on HGV

▲ Buy · 🎯$71
Price at call : $46.06 — upside +54%
Today : $53.48 — upside +33%
🎯 on HGV : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 18, 27
Barclays
May 1, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$51
Price at call : $45.35 — gap to target +12%
Today : $53.48 — gap to target -5%
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 27
Wells Fargo
Apr 16, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$47
Price at call : $46.01 — gap to target +2%
Today : $53.48 — gap to target -12%
🎯 on HGV : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 16, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $44.92 — gap to target +22%
Today : $53.48 — gap to target +3%
🎯 on HGV : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47% · +2.9% (413 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 10, 27
Citizens
Mar 9, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$55
Price at call : $43.22 — upside +27%
Today : $53.48 — upside +3%
🎯 on HGV : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 9, 27
Jefferies
Mar 2, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $44.31 — gap to target +13%
Today : $53.48 — gap to target -7%
🎯 on HGV : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · +2.2% (145 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 2, 27
Barclays
Mar 2, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$48
Price at call : $44.31 — gap to target +8%
Today : $53.48 — gap to target -10%
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 2, 27
Mizuho
Feb 27, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$69
Price at call : $43.11 — upside +60%
Today : $53.48 — upside +29%
🎯 on HGV : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -13.8% (64 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 27, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$49
Price at call : $46.71 — gap to target +5%
Today : $53.48 — gap to target -8%
🎯 on HGV : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47% · +2.9% (413 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 16, 27
Wells Fargo
Nov 18, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$42
Price at call : $37.39 — gap to target +12%
Today : $53.48 — gap to target -21%
🎯 on HGV : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 18, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$59
Price at call : $38.32 — upside +54%
Today : $53.48 — upside +10%
🎯 on HGV : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 14, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$62
Price at call : $46.74 — upside +33%
Today : $53.48 — upside +16%
🎯 on HGV : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 21, 26
Mizuho
Aug 1, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$76
Price at call : $44.26 — upside +72%
Today : $53.48 — upside +42%
🎯 on HGV : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -13.8% (64 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 1, 26
Barclays
Aug 1, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$49
Price at call : $44.49 — gap to target +10%
Today : $53.48 — gap to target -8%
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 1, 26
Mizuho
Jul 21, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$73
Price at call : $48.75 — upside +50%
Today : $53.48 — upside +36%
🎯 on HGV : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -13.8% (64 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 21, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$50
Price at call : $37.81 — upside +32%
Today : $53.48 — upside -7%
Expected +32% · Actual +29% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 75% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+28.6%
stock +29% · XLY +21%
Barclays
May 2, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$42
Price at call : $38.42 — gap to target +9%
Today : $53.48 — gap to target -21%
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 2, 26
Mizuho
May 2, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$70
Price at call : $38.42 — upside +82%
Today : $53.48 — upside +31%
Expected +82% · Actual +18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -13.8% (64 calls)
+18.0%
stock +18% · XLY +18%
▼ Sell · 🎯$34
Price at call : $38.42 — upside -12%
Today : $53.48 — upside -36%
Expected -12% · Actual +18% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 0% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 51.2% · +4.7% (256 calls)
-18.0%
stock +18% · XLY +18%
▲ Overweight · 🎯$38
Price at call : $33.37 — upside +14%
Today : $53.48 — upside -29%
Expected +14% · Actual +40% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47% · +2.9% (413 calls)
+39.5%
stock +40% · XLY +28%
Goldman Sachs
Apr 14, 25
▼ Sell · 🎯$30
Price at call : $33.1 — upside -9%
Today : $53.48 — upside -44%
Expected -9% · Actual +43% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 0% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 51.2% · +4.7% (256 calls)
-43.1%
stock +43% · XLY +25%
▲ Buy · 🎯$63
Price at call : $37.53 — upside +68%
Today : $53.48 — upside +18%
Expected +68% · Actual +15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
+15.2%
stock +15% · XLY +16%
▼ Sell · 🎯$42
Price at call : $41 — upside +2%
Today : $53.48 — upside -21%
Expected +2% · Actual +9% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 0% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 51.2% · +4.7% (256 calls)
-8.9%
stock +9% · XLY +12%
Barclays
Feb 28, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $42.47 — gap to target +6%
Today : $53.48 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 28, 26
Mizuho
Feb 28, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$60
Price at call : $42.9 — upside +40%
Today : $53.48 — upside +12%
Expected +40% · Actual +0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -13.8% (64 calls)
+0.5%
stock +0% · XLY +7%
▲ Overweight · 🎯$47
Price at call : $38.06 — upside +23%
Today : $53.48 — upside -12%
Expected +23% · Actual +22% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47% · +2.9% (413 calls)
+21.9%
stock +22% · XLY +7%
JMP Securities
Dec 18, 24
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$50
Price at call : $38.65 — upside +29%
Today : $53.48 — upside -7%
Expected +29% · Actual +17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 75% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+17.3%
stock +17% · XLY +7%
Barclays
Dec 13, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$41
Price at call : $40.31 — gap to target +2%
Today : $53.48 — gap to target -23%
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 13, 25
Goldman Sachs
Dec 10, 24
▼ Sell · 🎯$37
Price at call : $41.03 — upside -10%
Today : $53.48 — upside -31%
Expected -10% · Actual +5% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 0% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 51.2% · +4.7% (256 calls)
-4.8%
stock +5% · XLY +3%
▲ Buy · 🎯$51
Price at call : $41.64 — upside +22%
Today : $53.48 — upside -5%
Expected +22% · Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
+2.2%
stock +2% · XLY +6%
Mizuho
Nov 12, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$55
Price at call : $43.19 — upside +27%
Today : $53.48 — upside +3%
Expected +27% · Actual -6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -13.8% (64 calls)
-6.5%
stock -6% · XLY +10%
Barclays
Nov 8, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$44
Price at call : $42.42 — upside +4%
Today : $53.48 — upside -18%
Expected +4% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
-5.4%
stock -5% · XLY +9%
Goldman Sachs
Sep 18, 24
▼ Sell · 🎯$31
Price at call : $37.32 — upside -17%
Today : $53.48 — upside -42%
Expected -17% · Actual +19% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 0% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 51.2% · +4.7% (256 calls)
-19.3%
stock +19% · XLY +22%
▲ Buy · 🎯$52
Price at call : $36.48 — upside +43%
Today : $53.48 — upside -3%
Expected +43% · Actual +30% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
+30.3%
stock +30% · XLY +29%
JP Morgan
Aug 10, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$36
Price at call : $33.97 — gap to target +6%
Today : $53.48 — gap to target -33%
🎯 on HGV : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.8% · +0.7% (360 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 10, 25
Barclays
Aug 9, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$40
Price at call : $33.97 — upside +18%
Today : $53.48 — upside -25%
Expected +18% · Actual +28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
+28.1%
stock +28% · XLY +29%
Mizuho
Aug 9, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$57
Price at call : $34.57 — upside +65%
Today : $53.48 — upside +7%
Expected +65% · Actual +26% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -13.8% (64 calls)
+25.9%
stock +26% · XLY +29%
Jefferies
Aug 9, 24
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$35
Price at call : $34.57 — gap to target +1%
Today : $53.48 — gap to target -35%
🎯 on HGV : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · +2.2% (145 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 9, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$71
Price at call : $41.79 — upside +70%
Today : $53.48 — upside +33%
Expected +70% · Actual -9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
-9.1%
stock -9% · XLY +23%
JP Morgan
Apr 15, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$59
Price at call : $43.7 — upside +35%
Today : $53.48 — upside +10%
Expected +35% · Actual -24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.8% · +0.7% (360 calls)
-24.3%
stock -24% · XLY +8%
Mizuho
Mar 26, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$63
Price at call : $47.4 — upside +33%
Today : $53.48 — upside +18%
Expected +33% · Actual -19% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 31.2% · -13.8% (64 calls)
-19.0%
stock -19% · XLY +11%
▲ Buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $45.05 — upside +55%
Today : $53.48 — upside +31%
Expected +55% · Actual -18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
-18.3%
stock -18% · XLY +10%
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$55
Price at call : $44.32 — upside +24%
Today : $53.48 — upside +3%
Expected +24% · Actual -4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 75% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-4.2%
stock -4% · XLY +16%
Barclays
Mar 1, 24
▲ Overweight · 🎯$54
Price at call : $45.13 — upside +20%
Today : $53.48 — upside +1%
Expected +20% · Actual -6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 33% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.9% · +3.0% (378 calls)
-5.9%
stock -6% · XLY +15%
JMP Securities
Feb 13, 24
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$55
Price at call : $41.74 — upside +32%
Today : $53.48 — upside +3%
Expected +32% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 75% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+1.0%
stock +1% · XLY +27%
Jefferies
Jan 2, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $41.47 — upside +21%
Today : $53.48 — upside -7%
Expected +21% · Actual -8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · +2.2% (145 calls)
-7.5%
stock -8% · XLY +25%
▲ Buy · 🎯$66
Price at call : $35.32 — upside +87%
Today : $53.48 — upside +23%
Expected +87% · Actual +18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on HGV : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
+18.5%
stock +18% · XLY +29%
Jefferies
Oct 5, 23
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$45
Price at call : $37.81 — gap to target +19%
Today : $53.48 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on HGV : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · +2.2% (145 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 4, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$59
Price at call : $41.63 — upside +42%
Today : $53.48 — upside +10%
Expected +42% · Actual -12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.7% · +0.4% (234 calls)
-12.4%
stock -12% · XLY +8%
▲ Buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $45.29 — upside +66%
Today : $53.48 — upside +40%
Expected +66% · Actual -25% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
-25.0%
stock -25% · XLY +2%
▲ Buy · 🎯$76
Price at call : $42.41 — upside +79%
Today : $53.48 — upside +42%
Expected +79% · Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
+1.6%
stock +2% · XLY +21%
▲ Buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $50.21 — upside +49%
Today : $53.48 — upside +40%
Expected +49% · Actual -12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
-11.7%
stock -12% · XLY +24%
▲ Buy · 🎯$62
Price at call : $42.47 — upside +46%
Today : $53.48 — upside +16%
Expected +46% · Actual -14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
-13.5%
stock -14% · XLY +16%
▲ Buy · 🎯$63
Price at call : $44.96 — upside +40%
Today : $53.48 — upside +18%
Expected +40% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
+0.7%
stock +1% · XLY +0%
▲ Buy · 🎯$63
Price at call : $46 — upside +37%
Today : $53.48 — upside +18%
Expected +37% · Actual +6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on HGV : 58% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 41.8% · -3.3% (170 calls)
+5.8%
stock +6% · XLY -13%
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)