Murphy USA (MUSA): are the analysts right?

Oct 23, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$460

Price at call : $378.6 — upside +22%

Today : $537.63 — upside -14%

🎯 on MUSA : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +3.9% (203 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 26

Oct 15, 25

■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$405

Price at call : $379.57 — gap to target +7%

Today : $537.63 — gap to target -25%

🎯 on MUSA : 75% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 15, 26

Aug 1, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$440

Price at call : $366.16 — upside +20%

Today : $537.63 — upside -18%

🎯 on MUSA : 75% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 1, 26

Jul 25, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$480

Price at call : $422.59 — upside +14%

Today : $537.63 — upside -11%

🎯 on MUSA : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +3.9% (203 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 25, 26

May 9, 25

■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy

🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.8% · +7.5% (213 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : May 9, 26

May 9, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$475

Price at call : $439.48 — upside +8%

Today : $537.63 — upside -12%

Expected +8% · Actual +32% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 61.8% · +18.0% (55 calls)

+31.5%

stock +32% · XLY +12%

May 9, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$525

Price at call : $439.48 — upside +19%

Today : $537.63 — upside -2%

Expected +19% · Actual +32% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +3.9% (203 calls)

+31.5%

stock +32% · XLY +12%

Apr 11, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$550

Price at call : $513.92 — upside +7%

Today : $537.63 — upside +2%

Expected +7% · Actual -4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on MUSA : 50% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.8% · +3.9% (203 calls)

-3.6%

stock -4% · XLY +20%

Feb 7, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$550

Price at call : $481.04 — upside +14%

Today : $537.63 — upside +2%

Expected +14% · Actual -23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on MUSA : 75% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)

-23.3%

stock -23% · XLY +4%

Feb 6, 25

■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$554

Price at call : $481.04 — gap to target +15%

Today : $537.63 — gap to target +3%

🎯 on MUSA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 6, 26

JP Morgan ↗

Sep 19, 24

▼ Underweight · 🎯$435

Price at call : $492.76 — upside -12%

Today : $537.63 — upside -19%

Expected -12% · Actual -22% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 45.8% · +0.7% (360 calls)

+22.3%

stock -22% · XLY +22%

Aug 2, 24

▲ Overweight · 🎯$560

Price at call : $508.63 — upside +10%

Today : $537.63 — upside +4%

Expected +10% · Actual -28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on MUSA : 75% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)

-28.0%

stock -28% · XLY +28%

Aug 2, 24

▲ Outperform · 🎯$545

Price at call : $508.63 — upside +7%

Today : $537.63 — upside +1%

Expected +7% · Actual -28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.8% · +7.5% (213 calls)

-28.0%

stock -28% · XLY +28%

Aug 1, 24

■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$537

Price at call : $513.14 — gap to target +5%

Today : $537.63 — gap to target -0%

🎯 on MUSA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 1, 25

Jul 18, 24

▲ Outperform · 🎯$530

Price at call : $511.11 — upside +4%

Today : $537.63 — upside -1%

Expected +4% · Actual -17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.8% · +7.5% (213 calls)

-17.4%

stock -17% · XLY +19%

Apr 19, 24

▲ Overweight · 🎯$460

Price at call : $418.07 — upside +10%

Today : $537.63 — upside -14%

Expected +10% · Actual +20% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 75% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)

+19.6%

stock +20% · XLY +6%

Apr 10, 24

▲ Overweight · 🎯$470

Price at call : $412.93 — upside +14%

Today : $537.63 — upside -13%

Expected +14% · Actual +17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 61.8% · +18.0% (55 calls)

+16.8%

stock +17% · XLY +5%

Feb 9, 24

▲ Overweight · 🎯$470

Price at call : $395.28 — upside +19%

Today : $537.63 — upside -13%

Expected +19% · Actual +24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 61.8% · +18.0% (55 calls)

+23.7%

stock +24% · XLY +26%

Feb 9, 24

▲ Overweight · 🎯$440

Price at call : $393.71 — upside +12%

Today : $537.63 — upside -18%

Expected +12% · Actual +24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 75% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)

+24.2%

stock +24% · XLY +26%

Feb 8, 24

▲ Overweight · 🎯$425

Price at call : $393.71 — upside +8%

Today : $537.63 — upside -21%

Expected +8% · Actual +24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 61.8% · +18.0% (55 calls)

+24.2%

stock +24% · XLY +26%

Feb 8, 24

■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$408

Price at call : $393.71 — gap to target +4%

Today : $537.63 — gap to target -24%

🎯 on MUSA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 7, 25

Jefferies ↗

Jan 4, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$425

Price at call : $374.23 — upside +14%

Today : $537.63 — upside -21%

Expected +14% · Actual +34% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 47.6% · +2.2% (145 calls)

+33.7%

stock +34% · XLY +31%

Nov 3, 23

▲ Overweight · 🎯$425

Price at call : $374.32 — upside +14%

Today : $537.63 — upside -21%

Expected +14% · Actual +28% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 61.8% · +18.0% (55 calls)

+28.3%

stock +28% · XLY +24%

Nov 2, 23

▲ Overweight · 🎯$410

Price at call : $378.84 — upside +8%

Today : $537.63 — upside -24%

Expected +8% · Actual +27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 61.8% · +18.0% (55 calls)

+26.8%

stock +27% · XLY +24%

Goldman Sachs ↗

Oct 26, 23

▼ Sell · 🎯$280

Price at call : $363.84 — upside -23%

Today : $537.63 — upside -48%

Expected -23% · Actual +33% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on MUSA : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 51.2% · +4.7% (256 calls)

-32.6%

stock +33% · XLY +35%

Sep 25, 23

▲ Overweight · 🎯$385

Price at call : $340.09 — upside +13%

Today : $537.63 — upside -28%

Expected +13% · Actual +44% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 75% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)

+43.8%

stock +44% · XLY +26%

Aug 3, 23

■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$360

Price at call : $300.6 — gap to target +20%

Today : $537.63 — gap to target -33%

🎯 on MUSA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 2, 24

Aug 3, 23

▲ Overweight · 🎯$370

Price at call : $300.6 — upside +23%

Today : $537.63 — upside -31%

Expected +23% · Actual +69% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 61.8% · +18.0% (55 calls)

+69.2%

stock +69% · XLY -0%

Jul 18, 23

▲ Outperform · 🎯$350

Price at call : $320.18 — upside +9%

Today : $537.63 — upside -35%

Expected +9% · Actual +53% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.8% · +7.5% (213 calls)

+52.8%

stock +53% · XLY +9%

May 5, 23

▲ Outperform · 🎯$315

Price at call : $291.88 — upside +8%

Today : $537.63 — upside -41%

Expected +8% · Actual +38% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.8% · +7.5% (213 calls)

+37.9%

stock +38% · XLY +22%

May 4, 23

▲ Overweight · 🎯$360

Price at call : $281.59 — upside +28%

Today : $537.63 — upside -33%

Expected +28% · Actual +39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 61.8% · +18.0% (55 calls)

+39.4%

stock +39% · XLY +23%

May 4, 23

▲ Overweight · 🎯$330

Price at call : $281.59 — upside +17%

Today : $537.63 — upside -39%

Expected +17% · Actual +39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 75% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)

+39.4%

stock +39% · XLY +23%

May 3, 23

■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$360

Price at call : $281.59 — gap to target +28%

Today : $537.63 — gap to target -33%

🎯 on MUSA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : May 2, 24

May 3, 23

▲ Overweight · 🎯$345

Price at call : $280.53 — upside +23%

Today : $537.63 — upside -36%

Expected +23% · Actual +41% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 61.8% · +18.0% (55 calls)

+41.3%

stock +41% · XLY +22%

Apr 25, 23

■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$360

Price at call : $273.12 — gap to target +32%

Today : $537.63 — gap to target -33%

🎯 on MUSA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 24, 24

Feb 3, 23

▲ Overweight · 🎯$325

Price at call : $259.75 — upside +25%

Today : $537.63 — upside -40%

Expected +25% · Actual +39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 75% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)

+39.4%

stock +39% · XLY +16%

Feb 3, 23

▲ Outperform · 🎯$305

Price at call : $253.77 — upside +20%

Today : $537.63 — upside -43%

Expected +20% · Actual +43% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.8% · +7.5% (213 calls)

+42.7%

stock +43% · XLY +16%

Jan 23, 23

▲ Overweight · 🎯$350

Price at call : $258.33 — upside +35%

Today : $537.63 — upside -35%

Expected +35% · Actual +39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 75% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)

+39.3%

stock +39% · XLY +23%

Jan 4, 23

■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$305

Price at call : $268.7 — gap to target +14%

Today : $537.63 — gap to target -43%

🎯 on MUSA : 75% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 4, 24

Dec 15, 22

■ Sector Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$360

Price at call : $279.11 — gap to target +29%

Today : $537.63 — gap to target -33%

🎯 on MUSA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 55.2% · +4.6% (172 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 15, 23

Oct 28, 22

▲ Overweight · 🎯$355

Price at call : $314.51 — upside +13%

Today : $537.63 — upside -34%

Expected +13% · Actual +15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 61.8% · +18.0% (55 calls)

+14.8%

stock +15% · XLY +5%

Oct 28, 22

▲ Outperform · 🎯$335

Price at call : $317.58 — upside +5%

Today : $537.63 — upside -38%

Expected +5% · Actual +14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.8% · +7.5% (213 calls)

+13.7%

stock +14% · XLY +4%

Goldman Sachs ↗

Oct 19, 22

▼ Sell · 🎯$228

Price at call : $276.98 — upside -18%

Today : $537.63 — upside -58%

Expected -18% · Actual +30% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on MUSA : 0% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 51.2% · +4.7% (256 calls)

-30.4%

stock +30% · XLY +10%

Jul 29, 22

▲ Outperform · 🎯$315

Price at call : $284.36 — upside +11%

Today : $537.63 — upside -41%

Expected +11% · Actual +8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.8% · +7.5% (213 calls)

+8.0%

stock +8% · XLY +7%

Jul 20, 22

▲ Outperform · 🎯$300

Price at call : $271.5 — upside +10%

Today : $537.63 — upside -44%

Expected +10% · Actual +17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.8% · +7.5% (213 calls)

+17.3%

stock +17% · XLY +12%

Jul 11, 22

▲ Overweight · 🎯$300

Price at call : $266.79 — upside +12%

Today : $537.63 — upside -44%

Expected +12% · Actual +17% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 100% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 61.8% · +18.0% (55 calls)

+16.8%

stock +17% · XLY +20%

May 25, 22

■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$230

Price at call : $244.66 — gap to target -6%

Today : $537.63 — gap to target -57%

🎯 on MUSA : 75% (8 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 48.5% · +6.5% (326 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : May 25, 23

May 5, 22

▲ Outperform · 🎯$270

Price at call : $240.45 — upside +12%

Today : $537.63 — upside -50%

Expected +12% · Actual +21% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.8% · +7.5% (213 calls)

+21.4%

stock +21% · XLY -8%

Apr 19, 22

▲ Outperform · 🎯$260

Price at call : $244.6 — upside +6%

Today : $537.63 — upside -52%

Expected +6% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.8% · +7.5% (213 calls)

+11.3%

stock +11% · XLY -20%

Jan 28, 22

▲ Outperform · 🎯$215

Price at call : $192.37 — upside +12%

Today : $537.63 — upside -60%

Expected +12% · Actual +40% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on MUSA : 82% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Cons. disc. : 49.8% · +7.5% (213 calls)

+39.5%

stock +40% · XLY -18%