Timken (TKR): are the analysts right?

Timken · Industrials · ref. ETF XLI · 75 calls · price $140.91
What the company does: The Timken Company fabrique et vend des roulements industriels et produits de motion mécanique mondialement.
📈 1-year price
$138.06+79.4% over range
Jul 8, 25low $70.79 · high $145.32Jul 7, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
86% recommend buying · 7 analysts
⚠️ The stock trades above the median target: it has beaten expectations. The “Buy” reflects conviction on the company, but the remaining quantified upside is low/negative.

🎯 Analyst price target on TKR

High target · 2 analysts$150+6.5%
Median target · 7 analysts$140-0.6%
Low target · 2 analysts$119-15.5%
Current price$140.91

🗳️ The analyst consensus

Analyst breakdown · 7 (6 months)
Strong Buy0%
Buy86%
Hold14%
Sell0%
Strong Sell0%

💰 Timken dividend

0.99%annual yield
📈 Steady dividend12 yrs of consecutive dividend increases
That's ~$1.41 per share per year.

✅ Historical analyst reliability on TKR

Most reliable analysts on TKR (% profitable · 365j · ≥2 calls)
Citigroup 100% +53.1% 5
Morgan Stanley 100% +53.1% 2
Evercore ISI Group 100% +28.2% 6
B of A Securities 45% -2.1% 11
Jefferies 42% +5.7% 12

📊 What $1,000 invested in Timken would be worth

In short — $1,000 invested in Timken 10 years ago would be worth $5,473 today, i.e. +19%/yr on average. Best year: 2016 (+67%), worst: 2018 (-19%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Timken

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$1,810+81%
3 years ago$1,765+76%
5 years ago$1,921+92%
10 years ago$5,473+447%
since inception (1984)$16,323+1532%

Return by year (Timken)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+56%$1,559 (+56%)
2025+16%$1,810 (+81%)
2024-2%$1,774 (+77%)
2023-1%$1,765 (+76%)
2022+23%$2,175 (+118%)
2021-12%$1,921 (+92%)
2020+44%$2,766 (+177%)
2019+23%$3,412 (+241%)
2018-19%$2,765 (+177%)
2017+18%$3,273 (+227%)
2016+67%$5,473 (+447%)
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

👥 Analysts & forecasts📊 Returns & performance💰 Dividend
📈 Fundamentals, technical momentum and live news will show here on the final site (loaded live from the same origin as the API).

📋 All analyst calls on TKR

Oppenheimer
Jun 5, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$147
Price at call : $134.67 — upside +9%
Today : $140.91 — upside +4%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 51.2% · +4.7% (201 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 5, 27
JP Morgan
May 26, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$150
Price at call : $127.16 — upside +18%
Today : $140.91 — upside +6%
🎯 on TKR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48% · +4.8% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 26, 27
Oppenheimer
May 22, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$137
Price at call : $127.42 — upside +8%
Today : $140.91 — upside -3%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 51.2% · +4.7% (201 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 27
DA Davidson
May 21, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$120
Price at call : $119.95 — gap to target +0%
Today : $140.91 — gap to target -15%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 43% · +15.0% (93 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 21, 27
JP Morgan
May 15, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$130
Price at call : $114.49 — gap to target +14%
Today : $140.91 — gap to target -8%
🎯 on TKR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48% · +4.8% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 27
DA Davidson
May 11, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$117
Price at call : $117.12 — gap to target -0%
Today : $140.91 — gap to target -17%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 43% · +15.0% (93 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 11, 27
Citigroup
May 7, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$140
Price at call : $117.97 — upside +19%
Today : $140.91 — upside -1%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.7% · +5.1% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 7, 27
JP Morgan
May 7, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$110
Price at call : $117.97 — upside -7%
Today : $140.91 — upside -22%
🎯 on TKR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48% · +4.8% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 7, 27
Keybanc
May 7, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$140
Price at call : $117.97 — upside +19%
Today : $140.91 — upside -1%
🎯 on TKR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 53.3% · +7.2% (428 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 7, 27
Oppenheimer
May 7, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$132
Price at call : $116.34 — upside +13%
Today : $140.91 — upside -6%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 51.2% · +4.7% (201 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 7, 27
Oppenheimer
Apr 20, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$117
Price at call : $108.75 — upside +8%
Today : $140.91 — upside -17%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 51.2% · +4.7% (201 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 20, 27
Citigroup
Apr 13, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$125
Price at call : $106.81 — upside +17%
Today : $140.91 — upside -11%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.7% · +5.1% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 13, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$119
Price at call : $100.57 — upside +18%
Today : $140.91 — upside -16%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 40.8% · -4.0% (380 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 30, 27
JP Morgan
Mar 26, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$100
Price at call : $97.56 — upside +3%
Today : $140.91 — upside -29%
🎯 on TKR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48% · +4.8% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 26, 27
JP Morgan
Mar 9, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $102.18 — gap to target -2%
Today : $140.91 — gap to target -29%
🎯 on TKR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48% · +4.8% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 9, 27
▲ Outperform · 🎯$129
Price at call : $109.52 — upside +18%
Today : $140.91 — upside -8%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 59.1% · +7.0% (44 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 23, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$116
Price at call : $108.82 — upside +7%
Today : $140.91 — upside -18%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 40.8% · -4.0% (380 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 10, 27
DA Davidson
Feb 10, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$108
Price at call : $108.82 — gap to target -1%
Today : $140.91 — gap to target -23%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 43% · +15.0% (93 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 10, 27
Keybanc
Feb 9, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$130
Price at call : $108.93 — upside +19%
Today : $140.91 — upside -8%
🎯 on TKR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 53.3% · +7.2% (428 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 9, 27
Citigroup
Feb 6, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$115
Price at call : $108.93 — upside +6%
Today : $140.91 — upside -18%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.7% · +5.1% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 6, 27
JP Morgan
Feb 5, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$90
Price at call : $106.04 — gap to target -15%
Today : $140.91 — gap to target -36%
🎯 on TKR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48% · +4.8% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 5, 27
Oppenheimer
Jan 26, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$104
Price at call : $94.02 — upside +11%
Today : $140.91 — upside -26%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 51.2% · +4.7% (201 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 26, 27
Citigroup
Jan 13, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$105
Price at call : $91.91 — upside +14%
Today : $140.91 — upside -25%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.7% · +5.1% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 27
Citigroup
Dec 11, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $87.38 — upside +14%
Today : $140.91 — upside -29%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.7% · +5.1% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 11, 26
DA Davidson
Nov 3, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$86
Price at call : $76.29 — gap to target +13%
Today : $140.91 — gap to target -39%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 43% · +15.0% (93 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 3, 26
JP Morgan
Oct 30, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$85
Price at call : $78.51 — gap to target +8%
Today : $140.91 — gap to target -40%
🎯 on TKR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48% · +4.8% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 30, 26
Citigroup
Sep 23, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$90
Price at call : $76.75 — upside +17%
Today : $140.91 — upside -36%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.7% · +5.1% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 23, 26
JP Morgan
Sep 15, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$80
Price at call : $77.38 — gap to target +3%
Today : $140.91 — gap to target -43%
🎯 on TKR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48% · +4.8% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 15, 26
DA Davidson
Jul 22, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$80
Price at call : $80.99 — gap to target -1%
Today : $140.91 — gap to target -43%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 43% · +15.0% (93 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 26
Citigroup
Jun 24, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$80
Price at call : $73.05 — upside +10%
Today : $140.91 — upside -43%
Expected +10% · Actual +97% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TKR : 100% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.7% · +5.1% (337 calls)
+97.1%
stock +97% · XLI +28%
▲ Outperform · 🎯$85
Price at call : $73.12 — upside +16%
Today : $140.91 — upside -40%
Expected +16% · Actual +50% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TKR : 100% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 59.1% · +7.0% (44 calls)
+49.6%
stock +50% · XLI +17%
Citigroup
May 8, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $68.62 — upside +9%
Today : $140.91 — upside -47%
Expected +9% · Actual +71% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TKR : 100% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.7% · +5.1% (337 calls)
+71.1%
stock +71% · XLI +29%
DA Davidson
May 5, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$71
Price at call : $66.27 — gap to target +7%
Today : $140.91 — gap to target -50%
🎯 on TKR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 43% · +15.0% (93 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 5, 26
Oppenheimer
May 1, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$88
Price at call : $66.55 — upside +32%
Today : $140.91 — upside -38%
Expected +32% · Actual +61% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TKR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 51.2% · +4.7% (201 calls)
+61.0%
stock +61% · XLI +27%
DA Davidson
Apr 21, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy
🎯 on TKR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 43% · +15.0% (93 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 21, 26
Loop Capital
Apr 17, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $60.19 — gap to target +8%
Today : $140.91 — gap to target -54%
🎯 on TKR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 53.2% · +5.8% (62 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 17, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$88
Price at call : $61.42 — upside +43%
Today : $140.91 — upside -38%
Expected +43% · Actual +75% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TKR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 40.8% · -4.0% (380 calls)
+75.3%
stock +75% · XLI +38%
Citigroup
Apr 8, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $63.61 — upside +10%
Today : $140.91 — upside -50%
Expected +10% · Actual +68% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TKR : 100% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.7% · +5.1% (337 calls)
+68.1%
stock +68% · XLI +36%
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $63.41 — gap to target +18%
Today : $140.91 — gap to target -47%
🎯 on TKR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 50.6% · +5.3% (174 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 2, 26
Jefferies
Apr 2, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $70.44 — gap to target -1%
Today : $140.91 — gap to target -50%
🎯 on TKR : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 45.3% · +4.3% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 2, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$102
Price at call : $83.79 — upside +22%
Today : $140.91 — upside -28%
Expected +22% · Actual +29% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TKR : 100% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 59.1% · +7.0% (44 calls)
+29.1%
stock +29% · XLI +29%
▲ Overweight · 🎯$94
Price at call : $82.04 — upside +15%
Today : $140.91 — upside -33%
Expected +15% · Actual +31% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TKR : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 40.8% · -4.0% (380 calls)
+30.9%
stock +31% · XLI +25%
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$85
Price at call : $81.28 — gap to target +5%
Today : $140.91 — gap to target -40%
🎯 on TKR : 45% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 52.6% · +4.2% (251 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 6, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$78
Price at call : $81.64 — gap to target -4%
Today : $140.91 — gap to target -45%
🎯 on TKR : 45% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 52.6% · +4.2% (251 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 4, 26
Citigroup
Jan 14, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$85
Price at call : $76.13 — upside +12%
Today : $140.91 — upside -40%
Expected +12% · Actual +23% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TKR : 100% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.7% · +5.1% (337 calls)
+23.1%
stock +23% · XLI +23%
Citigroup
Dec 9, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$90
Price at call : $78.48 — upside +15%
Today : $140.91 — upside -36%
Expected +15% · Actual +6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TKR : 100% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.7% · +5.1% (337 calls)
+6.0%
stock +6% · XLI +10%
Jefferies
Dec 6, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$95
Price at call : $76.34 — upside +24%
Today : $140.91 — upside -33%
Expected +24% · Actual +9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TKR : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 45.3% · +4.3% (181 calls)
+9.3%
stock +9% · XLI +10%
Keybanc
Nov 22, 24
■ Sector Weight neutral · not a buy
🎯 on TKR : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 53.3% · +7.2% (428 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 22, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$91
Price at call : $74.5 — upside +22%
Today : $140.91 — upside -35%
Expected +22% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TKR : 100% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 59.1% · +7.0% (44 calls)
+4.5%
stock +5% · XLI +7%
DA Davidson
Nov 6, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$99
Price at call : $77 — upside +29%
Today : $140.91 — upside -30%
Expected +29% · Actual +3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TKR : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 43% · +15.0% (93 calls)
+2.6%
stock +3% · XLI +9%
▼ Underperform · 🎯$74
Price at call : $71.9 — upside +3%
Today : $140.91 — upside -47%
Expected +3% · Actual +17% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TKR : 45% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 52.6% · +4.2% (251 calls)
-16.9%
stock +17% · XLI +35%
▲ Outperform · 🎯$83
Price at call : $75.22 — upside +10%
Today : $140.91 — upside -41%
Expected +10% · Actual +19% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TKR : 100% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 59.1% · +7.0% (44 calls)
+19.4%
stock +19% · XLI +25%
Jefferies
Mar 6, 23
▲ Buy · 🎯$105
Price at call : $87.68 — upside +20%
Today : $140.91 — upside -25%
Expected +20% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TKR : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 45.3% · +4.3% (181 calls)
-5.1%
stock -5% · XLI +17%
▲ Buy · 🎯$87
Price at call : $78.15 — upside +11%
Today : $140.91 — upside -38%
Expected +11% · Actual -0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TKR : 45% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 52.6% · +4.2% (251 calls)
-0.2%
stock -0% · XLI +8%
Jefferies
Jul 15, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$75
Price at call : $54.66 — upside +37%
Today : $140.91 — upside -47%
Expected +37% · Actual +69% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TKR : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 45.3% · +4.3% (181 calls)
+68.8%
stock +69% · XLI +26%
▲ Outperform · 🎯$78
Price at call : $68.8 — upside +13%
Today : $140.91 — upside -45%
Expected +13% · Actual +27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TKR : 100% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 59.1% · +7.0% (44 calls)
+27.4%
stock +27% · XLI +3%
Jefferies
Sep 16, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$100
Price at call : $68.02 — upside +47%
Today : $140.91 — upside -29%
Expected +47% · Actual -9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TKR : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 45.3% · +4.3% (181 calls)
-8.9%
stock -9% · XLI -12%
▲ Buy · 🎯$87
Price at call : $74.71 — upside +16%
Today : $140.91 — upside -38%
Expected +16% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TKR : 45% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 52.6% · +4.2% (251 calls)
-6.9%
stock -7% · XLI +16%
▲ Buy
Actual +45% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on TKR : 45% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 52.6% · +4.2% (251 calls)
+45.3%
stock +45% · XLI +8%
▼ Underperform · 🎯$53
Price at call : $53.44 — upside -1%
Today : $140.91 — upside -62%
Expected -1% · Actual +42% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on TKR : 45% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 52.6% · +4.2% (251 calls)
-41.9%
stock +42% · XLI +11%
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)