Commerce Bancshares (CBSH): are the analysts right?

Commerce Bancshares · Financials · ref. ETF XLF · 59 calls · price $58.27
What the company does: Commerce Bancshares opère banque proposant services bancaires de détail, hypothécaires et d'investissement aux États-Unis.
📈 1-year price
$58.84-5.1% over range
Jul 8, 25low $47.49 · high $62.96Jul 7, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
0% recommend buying · 5 analysts
⚠️ The stock trades above the median target: it has beaten expectations. The “Hold” reflects conviction on the company, but the remaining quantified upside is low/negative.

🎯 Analyst price target on CBSH

High target · 1 analyst$65+11.5%
Median target · 4 analysts$55.5-4.8%
Low target · 2 analysts$53-9.0%
Current price$58.27

🗳️ The analyst consensus

Analyst breakdown · 5 (6 months)
Strong Buy0%
Buy0%
Hold100%
Sell0%
Strong Sell0%

💰 Commerce Bancshares dividend

1.83%annual yield
📈 Steady dividend8 yrs of consecutive dividend increases
That's ~$1.07 per share per year.

✅ Historical analyst reliability on CBSH

Most reliable analysts on CBSH (% profitable · 365j · ≥2 calls)
Morgan Stanley 33% -5.3% 12

📊 What $1,000 invested in Commerce Bancshares would be worth

In short — $1,000 invested in Commerce Bancshares 10 years ago would be worth $1,822 today, i.e. +6%/yr on average. Best year: 2016 (+39%), worst: 2025 (-18%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in Commerce Bancshares

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$932-7%
3 years ago$1,011+1%
5 years ago$948-5%
10 years ago$1,822+82%
since inception (1980)$73,680+7268%

Return by year (Commerce Bancshares)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+13%$1,133 (+13%)
2025-18%$932 (-7%)
2024+31%$1,223 (+22%)
2023-17%$1,011 (+1%)
2022-8%$931 (-7%)
2021+2%$948 (-5%)
2020+27%$1,207 (+21%)
2019-3%$1,171 (+17%)
2018+14%$1,340 (+34%)
2017-2%$1,311 (+31%)
2016+39%$1,822 (+82%)
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

👥 Analysts & forecasts📊 Returns & performance💰 Dividend
📈 Fundamentals, technical momentum and live news will show here on the final site (loaded live from the same origin as the API).

📋 All analyst calls on CBSH

Piper Sandler
Jun 26, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$59
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +1%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 41.6% · +1.5% (209 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 26, 27
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$57
Price at call : $51.04 — gap to target +12%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target -2%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 45.5% · -0.9% (266 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 13, 27
TD Cowen
Apr 23, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$54
Price at call : $50.56 — gap to target +7%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target -7%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.8% · -2.6% (19 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 23, 27
Piper Sandler
Apr 23, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$58.5
Price at call : $50.56 — gap to target +16%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +0%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 41.6% · +1.5% (209 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 23, 27
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$56
Price at call : $50.56 — gap to target +11%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target -4%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 45.5% · -0.9% (266 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 23, 27
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$54
Price at call : $50.48 — gap to target +7%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target -7%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 45.5% · -0.9% (266 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 27
Wells Fargo
Mar 30, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$53
Price at call : $49.2 — gap to target +8%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target -9%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +0.9% (257 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 30, 27
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $51.61 — gap to target +26%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +12%
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 2, 27
Piper Sandler
Jan 26, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$62
Price at call : $52.09 — gap to target +19%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +6%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 41.6% · +1.5% (209 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 26, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $53.85 — gap to target +19%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +10%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 41.6% · +1.5% (209 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 9, 27
TD Cowen
Jan 7, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $55.01 — gap to target -0%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target -6%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.8% · -2.6% (19 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 7, 27
Wells Fargo
Oct 21, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $51.28 — gap to target +17%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +3%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +0.9% (257 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 21, 26
Piper Sandler
Oct 17, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$63
Price at call : $51.45 — gap to target +22%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +8%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 41.6% · +1.5% (209 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 17, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $51.12 — gap to target +17%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +3%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 45.5% · -0.9% (266 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 17, 26
Hovde Group
Oct 6, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$70
Price at call : $56.63 — upside +24%
Today : $58.27 — upside +20%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 6, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $56.91 — gap to target +23%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +20%
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 29, 26
Wells Fargo
Sep 29, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $56.65 — gap to target +15%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +12%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +0.9% (257 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 29, 26
TD Cowen
Sep 25, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$63
Price at call : $57 — gap to target +11%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +8%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 36.8% · -2.6% (19 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 25, 26
Wells Fargo
Jul 21, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$69
Price at call : $61.18 — gap to target +13%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +18%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +0.9% (257 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 21, 26
Piper Sandler
Jul 17, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $61.21 — gap to target +14%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +20%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 41.6% · +1.5% (209 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 26
Wells Fargo
Jul 10, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$62
Price at call : $62.33 — gap to target -1%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +6%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +0.9% (257 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 10, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$71
Price at call : $58.54 — gap to target +21%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +22%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 44.3% · -4.2% (115 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 24, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$61
Price at call : $57.55 — gap to target +6%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +5%
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 17, 26
Piper Sandler
Apr 17, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$66
Price at call : $55.93 — gap to target +18%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +13%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 41.6% · +1.5% (209 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 17, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $57.05 — gap to target +23%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +20%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 45.5% · -0.9% (266 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 17, 26
Wells Fargo
Apr 9, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $53.51 — gap to target +12%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +3%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +0.9% (257 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$58
Price at call : $52.93 — gap to target +10%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target -0%
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 26
▼ Underweight · 🎯$66
Price at call : $57.82 — upside +14%
Today : $58.27 — upside +13%
Expected +14% · Actual -17% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
+17.1%
stock -17% · XLF +2%
Wells Fargo
Jan 29, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70
Price at call : $63.62 — gap to target +10%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +20%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +0.9% (257 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 29, 26
Piper Sandler
Jan 23, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$72
Price at call : $62.86 — gap to target +15%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +24%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 41.6% · +1.5% (209 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 23, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$78
Price at call : $65.47 — gap to target +19%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +34%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 45.5% · -0.9% (266 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 4, 25
Wells Fargo
Dec 3, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$67
Price at call : $65.48 — gap to target +2%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +15%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +0.9% (257 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 3, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$66
Price at call : $54.47 — gap to target +21%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +13%
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 5, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$58
Price at call : $58.05 — gap to target -0%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target -0%
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 25
Wells Fargo
Jul 22, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$62
Price at call : $58.05 — gap to target +7%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +6%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +0.9% (257 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 22, 25
Jefferies
Jul 3, 24
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$62
Price at call : $49.9 — gap to target +24%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +6%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 47.1% · +1.3% (104 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 3, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$60
Price at call : $51.41 — gap to target +17%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target +3%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 45.5% · -0.9% (266 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 10, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$58
Price at call : $48.16 — gap to target +20%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target -0%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 45.5% · -0.9% (266 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 17, 25
Piper Sandler
Apr 17, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$54
Price at call : $48.14 — gap to target +12%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target -7%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 41.6% · +1.5% (209 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 17, 25
Raymond James
Apr 17, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$61
Price at call : $48.14 — upside +27%
Today : $58.27 — upside +5%
Expected +27% · Actual +19% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on CBSH : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 42.2% · -2.0% (332 calls)
+18.5%
stock +19% · XLF +18%
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $46.01 — gap to target +20%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target -6%
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 6, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$56
Price at call : $49.46 — gap to target +13%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target -4%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 45.5% · -0.9% (266 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 18, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $48.05 — gap to target +14%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target -6%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 44.3% · -4.2% (115 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 10, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$46
Price at call : $46.37 — gap to target -1%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target -21%
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 3, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$46.67
Price at call : $44.93 — gap to target +4%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target -20%
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 30, 24
Piper Sandler
Oct 20, 23
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$51
Price at call : $38.21 — gap to target +33%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target -12%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 41.6% · +1.5% (209 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 19, 24
Wells Fargo
Oct 20, 23
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $38.21 — gap to target +31%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on CBSH : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 49.4% · +0.9% (257 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 19, 24
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$49
Price at call : $41.08 — gap to target +19%
Today : $58.27 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 26, 24
▼ Underweight · 🎯$48
Price at call : $45.04 — upside +7%
Today : $58.27 — upside -18%
Expected +7% · Actual +31% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
-31.1%
stock +31% · XLF +24%
▼ Underweight · 🎯$48
Price at call : $42.52 — upside +13%
Today : $58.27 — upside -18%
Expected +13% · Actual +18% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
-18.2%
stock +18% · XLF +23%
▼ Underweight · 🎯$48
Price at call : $41.75 — upside +15%
Today : $58.27 — upside -18%
Expected +15% · Actual +24% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
-23.6%
stock +24% · XLF +32%
▼ Underweight · 🎯$70
Price at call : $59.28 — upside +18%
Today : $58.27 — upside +20%
Expected +18% · Actual -2% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
+2.2%
stock -2% · XLF -12%
▼ Underweight · 🎯$63
Price at call : $57.8 — upside +9%
Today : $58.27 — upside +8%
Expected +9% · Actual +6% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
-5.6%
stock +6% · XLF -7%
▼ Underweight · 🎯$62.86
Price at call : $56.37 — upside +12%
Today : $58.27 — upside +8%
Expected +12% · Actual +9% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
-8.5%
stock +9% · XLF -4%
▼ Underweight · 🎯$66
Price at call : $57.9 — upside +14%
Today : $58.27 — upside +13%
Expected +14% · Actual +6% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
-5.6%
stock +6% · XLF -15%
▼ Underweight · 🎯$67
Price at call : $61.27 — upside +9%
Today : $58.27 — upside +15%
Expected +9% · Actual +3% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
-3.0%
stock +3% · XLF +9%
▼ Underweight · 🎯$65
Price at call : $65.75 — upside -1%
Today : $58.27 — upside +12%
Expected -1% · Actual -7% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
+6.6%
stock -7% · XLF +13%
▼ Underweight · 🎯$64
Price at call : $63.94 — upside +0%
Today : $58.27 — upside +10%
Expected +0% · Actual -7% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
+7.5%
stock -7% · XLF +13%
▼ Underweight · 🎯$61
Price at call : $57.09 — upside +7%
Today : $58.27 — upside +5%
Expected +7% · Actual +1% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on CBSH : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.4% · +2.0% (352 calls)
-1.4%
stock +1% · XLF +32%
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)