American Airlines Group (AAL): are the analysts right?

American Airlines Group · Industrials · ref. ETF XLI · 113 calls · price $17.75
What the company does: American Airlines Group opère un réseau aérien reliant les États-Unis, l'Amérique latine et les marchés atlantique et pacifique.
📈 1-year price
$17.2+48.5% over range
Jul 8, 25low $10.18 · high $18.15Jul 7, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Hold
47% recommend buying · 15 analysts
⚠️ The stock trades above the median target: it has beaten expectations. The “Hold” reflects conviction on the company, but the remaining quantified upside is low/negative.

🎯 Analyst price target on AAL

High target · 1 analyst$31+74.6%
Median target · 14 analysts$16.5-7.0%
Low target · 1 analyst$12-32.4%
Current price$17.75

🗳️ The analyst consensus

Analyst breakdown · 15 (6 months)
Strong Buy0%
Buy47%
Hold53%
Sell0%
Strong Sell0%

✅ Historical analyst reliability on AAL

Most reliable analysts on AAL (% profitable · 365j · ≥2 calls)
B of A Securities 67% -5.8% 12
Deutsche Bank 50% +8.8% 12
JP Morgan 33% -16.3% 12
Bernstein 27% -4.1% 11
Citigroup 17% -35.9% 12

📊 What $1,000 invested in American Airlines Group would be worth

In short — $1,000 invested in American Airlines Group 10 years ago would be worth $427 today, i.e. -8%/yr on average. Best year: 2024 (+27%), worst: 2020 (-45%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in American Airlines Group

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$1,037+4%
3 years ago$1,421+42%
5 years ago$1,146+15%
10 years ago$427-57%
since inception (2005)$732-27%

Return by year (American Airlines Group)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+18%$1,179 (+18%)
2025-12%$1,037 (+4%)
2024+27%$1,315 (+32%)
2023+8%$1,421 (+42%)
2022-29%$1,006 (+1%)
2021+14%$1,146 (+15%)
2020-45%$630 (-37%)
2019-11%$563 (-44%)
2018-38%$347 (-65%)
2017+11%$387 (-61%)
2016+10%$427 (-57%)
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

👥 Analysts & forecasts📊 Returns & performance
📈 Fundamentals, technical momentum and live news will show here on the final site (loaded live from the same origin as the API).

📋 All analyst calls on AAL

Citigroup
Jun 26, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$22
Today : $17.75 — upside +24%
🎯 on AAL : 17% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.7% · +5.1% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 26, 27
Barclays
Jun 25, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$19
Price at call : $17.87 — gap to target +6%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.1% · +3.8% (385 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 25, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$17
Price at call : $17.87 — gap to target -5%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -4%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 59.1% · +7.0% (44 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 25, 27
Jefferies
Jun 24, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$16
Price at call : $17.57 — gap to target -9%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -10%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 45.3% · +4.3% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 24, 27
UBS
Jun 23, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$21
Price at call : $16.14 — upside +30%
Today : $17.75 — upside +18%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 47% · +3.3% (164 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 23, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$16
Price at call : $16.14 — gap to target -1%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -10%
🎯 on AAL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 52.6% · +4.2% (251 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 22, 27
Jefferies
Jun 16, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$15
Price at call : $15.42 — gap to target -3%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -15%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 45.3% · +4.3% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 16, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$24
Price at call : $14.34 — upside +67%
Today : $17.75 — upside +35%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 40.8% · -4.0% (380 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 1, 27
Deutsche Bank
May 29, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$18
Price at call : $14.34 — upside +26%
Today : $17.75 — upside +1%
🎯 on AAL : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 51.1% · +7.5% (221 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 29, 27
UBS
May 26, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$18
Price at call : $14.92 — upside +21%
Today : $17.75 — upside +1%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 47% · +3.3% (164 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 26, 27
Jefferies
Apr 27, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$13
Price at call : $11.64 — gap to target +12%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -27%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 45.3% · +4.3% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 27, 27
BMO Capital
Apr 24, 26
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$13.5
Price at call : $11.68 — gap to target +16%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -24%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 63.4% · +12.2% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 24, 27
Susquehanna
Apr 24, 26
▲ Positive · 🎯$16
Price at call : $12.1 — upside +32%
Today : $17.75 — upside -10%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 46.4% · +3.5% (56 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 24, 27
UBS
Apr 15, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$16
Price at call : $12.27 — upside +30%
Today : $17.75 — upside -10%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 47% · +3.3% (164 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 15, 27
UBS
Mar 23, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$14
Price at call : $10.71 — upside +31%
Today : $17.75 — upside -21%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 47% · +3.3% (164 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 23, 27
Citigroup
Mar 20, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$14
Price at call : $10.81 — upside +30%
Today : $17.75 — upside -21%
🎯 on AAL : 17% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.7% · +5.1% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 20, 27
UBS
Mar 16, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$15
Price at call : $10.86 — upside +38%
Today : $17.75 — upside -15%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 47% · +3.3% (164 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 16, 27
Wells Fargo
Mar 16, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$12
Price at call : $10.86 — gap to target +10%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -32%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.8% · +5.0% (248 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 16, 27
Jefferies
Mar 12, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$12
Price at call : $10.3 — gap to target +17%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -32%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 45.3% · +4.3% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 12, 27
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$14
Price at call : $10.55 — gap to target +33%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -21%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 59.1% · +7.0% (44 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 12, 27
TD Cowen
Mar 9, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$13
Price at call : $11.11 — upside +17%
Today : $17.75 — upside -27%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 43.5% · -1.2% (69 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 9, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$12.5
Price at call : $11.79 — gap to target +6%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -30%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 5, 27
Freedom Broker
Feb 20, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$31
Price at call : $13.59 — gap to target +128%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target +75%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 20, 27
TD Cowen
Jan 30, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$17
Price at call : $13.69 — upside +24%
Today : $17.75 — upside -4%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 43.5% · -1.2% (69 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 30, 27
JP Morgan
Jan 28, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$22
Price at call : $13.51 — upside +63%
Today : $17.75 — upside +24%
🎯 on AAL : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48% · +4.8% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 28, 27
Freedom Broker
Jan 28, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$17
Price at call : $13.44 — upside +26%
Today : $17.75 — upside -4%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 28, 27
Barclays
Jan 12, 26
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$16
Price at call : $15.35 — gap to target +4%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -10%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.1% · +3.8% (385 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 12, 27
Susquehanna
Jan 9, 26
▲ Positive · 🎯$20
Price at call : $15.99 — upside +25%
Today : $17.75 — upside +13%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 46.4% · +3.5% (56 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 9, 27
Citigroup
Jan 7, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$21
Price at call : $15.73 — upside +34%
Today : $17.75 — upside +18%
🎯 on AAL : 17% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.7% · +5.1% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 7, 27
TD Cowen
Jan 7, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$19
Price at call : $15.73 — upside +21%
Today : $17.75 — upside +7%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 43.5% · -1.2% (69 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 7, 27
UBS
Jan 6, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$21
Price at call : $15.99 — upside +31%
Today : $17.75 — upside +18%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 47% · +3.3% (164 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 6, 27
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$17
Price at call : $15.67 — gap to target +8%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -4%
🎯 on AAL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 52.6% · +4.2% (251 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 6, 27
Wells Fargo
Dec 18, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$17
Price at call : $15.61 — gap to target +9%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -4%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.8% · +5.0% (248 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 18, 26
UBS
Dec 12, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $15.33 — upside +30%
Today : $17.75 — upside +13%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 47% · +3.3% (164 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 12, 26
BMO Capital
Dec 9, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$16.75
Price at call : $15.03 — gap to target +11%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -6%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 63.4% · +12.2% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 9, 26
Citigroup
Dec 4, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$19
Price at call : $14.81 — upside +28%
Today : $17.75 — upside +7%
🎯 on AAL : 17% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.7% · +5.1% (337 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 4, 26
Freedom Broker
Oct 24, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$16
Price at call : $13.41 — upside +19%
Today : $17.75 — upside -10%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 24, 26
UBS
Oct 24, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$14
Price at call : $13.41 — gap to target +4%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -21%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 47% · +3.3% (164 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 24, 26
Susquehanna
Oct 3, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$12
Price at call : $11.83 — gap to target +1%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -32%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 46.4% · +3.5% (56 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 3, 26
Jefferies
Oct 1, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$13
Price at call : $11.43 — gap to target +14%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -27%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 45.3% · +4.3% (181 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 1, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$14
Price at call : $11.24 — gap to target +25%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -21%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 59.1% · +7.0% (44 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 29, 26
UBS
Sep 26, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$13
Price at call : $11.38 — gap to target +14%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -27%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 47% · +3.3% (164 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 26, 26
JP Morgan
Sep 12, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$20
Price at call : $12.91 — upside +55%
Today : $17.75 — upside +13%
🎯 on AAL : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48% · +4.8% (279 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 12, 26
Goldman Sachs
Aug 27, 25
▼ Sell · 🎯$10
Price at call : $13.25 — upside -25%
Today : $17.75 — upside -44%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 50.6% · +5.3% (174 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 27, 26
Raymond James
Aug 25, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 55.2% · +12.9% (259 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 25, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$13
Price at call : $13.22 — gap to target -2%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -27%
🎯 on AAL : 67% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 52.6% · +4.2% (251 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 18, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$13
Price at call : $11.58 — gap to target +12%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -27%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 59.1% · +7.0% (44 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 25, 26
■ In-Line neutral · not a buy · 🎯$12
Price at call : $12.22 — gap to target -2%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -32%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 59.1% · +7.0% (44 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 10, 26
Barclays
Jul 10, 25
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$12
Price at call : $12.22 — gap to target -2%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -32%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 48.1% · +3.8% (385 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 10, 26
UBS
Jul 7, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$12
Price at call : $11.58 — gap to target +4%
Today : $17.75 — gap to target -32%
🎯 on AAL : no call matured yet · 📊 on Industry : 47% · +3.3% (164 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 7, 26
Bernstein
Jun 18, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$14
Price at call : $10.62 — upside +32%
Today : $17.75 — upside -21%
Expected +32% · Actual +51% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAL : 27% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 14.3% · -15.9% (14 calls)
+51.4%
stock +51% · XLI +28%
Bernstein
May 13, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$15
Price at call : $11.84 — upside +27%
Today : $17.75 — upside -15%
Expected +27% · Actual +7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAL : 27% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 14.3% · -15.9% (14 calls)
+7.3%
stock +7% · XLI +24%
Bernstein
Apr 7, 25
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$12
Price at call : $9.07 — upside +32%
Today : $17.75 — upside -32%
Expected +32% · Actual +26% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AAL : 27% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 14.3% · -15.9% (14 calls)
+25.8%
stock +26% · XLI +46%
Citigroup
Mar 18, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $11.48 — upside +74%
Today : $17.75 — upside +13%
Expected +74% · Actual -6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAL : 17% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.7% · +5.1% (337 calls)
-5.9%
stock -6% · XLI +23%
Citigroup
Mar 12, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$21.5
Price at call : $10.67 — upside +101%
Today : $17.75 — upside +21%
Expected +101% · Actual -3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAL : 17% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.7% · +5.1% (337 calls)
-3.5%
stock -3% · XLI +28%
Bernstein
Mar 10, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$17
Price at call : $11.46 — upside +48%
Today : $17.75 — upside -4%
Expected +48% · Actual -4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAL : 27% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 14.3% · -15.9% (14 calls)
-3.7%
stock -4% · XLI +30%
JP Morgan
Mar 3, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$26
Price at call : $13.87 — upside +87%
Today : $17.75 — upside +46%
Expected +87% · Actual -10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAL : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48% · +4.8% (279 calls)
-10.2%
stock -10% · XLI +31%
Citigroup
Dec 12, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$23
Price at call : $16.92 — upside +36%
Today : $17.75 — upside +30%
Expected +36% · Actual -9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAL : 17% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 48.7% · +5.1% (337 calls)
-9.4%
stock -9% · XLI +14%
Bernstein
Dec 10, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$24
Price at call : $17.49 — upside +37%
Today : $17.75 — upside +35%
Expected +37% · Actual -13% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAL : 27% (11 calls matureds) · 📊 on Industry : 14.3% · -15.9% (14 calls)
-13.4%
stock -13% · XLI +12%
▲ Buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $17.4 — upside +15%
Today : $17.75 — upside +13%
Expected +15% · Actual -15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AAL : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Industry : 52.8% · +4.1% (36 calls)
-14.6%
stock -15% · XLI +10%
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)