MP Materials (MP): are the analysts right?

MP Materials · Materials · ref. ETF XLB · 52 calls · price $53.01
What the company does: MP Materials produit des matériaux de terres rares dans l'hémisphère occidental.
📈 1-year price
$50.49+61.9% over range
Jul 8, 25low $30.03 · high $98.65Jul 7, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
100% recommend buying · 6 analysts

🎯 Analyst price target on MP

High target · 1 analyst$100+88.6%
Median target · 5 analysts$81+52.8%
Low target · 2 analysts$69+30.2%
Current price$53.01

🗳️ The analyst consensus

Analyst breakdown · 6 (6 months)
Strong Buy0%
Buy100%
Hold0%
Sell0%
Strong Sell0%

✅ Historical analyst reliability on MP

Most reliable analysts on MP (% profitable · 365j · ≥2 calls)
Canaccord Genuity 100% +327.5% 2
Baird 100% +210.0% 4
DA Davidson 100% +205.6% 2

📊 What $1,000 invested in MP Materials would be worth

In short — $1,000 invested in MP Materials 10 years ago would be worth $5,635 today, i.e. +33%/yr on average. Best year: 2025 (+202%), worst: 2022 (-47%). Price performance, excluding dividends.

If I'd invested $1,000 in MP Materials

InvestmentWorth todayGain
1 years ago$3,077+208%
3 years ago$2,307+131%
5 years ago$1,741+74%
since inception (2020)$5,635+463%

Return by year (MP Materials)

YearReturn$1,000 invested at year start
2026 (YTD)+2%$1,019 (+2%)
2025+202%$3,077 (+208%)
2024-8%$2,822 (+182%)
2023-18%$2,307 (+131%)
2022-47%$1,233 (+23%)
2021+41%$1,741 (+74%)
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.

🔎 Detailed analyses

👥 Analysts & forecasts📊 Returns & performance
📈 Fundamentals, technical momentum and live news will show here on the final site (loaded live from the same origin as the API).

📋 All analyst calls on MP

DA Davidson
Jun 5, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $57.58 — upside +42%
Today : $53.01 — upside +55%
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 54.3% · +15.2% (35 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 5, 27
Needham
Jun 1, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$81
Price at call : $69.29 — upside +17%
Today : $53.01 — upside +53%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 overall : 43.2% · +4.7% (835 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 1, 27
Barclays
May 22, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$69
Price at call : $64.46 — upside +7%
Today : $53.01 — upside +30%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.5% · -5.4% (65 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 27
DA Davidson
May 20, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $61.74 — upside +33%
Today : $53.01 — upside +55%
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 54.3% · +15.2% (35 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 20, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$70
Price at call : $65.59 — upside +7%
Today : $53.01 — upside +32%
🎯 on MP : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 44.2% · +3.0% (86 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 11, 27
Wedbush
May 8, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$100
Price at call : $67.41 — upside +48%
Today : $53.01 — upside +89%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 overall : 45.3% · +3.0% (457 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 8, 27
Wedbush
Apr 20, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$90
Price at call : $66.23 — upside +36%
Today : $53.01 — upside +70%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 overall : 45.3% · +3.0% (457 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 20, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$62
Price at call : $53.9 — upside +15%
Today : $53.01 — upside +17%
🎯 on MP : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 44.2% · +3.0% (86 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 27
DA Davidson
Mar 11, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $60.03 — upside +37%
Today : $53.01 — upside +55%
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 54.3% · +15.2% (35 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 11, 27
DA Davidson
Feb 18, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $58.56 — upside +40%
Today : $53.01 — upside +55%
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 54.3% · +15.2% (35 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 18, 27
William Blair
Jan 13, 26
▲ Outperform
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 overall : 50.5% · +15.8% (103 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 27
▲ Overweight · 🎯$71
Price at call : $62.09 — upside +14%
Today : $53.01 — upside +34%
🎯 on MP : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 44.2% · +3.0% (86 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 5, 26
BMO Capital
Nov 24, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$75
Price at call : $59.04 — upside +27%
Today : $53.01 — upside +41%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.9% · +6.4% (114 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 24, 26
DA Davidson
Nov 20, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $55.27 — upside +48%
Today : $53.01 — upside +55%
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 54.3% · +15.2% (35 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 20, 26
Goldman Sachs
Nov 19, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$77
Price at call : $63.55 — upside +21%
Today : $53.01 — upside +45%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 56.9% · +4.7% (65 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 19, 26
JP Morgan
Nov 14, 25
▲ Overweight · 🎯$74
Price at call : $58.64 — upside +26%
Today : $53.01 — upside +40%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 46.8% · +2.2% (126 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 14, 26
Deutsche Bank
Nov 10, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$71
Price at call : $64.18 — upside +11%
Today : $53.01 — upside +34%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 10, 26
DA Davidson
Nov 7, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $64.18 — upside +28%
Today : $53.01 — upside +55%
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 54.3% · +15.2% (35 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 7, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$112
Price at call : $89.85 — upside +25%
Today : $53.01 — upside +111%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 49.3% · -0.4% (144 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 15, 26
Daiwa Capital
Sep 23, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$80
Price at call : $71.23 — upside +12%
Today : $53.01 — upside +51%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 23, 26
DA Davidson
Sep 2, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$82
Price at call : $65.99 — upside +24%
Today : $53.01 — upside +55%
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 54.3% · +15.2% (35 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 2, 26
Deutsche Bank
Aug 11, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68
Price at call : $74.95 — gap to target -9%
Today : $53.01 — gap to target +28%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 11, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$77
Price at call : $72.69 — upside +6%
Today : $53.01 — upside +45%
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 42.1% · +36.0% (19 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 8, 26
Baird
Jul 23, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$69
Price at call : $61.14 — upside +13%
Today : $53.01 — upside +30%
🎯 on MP : 100% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52.6% · +19.1% (38 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 23, 26
JP Morgan
Jul 21, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $59.01 — gap to target +8%
Today : $53.01 — gap to target +21%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 46.8% · +2.2% (126 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 21, 26
Deutsche Bank
Jul 17, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$67
Price at call : $63.22 — gap to target +6%
Today : $53.01 — gap to target +26%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $58.55 — upside +9%
Today : $53.01 — upside +21%
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 42.1% · +36.0% (19 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 16, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$55
Price at call : $45.11 — upside +22%
Today : $53.01 — upside +4%
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 42.1% · +36.0% (19 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 11, 26
Jefferies
Jul 7, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$33
Price at call : $31.05 — gap to target +6%
Today : $53.01 — gap to target -38%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 7, 26
Baird
Jun 17, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$38
Price at call : $37.22 — upside +2%
Today : $53.01 — upside -28%
Expected +2% · Actual +64% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 100% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52.6% · +19.1% (38 calls)
+63.6%
stock +64% · XLB +19%
▲ Overweight · 🎯$34
Price at call : $27.69 — upside +23%
Today : $53.01 — upside -36%
Expected +23% · Actual +108% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 44.2% · +3.0% (86 calls)
+107.9%
stock +108% · XLB +13%
JP Morgan
May 12, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18
Price at call : $20.77 — gap to target -13%
Today : $53.01 — gap to target -66%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 46.8% · +2.2% (126 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 12, 26
JP Morgan
May 1, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$21
Price at call : $25.01 — gap to target -16%
Today : $53.01 — gap to target -60%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 46.8% · +2.2% (126 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 1, 26
BMO Capital
Mar 20, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$29
Price at call : $26.25 — gap to target +10%
Today : $53.01 — gap to target -45%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.9% · +6.4% (114 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 20, 26
DA Davidson
Mar 19, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$32
Price at call : $26.25 — upside +22%
Today : $53.01 — upside -40%
Expected +22% · Actual +93% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 54.3% · +15.2% (35 calls)
+92.8%
stock +93% · XLB +8%
BMO Capital
Jan 27, 25
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$22
Price at call : $20.82 — gap to target +6%
Today : $53.01 — gap to target -58%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.9% · +6.4% (114 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 27, 26
Baird
Jan 23, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$30
Price at call : $21.41 — upside +40%
Today : $53.01 — upside -43%
Expected +40% · Actual +225% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 100% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52.6% · +19.1% (38 calls)
+225.0%
stock +225% · XLB +12%
▲ Buy · 🎯$26
Price at call : $20.84 — upside +25%
Today : $53.01 — upside -51%
Expected +25% · Actual +197% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 42.1% · +36.0% (19 calls)
+197.3%
stock +197% · XLB -5%
BMO Capital
Oct 25, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18.5
Price at call : $18.64 — gap to target -1%
Today : $53.01 — gap to target -65%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.9% · +6.4% (114 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 25, 25
JP Morgan
Oct 21, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18
Price at call : $18.08 — gap to target -0%
Today : $53.01 — gap to target -66%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 46.8% · +2.2% (126 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 21, 25
DA Davidson
Oct 1, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$23
Price at call : $16.96 — upside +36%
Today : $53.01 — upside -57%
Expected +36% · Actual +318% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 54.3% · +15.2% (35 calls)
+318.4%
stock +318% · XLB -6%
BMO Capital
Sep 30, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$16
Price at call : $17.54 — gap to target -9%
Today : $53.01 — gap to target -70%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.9% · +6.4% (114 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 30, 25
Baird
Sep 27, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$25
Price at call : $18.39 — upside +36%
Today : $53.01 — upside -53%
Expected +36% · Actual +271% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 100% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52.6% · +19.1% (38 calls)
+270.7%
stock +271% · XLB -8%
■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$16
Price at call : $13.89 — gap to target +15%
Today : $53.01 — gap to target -70%
🎯 on MP : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 44.2% · +3.0% (86 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 19, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$19
Price at call : $12.8 — upside +48%
Today : $53.01 — upside -64%
Expected +48% · Actual +458% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 42.1% · +36.0% (19 calls)
+457.8%
stock +458% · XLB -1%
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$12.5
Price at call : $10.49 — gap to target +19%
Today : $53.01 — gap to target -76%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 47.2% · -1.5% (106 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 6, 25
Benchmark
Aug 2, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$30
Price at call : $10.52 — upside +185%
Today : $53.01 — upside -43%
Expected +185% · Actual +522% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Materials : 80% · +119.4% (5 calls)
+521.9%
stock +522% · XLB -0%
JP Morgan
Jul 23, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$15
Price at call : $14.1 — gap to target +6%
Today : $53.01 — gap to target -72%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 46.8% · +2.2% (126 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 23, 25
Baird
Jul 15, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$20
Price at call : $15.3 — upside +31%
Today : $53.01 — upside -62%
Expected +31% · Actual +281% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on MP : 100% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 52.6% · +19.1% (38 calls)
+280.5%
stock +281% · XLB -1%
BMO Capital
Jul 15, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$16.5
Price at call : $15.3 — gap to target +8%
Today : $53.01 — gap to target -69%
🎯 on MP : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.9% · +6.4% (114 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 15, 25
▲ Outperform
Actual -37% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on MP : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 overall : 61.7% · +27.4% (47 calls)
-37.3%
stock -37% · XLB +11%
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$32
Price at call : $25.19 — gap to target +27%
Today : $53.01 — gap to target -40%
🎯 on MP : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 overall : 61.7% · +27.4% (47 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 17, 24
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)