Is Needham a reliable analyst?

In short — Over 1 year, 65.7% of Needham's targets proved profitable, for an average gain of +32.0% per call (all calls, winners and losers) — i.e. +10.6% vs its sector, across 1332 timestamped calls replayed against real prices. JPI verdict: fairly reliable. An analyst can be good in one sector and poor in another — details below.
65.7%profitable calls
+32.0%avg gain / call
+10.6%vs sector
1332scored calls

In which sectors is Needham reliable?

SectorCalls % profitable Avg gain 2015+ Avg gain 2020+ Last 12 months
Finance4072.5%+96.4%+96.4%+5.9% (19)
Tech72070%+39.7%+41.2%+49.8% (142)
Industry9064.4%+29.6%+29.9%-3.5% (21)
Cons. disc.16065.6%+28.1%+27.1%+2.6% (33)
Comm.12862.5%+12.5%+10.7%-0.1% (32)
Health15155.6%+11.6%+10.4%-13.6% (36)
Real estate2552%+0.7%+0.7%-43.4% (5)
Cons. staples1811.1%-17.6%-17.6%-6.7% (18)

The stocks Needham covers (track record per stock)

StockCalls % profitable Avg gain 2015+ Avg gain 2020+ Last 12 months
LITE Lumentum2070%+180.0%+194.3%+136.2% (7)
TPR Tapestry, Inc.887.5%+95.9%+115.7%
NVDA Nvidia2688.5%+103.8%+109.6%+3.7% (7)
COIN Coinbase2969%+108.9%+108.9%-24.1% (5)
COHR Coherent Corp.2295.5%+100.9%+100.9%+101.1% (4)
TRMB Trimble Inc.5100%+88.4%+98.4%
HOOD Robinhood Markets7100%+92.1%+92.1%+17.9% (9)
CIEN Ciena2387%+87.5%+87.5%+79.4% (7)
LRCX Lam Research1580%+82.5%+82.5%+93.8% (5)
MU Micron Technology2576%+63.7%+79.8%+237.1% (8)
CRWD CrowdStrike3585.7%+69.2%+69.5%+55.7% (5)
CVNA Carvana2568%+68.6%+66.6%-0.8% (7)
ANET Arista Networks1593.3%+59.4%+64.7%+17.8% (5)
AXON Axon Enterprise2572%+53.9%+55.2%+4.0% (4)
KLAC KLA Corporation1181.8%+43.8%+50.6%+49.9% (5)
MPWR Monolithic Power Systems2391.3%+50.4%+50.4%+22.4% (4)
DHR Danaher Corporation5100%+50.6%+48.8%
NFLX Netflix1060%+31.9%+48.6%-29.8% (6)
ON ON Semiconductor3063.3%+45.1%+47.7%+29.3% (4)
AMAT Applied Materials2972.4%+41.5%+46.7%+75.7% (4)
EBAY eBay Inc.3100%+46.1%+46.1%+27.1% (4)
BKNG Booking Holdings4100%+44.8%+44.8%
TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific10100%+40.6%+39.6%
RL Ralph Lauren Corporation1190.9%+37.0%+39.3%+20.9% (4)
NXPI NXP Semiconductors2369.6%+32.4%+34.9%+13.3% (3)
% profitable = share of its calls that made money (1 year). Avg gain / call = average absolute gain per call (winners and losers). Point-in-time, S&P 500 backtest.
JPI AI Analyst AI assistant · JPI Invest
Answers based on the tool’s data · not financial advice · full version (free)