Alcoa (AA): are the analysts right?

Jun 25, 26

▲ Overweight · 🎯$71

Price at call : $54.1 — upside +31%

Today : $52.83 — upside +34%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.8% · -4.2% (170 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 25, 27

May 22, 26

▲ Buy · 🎯$80

Price at call : $74.57 — upside +7%

Today : $52.83 — upside +51%

🎯 on AA : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 41.7% · -7.4% (96 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : May 22, 27

May 7, 26

▲ Overweight · 🎯$70

Price at call : $63.18 — upside +11%

Today : $52.83 — upside +33%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.8% · -4.2% (170 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : May 7, 27

Apr 9, 26

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70

Price at call : $73.03 — gap to target -4%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target +33%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 46.8% · +2.2% (126 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 27

BMO Capital ↗

Apr 9, 26

■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$75

Price at call : $73.27 — gap to target +2%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target +42%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.9% · +6.4% (114 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 27

Apr 9, 26

▲ Overweight · 🎯$80

Price at call : $73.27 — upside +9%

Today : $52.83 — upside +51%

🎯 on AA : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.2% · +3.0% (86 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 9, 27

Apr 7, 26

▲ Buy · 🎯$96

Price at call : $71.76 — upside +34%

Today : $52.83 — upside +82%

🎯 on AA : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 39.1% · +8.0% (46 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 7, 27

Citigroup ↗

Mar 16, 26

▲ Buy · 🎯$76

Price at call : $65.42 — upside +16%

Today : $52.83 — upside +44%

🎯 on AA : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.3% · +0.7% (149 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 16, 27

Mar 13, 26

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$68

Price at call : $63.59 — gap to target +7%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target +29%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 46.8% · +2.2% (126 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 13, 27

Mar 12, 26

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$70

Price at call : $63.59 — gap to target +10%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target +33%

🎯 on AA : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 41.7% · -7.4% (96 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 12, 27

Freedom Broker

Jan 30, 26

▲ Buy · 🎯$77

Price at call : $56.81 — upside +36%

Today : $52.83 — upside +46%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall

in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 30, 27

Jan 27, 26

■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64

Price at call : $59.66 — gap to target +7%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target +21%

🎯 on AA : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.2% · +3.0% (86 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 27, 27

Jan 23, 26

■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64

Price at call : $58.55 — gap to target +9%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target +21%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.8% · -4.2% (170 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 23, 27

Jan 13, 26

■ Equal-Weight neutral · not a buy · 🎯$71

Price at call : $65.37 — gap to target +9%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target +34%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.8% · -4.2% (170 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 13, 27

Jan 8, 26

▼ Underweight · 🎯$50

Price at call : $61.09 — upside -18%

Today : $52.83 — upside -5%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 46.8% · +2.2% (126 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 8, 27

Dec 23, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$58

Price at call : $53.63 — upside +8%

Today : $52.83 — upside +10%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.8% · -4.2% (170 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 23, 26

Citigroup ↗

Dec 19, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$54

Price at call : $53.72 — upside +1%

Today : $52.83 — upside +2%

🎯 on AA : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 48.3% · +0.7% (149 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 19, 26

Dec 12, 25

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$48

Price at call : $45.49 — gap to target +6%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target -9%

🎯 on AA : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 41.7% · -7.4% (96 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 12, 26

Dec 5, 25

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$45

Price at call : $44.46 — gap to target +1%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target -15%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 46.8% · +2.2% (126 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Dec 5, 26

Freedom Broker

Nov 7, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$40

Price at call : $38.79 — upside +3%

Today : $52.83 — upside -24%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall

in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 7, 26

Oct 23, 25

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$35

Price at call : $39.42 — gap to target -11%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target -34%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 46.8% · +2.2% (126 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 26

BMO Capital ↗

Oct 23, 25

■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$37

Price at call : $40.14 — gap to target -8%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target -30%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 57.9% · +6.4% (114 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 23, 26

HSBC ↗

Oct 17, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$41

Price at call : $38.96 — upside +5%

Today : $52.83 — upside -22%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 50% · +15.0% (4 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 17, 26

Oct 9, 25

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$34

Price at call : $37 — gap to target -8%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target -36%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 46.8% · +2.2% (126 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 9, 26

Oct 8, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$42.5

Price at call : $37 — upside +15%

Today : $52.83 — upside -20%

🎯 on AA : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.2% · +3.0% (86 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 8, 26

Oct 8, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$40

Price at call : $37.06 — upside +8%

Today : $52.83 — upside -24%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 41.8% · -4.2% (170 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 8, 26

Freedom Broker

Sep 30, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$45

Price at call : $33.85 — upside +33%

Today : $52.83 — upside -15%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall

in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 30, 26

Sep 23, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$40

Price at call : $31.23 — upside +28%

Today : $52.83 — upside -24%

🎯 on AA : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 39.1% · +8.0% (46 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 23, 26

Sep 19, 25

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$34

Price at call : $32.63 — gap to target +4%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target -36%

🎯 on AA : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 41.7% · -7.4% (96 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 19, 26

Sep 9, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$38

Price at call : $30.93 — upside +23%

Today : $52.83 — upside -28%

🎯 on AA : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 39.1% · +8.0% (46 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Sep 9, 26

Jul 18, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$38

Price at call : $30.33 — upside +25%

Today : $52.83 — upside -28%

🎯 on AA : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.2% · +3.0% (86 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 18, 26

Jul 17, 25

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$27

Price at call : $30.33 — gap to target -11%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target -49%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 46.8% · +2.2% (126 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 26

B of A Securities ↗

Jul 17, 25

▼ Underperform · 🎯$27

Price at call : $29.39 — upside -8%

Today : $52.83 — upside -49%

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 49.3% · -0.4% (144 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 26

Jul 15, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$40

Price at call : $28.56 — upside +40%

Today : $52.83 — upside -24%

🎯 on AA : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.2% · +3.0% (86 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 15, 26

Jul 15, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$37

Price at call : $28.56 — upside +30%

Today : $52.83 — upside -30%

🎯 on AA : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 39.1% · +8.0% (46 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 15, 26

Jun 24, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$38

Price at call : $28.17 — upside +35%

Today : $52.83 — upside -28%

Expected +35% · Actual +88% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 39.1% · +8.0% (46 calls)

+88.4%

stock +88% · XLB +19%

Jun 22, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$37.5

Price at call : $28.71 — upside +31%

Today : $52.83 — upside -29%

Expected +31% · Actual +92% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.2% · +3.0% (86 calls)

+91.8%

stock +92% · XLB +17%

Jun 18, 25

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$28

Price at call : $28.35 — gap to target -1%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target -47%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 46.8% · +2.2% (126 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 18, 26

May 15, 25

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$31

Price at call : $28.67 — gap to target +8%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target -41%

🎯 on AA : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 41.7% · -7.4% (96 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : May 15, 26

Apr 21, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$35

Price at call : $24.32 — upside +44%

Today : $52.83 — upside -34%

Expected +44% · Actual +182% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.2% · +3.0% (86 calls)

+181.8%

stock +182% · XLB +27%

Apr 17, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$43

Price at call : $23.3 — upside +85%

Today : $52.83 — upside -19%

Expected +85% · Actual +186% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 39.1% · +8.0% (46 calls)

+185.5%

stock +186% · XLB +31%

Apr 17, 25

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$25

Price at call : $23.3 — gap to target +7%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target -53%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 46.8% · +2.2% (126 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 17, 26

Apr 15, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$32

Price at call : $25.07 — upside +28%

Today : $52.83 — upside -39%

Expected +28% · Actual +181% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 41.7% · -7.4% (96 calls)

+180.8%

stock +181% · XLB +29%

Apr 10, 25

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$28

Price at call : $24.75 — gap to target +13%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target -47%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 46.8% · +2.2% (126 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 10, 26

Apr 9, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$39

Price at call : $23.75 — upside +64%

Today : $52.83 — upside -26%

Expected +64% · Actual +207% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.2% · +3.0% (86 calls)

+207.5%

stock +207% · XLB +33%

Apr 8, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$44

Price at call : $25.86 — upside +70%

Today : $52.83 — upside -17%

Expected +70% · Actual +183% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 39.1% · +8.0% (46 calls)

+183.3%

stock +183% · XLB +28%

B of A Securities ↗

Apr 8, 25

▼ Underperform · 🎯$26

Price at call : $22.57 — upside +15%

Today : $52.83 — upside -51%

Expected +15% · Actual +218% · Reason (≤ −15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 42% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 49.3% · -0.4% (144 calls)

-217.9%

stock +218% · XLB +39%

Mar 27, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$47

Price at call : $30.66 — upside +53%

Today : $52.83 — upside -11%

Expected +53% · Actual +106% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 41.7% · -7.4% (96 calls)

+106.2%

stock +106% · XLB +15%

Jan 28, 25

▲ Overweight · 🎯$51

Price at call : $35.13 — upside +45%

Today : $52.83 — upside -3%

Expected +45% · Actual +73% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.2% · +3.0% (86 calls)

+72.6%

stock +73% · XLB +13%

Jan 16, 25

■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$40

Price at call : $38.91 — gap to target +3%

Today : $52.83 — gap to target -24%

🎯 on AA : no call matured yet · 📊 on Materials : 46.8% · +2.2% (126 calls)

in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 16, 26

Jefferies ↗

Jan 6, 25

▲ Buy · 🎯$45

Price at call : $36.49 — upside +23%

Today : $52.83 — upside -15%

Expected +23% · Actual +74% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 30% (10 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 51.1% · +1.9% (90 calls)

+74.2%

stock +74% · XLB +13%

Dec 11, 24

▲ Overweight · 🎯$55

Price at call : $39.62 — upside +39%

Today : $52.83 — upside +4%

Expected +39% · Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes

🎯 on AA : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.2% · +3.0% (86 calls)

+16.5%

stock +16% · XLB +0%

Argus Research ↗

Oct 23, 24

▲ Buy

Actual -4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 20% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 27.3% · -9.4% (11 calls)

-4.2%

stock -4% · XLB -7%

Oct 18, 24

▲ Overweight · 🎯$49

Price at call : $41.71 — upside +17%

Today : $52.83 — upside -7%

Expected +17% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 50% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 44.2% · +3.0% (86 calls)

-6.6%

stock -7% · XLB -9%

Oct 17, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$50

Price at call : $40.35 — upside +24%

Today : $52.83 — upside -5%

Expected +24% · Actual -11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 57% (7 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 39.1% · +8.0% (46 calls)

-10.9%

stock -11% · XLB -10%

Oct 15, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$50

Price at call : $42.07 — upside +19%

Today : $52.83 — upside -5%

Expected +19% · Actual -12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 41.7% · -7.4% (96 calls)

-11.7%

stock -12% · XLB -9%

Sep 19, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$40

Price at call : $33.83 — upside +18%

Today : $52.83 — upside -24%

Expected +18% · Actual -4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 41.7% · -7.4% (96 calls)

-3.5%

stock -4% · XLB -4%

Aug 13, 24

▲ Buy · 🎯$38

Price at call : $31.6 — upside +20%

Today : $52.83 — upside -28%

Expected +20% · Actual +0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No

🎯 on AA : 56% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Materials : 41.7% · -7.4% (96 calls)

+0.4%

stock +0% · XLB +2%