Is CIBC a reliable analyst?

In short — Over 1 year, 50% of CIBC's targets proved profitable, for an average gain of +14.7% per call (all calls, winners and losers) — i.e. +3.4% vs its sector, across 14 timestamped calls replayed against real prices. JPI verdict: mixed reliability. An analyst can be good in one sector and poor in another — details below.

50%profitable calls

+14.7%avg gain / call

+3.4%vs sector

14scored calls

In which sectors is CIBC reliable?

Sector

Calls

% profitable

Avg gain 2015+

Avg gain 2020+

Last 12 months

▸ Materials

62.5%

+24.6%

+26.1%

+3.3% (1)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
NEM	▲ Outperformer	Apr 21, 26	Apr 21, 27	$111.85	🎯$176	$115.59	+57%	+3% so far
NEM	▲ Outperformer	Oct 10, 25	Oct 10, 26	$85.14	🎯$112	$117.49	+32%	+37.6%
NEM	▲ Outperformer	Jul 10, 24	Jul 10, 25	$47.17	🎯$61	$59.91	+29%	+27.5%
NEM	▲ Outperformer	Feb 24, 20	Feb 23, 21	$50.26	🎯$58	$56.79	+15%	+13.1%
MOS	▲ Outperformer	Aug 7, 19	Aug 6, 20	$22.72	—	$16.13	—	-29%
FCX	▲ Outperformer	May 2, 18	May 2, 19	$15.11	—	$11.48	—	-23.8%
FCX	▲ Sector Outperform	Sep 15, 17	Sep 15, 18	$13.88	🎯$18	$13.74	+30%	-1.1%
NEM	▲ Outperform	Jul 24, 15	Jul 23, 16	$17.8	—	$40.05	—	+125.5%

The 25 stocks CIBC performed best on

Stock

Calls

% profitable

Avg gain 2015+

Avg gain 2020+

Last 12 months

▸ NEM Newmont

100%

+50.9%

+26.1%

+3.3% (1)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
NEM	▲ Outperformer	Apr 21, 26	Apr 21, 27	$111.85	🎯$176	$115.59	+57%	+3% so far
NEM	▲ Outperformer	Oct 10, 25	Oct 10, 26	$85.14	🎯$112	$117.49	+32%	+37.6%
NEM	▲ Outperformer	Jul 10, 24	Jul 10, 25	$47.17	🎯$61	$59.91	+29%	+27.5%
NEM	▲ Outperformer	Feb 24, 20	Feb 23, 21	$50.26	🎯$58	$56.79	+15%	+13.1%
NEM	▲ Outperform	Jul 24, 15	Jul 23, 16	$17.8	—	$40.05	—	+125.5%
NEM	▼ Sector Underperform	Jul 10, 13	Jul 10, 14	$26.61	—	$25.55	—	+4.4%

▸ WY Weyerhaeuser

-7.1%

-18.8% (1)

Stock	Rating	Issued	Matures (1yr)	Price at call	Target	End price	Targeted	Result
WY	▲ Outperformer	Dec 12, 25	Dec 12, 26	$23.35	🎯$28	$18.97	+20%	-19% so far
WY	▲ Outperformer	Sep 11, 25	Sep 11, 26	$24.9	🎯$31	$22.16	+24%	-10.7%
WY	▲ Outperformer	Apr 22, 25	Apr 22, 26	$25.31	🎯$32	$25.06	+26%	-1.2%
WY	▲ Outperformer	Jan 15, 25	Jan 15, 26	$29.56	🎯$35	$26.9	+18%	-9.3%

% profitable = share of its calls that made money (1 year). Avg gain / call = average absolute gain per call (winners and losers). Point-in-time, S&P 500 backtest.

❓ CIBC: frequently asked questions

Is CIBC a reliable analyst? How accurate are their price targets?

Over 12 months, 50% of CIBC's targets were profitable, averaging +14.7% per call (+3.4% vs their sector), across 14 timestamped calls. Verdict: mixed reliability. We judge on real results, not reputation — the call-by-call detail is further up this page.