JPI portfolios, year by year
| Year | 🎯 Fair | ⚡ Risk+ | S&P 500 | Top pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | +40% | +76% | +16% | VSAT +305% |
| 2024 | +10% | +4% | +23% | UAL +135% |
| 2023 | +32% | +48% | +24% | ARLO +171% |
| 2022 | -11% | -10% | -19% | OXY +117% |
| 2021 | +33% | +42% | +27% | SYNA +200% |
| 2020 | +14% | +12% | +16% | ALRM +141% |
| 2019 | +43% | +46% | +29% | BOOT +162% |
| 2018 | +6% | +2% | -6% | GKOS +119% |
| 2017 | +17% | +31% | +19% | VRTX +103% |
| 2016 | +15% | +21% | +10% | OKE +133% |
| 2015 | +8% | +8% | -1% | LMAT +126% |
📊 See the full 11-year backtest →
FAQ
Can I see the recommended stocks each year?
Yes: for each year since 2015 we show the 20 stocks the JPI Fair method would have picked on Jan 1 (using only prior info), and their real 12-month return. Click a year in the table.
Does the method beat the market every year?
No. Over 11 years it beat the S&P 500 8 times. Some years are negative (2018, 2022). It's lumpy — the edge shows over time, not every year.
Where's the full record?
On the Backtests page: over 11 years (2015-2025) the JPI Fair method returned +19.8%/yr vs +11.5% for the S&P 500 — $100,000 becomes $728,916 instead of $332,028 — every year everything is sold and the whole amount, gains included, goes into the next selection. JPI Risk + reaches +22.1%/yr. Per-method detail and risk/return ratio on the page.
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 11 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email