Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Assured Guaranty Ltd. · Financials · ref. ETF XLF · 38 calls · price $75.84
What the company does: Assured Guaranty Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally.
📈 Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) stock price
$75.84-7.4% over range
Aug 28, 25low $73.2 · high $92.18Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
100% recommend buying · 2 analysts
📊 JPI status : Assured Guaranty Ltd. has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
🎯 AGO price target & analyst consensus — price $75.84
The price target · all analysts combined (2 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 2$97+27.9%
Median target · of 2 targets$95.5+25.9%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 2$94+23.9%
Current price$75.84
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Keefe, Bruyette & Woods — 67% of its targets hit on this sector (291 calls tested). It aims for $97 (+28 %), call made on August 14, 2026, maturing on August 14, 2027 (14 d ago).
The 1 reliable analyst
$97+28 %
The 1 other firm
$94+24 %
How to read it: the 1 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 1 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $97 median. “The 1 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 2 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy2100%
Hold00%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 AGO price target all
All 38 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 38 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on AGO most reliable
Their real reliability on AGO, firm by firm: who was right, who was wrong.
→ See their reliability on AGOAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Assured Guaranty Ltd.? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
🔎 Detailed analyses
✅ Historical analyst reliability on AGO
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTIG ↗ | 100% | +43.6% | 2 |
| UBS ↗ | 67% | +9.7% | 6 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗ | 60% | +7.0% | 5 |
| Macquarie ↗ | 50% | +6.5% | 4 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in Assured Guaranty Ltd. would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in Assured Guaranty Ltd. 10 years ago would be worth $3,128 today, i.e. +12%/yr on average. Best year: 2021 (+59%), worst: 2020 (-36%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in Assured Guaranty Ltd.
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $919 | -8% |
| 3 years ago | $1,328 | +33% |
| 5 years ago | $2,626 | +163% |
Return by year (Assured Guaranty Ltd.)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | -8% | $920 (-8%) |
| 2025 | 0% | $919 (-8%) |
| 2024 | +20% | $1,105 (+10%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on Assured Guaranty Ltd.
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📋 All analyst calls on AGO
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Aug 13, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$97
Price at call : $76.79 — upside +26%
Today : $75.84 — upside +28%
🎯 on AGO : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 13, 27
matures : Aug 13, 27
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jul 17, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$101
Price at call : $84.96 — upside +19%
Today : $75.84 — upside +33%
🎯 on AGO : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 17, 27
matures : Jul 17, 27
▲ Buy · 🎯$94
Price at call : $78.82 — upside +19%
Today : $75.84 — upside +24%
🎯 on AGO : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 19, 27
matures : May 19, 27
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Mar 19, 26
▲ Outperform · 🎯$103
Price at call : $80.81 — upside +27%
Today : $75.84 — upside +36%
🎯 on AGO : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 19, 27
matures : Mar 19, 27
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Nov 19, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$108
Price at call : $88.05 — upside +23%
Today : $75.84 — upside +42%
🎯 on AGO : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 19, 26
matures : Nov 19, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$94
Price at call : $88.96 — gap to target +6%
Today : $75.84 — gap to target +24%
🎯 on AGO : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 17, 26
matures : Nov 17, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$92
Price at call : $82.54 — gap to target +11%
Today : $75.84 — gap to target +21%
🎯 on AGO : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 13, 26
matures : Aug 13, 26
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$95
Price at call : $91.55 — gap to target +4%
Today : $75.84 — gap to target +25%
🎯 on AGO : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Nov 18, 25
matures : Nov 18, 25
See the other 30 calls, newest to oldest
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Nov 18, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$105
Price at call : $91.96 — upside +14%
Today : $75.84 — upside +38%
Expected +14% · Actual -3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AGO : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
-3.3%
stock -3% · XLF +3%
matured Nov 18, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$87
Price at call : $86.77 — gap to target +0%
Today : $75.84 — gap to target +15%
🎯 on AGO : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 17, 25
matures : Oct 17, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$84
Price at call : $74.68 — gap to target +12%
Today : $75.84 — gap to target +11%
🎯 on AGO : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Aug 9, 25
matures : Aug 9, 25
Roth MKM
Jul 9, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$110
Price at call : $80.62 — upside +36%
Today : $75.84 — upside +45%
Expected +36% · Actual +3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AGO : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
+3.2%
stock +3% · XLF +26%
matured Jul 9, 25
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jul 9, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$92
Price at call : $80.7 — upside +14%
Today : $75.84 — upside +21%
Expected +14% · Actual +3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AGO : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
+3.4%
stock +3% · XLF +26%
matured Jul 9, 25
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
May 31, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$87
Price at call : $77.72 — gap to target +12%
Today : $75.84 — gap to target +15%
🎯 on AGO : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : May 31, 25
matures : May 31, 25
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Apr 1, 24
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$92
Price at call : $85.53 — gap to target +8%
Today : $75.84 — gap to target +21%
🎯 on AGO : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 1, 25
matures : Apr 1, 25
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$102
Price at call : $91.1 — gap to target +12%
Today : $75.84 — gap to target +34%
🎯 on AGO : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 1, 25
matures : Mar 1, 25
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Nov 17, 23
▲ Outperform · 🎯$75
Price at call : $65.97 — upside +14%
Today : $75.84 — upside -1%
Expected +14% · Actual +39% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AGO : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
+39.4%
stock +39% · XLF +43%
matured Nov 16, 24
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $57.1 — gap to target +12%
Today : $75.84 — gap to target -16%
🎯 on AGO : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 12, 24
matures : Jul 12, 24
Compass Point ↗
Nov 28, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$84
Price at call : $63.99 — upside +31%
Today : $75.84 — upside +11%
Expected +31% · Actual +7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AGO : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 36.1% · -3.2% (61 calls)
+6.7%
stock +7% · XLF -1%
matured Nov 28, 23
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $59.96 — gap to target +8%
Today : $75.84 — gap to target -14%
🎯 on AGO : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 5, 23
matures : Apr 5, 23
MKM Partners
Nov 5, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$65
Price at call : $55.39 — upside +17%
Today : $75.84 — upside -14%
Expected +17% · Actual +6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AGO : 100% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
+6.3%
stock +6% · XLF -15%
matured Nov 5, 22
▲ Buy · 🎯$57
Price at call : $48.8 — upside +17%
Today : $75.84 — upside -25%
Expected +17% · Actual -21% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AGO : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
-21.1%
stock -21% · XLF +0%
matured Jan 15, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $45.73 — upside +9%
Today : $75.84 — upside -34%
Expected +9% · Actual -50% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AGO : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
-49.6%
stock -50% · XLF -8%
matured Aug 18, 20
▲ Buy · 🎯$47
Price at call : $37.73 — upside +25%
Today : $75.84 — upside -38%
Expected +25% · Actual +12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AGO : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
+11.9%
stock +12% · XLF +6%
matured Oct 4, 18
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Feb 28, 17
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy
🎯 on AGO : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 28, 18
matures : Feb 28, 18
▲ Outperform · 🎯$33
Price at call : $28.45 — upside +16%
Today : $75.84 — upside -56%
Expected +16% · Actual +15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AGO : 50% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 45.8% · -3.0% (24 calls)
+15.4%
stock +15% · XLF +4%
matured Nov 8, 16
▲ Buy
Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AGO : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 53.8% · +10.5% (39 calls)
+1.7%
stock +2% · XLF -7%
matured Jul 7, 16
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy
🎯 on AGO : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 53.8% · +10.5% (39 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jun 28, 16
matures : Jun 28, 16
▲ Outperform · 🎯$34
Price at call : $28.11 — upside +21%
Today : $75.84 — upside -55%
Expected +21% · Actual -3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AGO : 50% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 45.8% · -3.0% (24 calls)
-3.4%
stock -3% · XLF -4%
matured Jun 7, 16
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
May 14, 15
▲ Outperform · 🎯$35
Price at call : $28.13 — upside +24%
Today : $75.84 — upside -54%
Expected +24% · Actual -11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AGO : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
-10.7%
stock -11% · XLF -8%
matured May 13, 16
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Sep 2, 14
▲ Outperform · 🎯$32
Price at call : $24.49 — upside +31%
Today : $75.84 — upside -58%
Expected +31% · Actual +6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AGO : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
+6.1%
stock +6% · XLF -2%
matured Sep 2, 15
▲ Buy · 🎯$28
Price at call : $22.71 — upside +23%
Today : $75.84 — upside -63%
Expected +23% · Actual +8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AGO : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
+7.8%
stock +8% · XLF +6%
matured Jul 8, 15
▲ Outperform · 🎯$30
Price at call : $26.02 — upside +15%
Today : $75.84 — upside -60%
Expected +15% · Actual -2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AGO : 50% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 45.8% · -3.0% (24 calls)
-1.7%
stock -2% · XLF +6%
matured Mar 10, 15
▲ Outperform · 🎯$26
Price at call : $19.25 — upside +35%
Today : $75.84 — upside -66%
Expected +35% · Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AGO : 50% (4 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 45.8% · -3.0% (24 calls)
+15.8%
stock +16% · XLF +17%
matured Oct 4, 14
▲ Buy · 🎯$21
Price at call : $17 — upside +24%
Today : $75.84 — upside -72%
Expected +24% · Actual +22% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AGO : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
+21.9%
stock +22% · XLF +20%
matured Jan 28, 14
▲ Buy · 🎯$35
Price at call : $11.72 — upside +199%
Today : $75.84 — upside -54%
Expected +199% · Actual +85% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AGO : 100% (2 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 53.8% · +10.5% (39 calls)
+85.4%
stock +85% · XLF +37%
matured Aug 7, 13
▲ Buy · 🎯$18
Price at call : $12.23 — upside +47%
Today : $75.84 — upside -76%
Expected +47% · Actual +87% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AGO : 67% (6 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
+86.9%
stock +87% · XLF +42%
matured May 24, 13
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy Assured Guaranty Ltd. stock?
This isn't buy advice. For Assured Guaranty Ltd., the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $95.50 (+26% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 100% of the time (2 calls tracked on Assured Guaranty Ltd.). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Assured Guaranty Ltd.? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on Assured Guaranty Ltd. is $97.00 (+28% above today's price); the average is $95.50. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Assured Guaranty Ltd. on our site before trusting it.
Is Assured Guaranty Ltd. still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 4 analysts have a real record on Assured Guaranty Ltd., the best hitting 100% over 2 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.
What has Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: AGO performance & returns.
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