Does Allstate (ALL) stock go up or down depending on the month?
Allstate month by month, year by year
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -4.4% | +7.8% | -3.3% | +4.8% | -5.1% | +15.5% | +11.0% | |||||
| 2025 | -0.2% | +3.5% | +4.0% | -4.2% | +5.8% | -4.1% | +1.0% | +0.1% | +5.5% | -10.8% | +11.2% | -2.3% |
| 2024 | +10.9% | +2.8% | +8.5% | -1.7% | -1.5% | -4.7% | +7.2% | +10.4% | +0.4% | -1.7% | +11.2% | -7.0% |
| 2023 | -5.3% | +0.2% | -14.0% | +4.5% | -6.3% | +0.5% | +3.3% | -4.3% | +3.3% | +15.0% | +7.6% | +1.5% |
| 2022 | +2.6% | +1.4% | +13.2% | -8.6% | +8.0% | -7.3% | -7.7% | +3.0% | +3.3% | +1.4% | +6.1% | +1.3% |
| 2021 | -2.5% | -0.5% | +7.8% | +10.4% | +7.7% | -4.5% | -0.3% | +4.0% | -5.9% | -2.9% | -12.1% | +8.2% |
| 2020 | +5.4% | -11.2% | -12.8% | +10.9% | -3.8% | -0.8% | -2.7% | -1.5% | +1.2% | -5.7% | +15.3% | +7.4% |
| 2019 | +6.3% | +7.4% | -0.2% | +5.2% | -3.6% | +6.5% | +5.6% | -4.7% | +6.1% | -2.1% | +4.6% | +1.0% |
| 2018 | -5.7% | -6.6% | +2.8% | +3.2% | -4.4% | -2.4% | +4.2% | +5.7% | -1.9% | -3.0% | -6.8% | -7.4% |
| 2017 | +1.5% | +9.2% | -0.8% | -0.2% | +6.2% | +2.4% | +2.9% | -0.5% | +1.6% | +2.1% | +9.4% | +2.0% |
| 2016 | -2.4% | +4.7% | +6.2% | -3.4% | +3.8% | +3.6% | -2.3% | +0.9% | +0.3% | -1.9% | +3.0% | +6.0% |
| 2015 | -0.7% | +1.2% | +0.8% | -2.1% | -3.4% | -3.6% | +6.3% | -15.5% | -0.1% | +6.3% | +1.4% | -1.1% |
| 2014 | -6.1% | +6.0% | +4.3% | +0.7% | +2.3% | +0.8% | -0.5% | +5.2% | -0.2% | +5.7% | +5.1% | +3.1% |
| 2013 | +4.8% | +6.6% | +0.4% | -2.1% | -0.2% | +5.9% | -6.0% | +5.5% | +5.0% | +2.3% | +0.5% | |
| Average | -0.0% | +2.2% | +1.6% | +1.4% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +2.4% | -0.2% | +1.5% | +0.6% | +4.5% | +1.0% |
| % of years up | 38% | 79% | 64% | 57% | 43% | 43% | 64% | 54% | 69% | 46% | 85% | 69% |
| Years observed | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Allstate month by month: the summary
Over 2013-2026, here's what Allstate (ALL) stock did each month, on average: January -0.0% (up 38% of 13 years), February +2.2% (up 79% of 14 years), March +1.6% (up 64% of 14 years), April +1.4% (up 57% of 14 years), May +0.3% (up 43% of 14 years), June +0.1% (up 43% of 14 years), July +2.4% (up 64% of 14 years), August -0.2% (up 54% of 13 years), September +1.5% (up 69% of 13 years), October +0.6% (up 46% of 13 years), November +4.5% (up 85% of 13 years), December +1.0% (up 69% of 13 years). In other words, ALL historically rose in February, March, April, May, June, July, September, October, November, December, and fell in January, August.
Does Allstate really go up in November?
Over 2013-2026, November is Allstate's strongest month: +4.5% on average, positive in 11 of 13 years. At the other end, August shows -0.2%. But a monthly gap is often built on one or two extreme years — the table above shows it: look at the spread, not just the average. Seasonality only means something when it has a cause (selling season, earnings calendar, year-end tax effects); with no identified cause, it's probably noise.
Frequently asked questions
Does Allstate stock go up or down in July?
Over 14 years, ALL rose +2.4% on average in July, finishing the month up 9 times out of 14 (64%). Median: +3.1%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Allstate stock go up or down in February?
Over 14 years, ALL rose +2.2% on average in February, finishing the month up 11 times out of 14 (79%). Median: +3.1%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Allstate stock go up or down in March?
Over 14 years, ALL rose +1.6% on average in March, finishing the month up 9 times out of 14 (64%). Median: +3.4%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Allstate stock go up or down in September?
Over 13 years, ALL rose +1.5% on average in September, finishing the month up 9 times out of 13 (69%). Median: +1.2%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Allstate stock go up or down in April?
Over 14 years, ALL rose +1.4% on average in April, finishing the month up 8 times out of 14 (57%). Median: +0.5%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Allstate stock go up or down in December?
Over 13 years, ALL rose +1.0% on average in December, finishing the month up 9 times out of 13 (69%). Median: +1.3%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
What is the best month to buy Allstate stock?
Historically, November: over the last 14 years, ALL gained +4.5% on average that month and finished up 85% of the time (13 years observed). August is the weakest month (-0.2%). This is not a prediction: 14 years is a small sample, and the past is under no obligation to repeat.
Why does Allstate stock often rise in November?
November has averaged as its best month over 14 years (+4.5%, up 85% of years). No clearly established recurring seasonal driver explains this month — it's a statistical tendency over 14 years of history, not a prediction.
Is there a best month to invest in the stock market in general?
There's no universal rule: every stock has its own seasonality. For ALL it's November (+4.5% on average over 14 years) — another stock will look completely different. The calendar effects people cite ("sell in May", the year-end rally) are market-wide averages, not laws: on ALL, November is the most consistent month (85% positive years). We also rank all 12 months for the whole market.
Does stock seasonality actually work?
Careful. A month that rose 14 times out of 14 can simply be chance: with 12 months and a dozen years, patterns appear naturally even in random data. Seasonality describes what happened; it doesn't explain why and predicts nothing. Treat it as context, never as a standalone buy signal.
What data is this table based on?
On ALL's real monthly closing prices from 2013 to 2026 (14 years), source Yahoo Finance. Each cell = the price change over that month. Price performance, excluding dividends. Incomplete months and quote gaps are excluded.