Should I buy Allstate (ALL) stock or is it too late?

Allstate · Financials · price $258

⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: HSBC — 76% of its targets hit on this sector (25 calls tested). It aims for $264 (+2.5 %), call made on July 7, 2026, maturing on July 7, 2027 (52 d ago).

The 12 reliable analysts $256-0.7 %

The 2 other firms $285+10 %

How to read it: the 12 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 6 aim above the price, 6 below, hence their $256 median. “The 2 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.

Firm-by-firm track record on Allstate

Here the hit rate is measured <b>on this stock specifically</b> (matured targets replayed against real prices, minimum 5 calls tested) — the green block above measures reliability <b>across the whole sector</b>, which is the criterion behind JPI selections. “Aims for” = the firm's most recent target on this stock; “—” means it hasn't published one recently.

Firm	% right	Gain vs sector	Calls	Aims for
Piper Sandler	89 %	+23.1 %	19	$300 +16%
UBS	90 %	+19.5 %	10	$275 +7%
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods	96 %	+17.4 %	23	$250 -3%
Morgan Stanley	100 %	+15.0 %	8	$240 -7%
Raymond James	72 %	+14.3 %	25	$300 +16%
BMO Capital	100 %	+11.4 %	5	$244 -5%
Citigroup	67 %	+10.1 %	27	$240 -7%
JP Morgan	69 %	+9.4 %	16	$292 +13%

In short — Should you invest in Allstate? Is it too late, still worth it? Analysts are split (36% buy, median target $263, i.e. +2%), and the most reliable on ALL targets even higher. We give you both sides, with the numbers — not advice.

✅ Reasons to believe

The most reliable firm on ALL, Evercore ISI Group (100% hit rate, 2 scored calls), targets $262 (call made on August 6, 2026, maturing on August 6, 2027) (+2%) in its most recent call, and $240 (call made on July 10, 2026, maturing on July 10, 2027) (-7%) in the one coming due soonest.
Pays a dividend (1.7% yield), raised for 15 years — regular income on top of potential upside.
Reasonable valuation (P/E ~5) relative to its sector.

⚠️ Reasons to hesitate

The consensus is not unanimous: of 14 ratings, 5 are neutral and 4 are sells.
Limited upside: the median target is only +2% from the current price.
A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.

The analyst consensus on ALL

Median target $263 (+2%) · 14 ratings · Hold consensus

Strong Buy17%

Buy429%

Hold536%

Sell429%

Strong Sell00%

⚠️ Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon.

Frequently asked questions

Should you invest in Allstate now?

We won't decide for you. The facts: 36% of analysts rate it a buy, median target $263 (+2%), and Evercore ISI Group (most reliable on ALL, 100%) targets $262. Weigh that against valuation (P/E ~5). This is not personalized advice.

Is it too late to invest in Allstate?

The stated upside is small: the median target ($263) sits just +2% from the price ($258) (most reliable on ALL: Evercore ISI Group, 100%). The real question isn't "too late" but the price-to-value gap and risk. Not advice.

Is Allstate still worth investing in?

It depends on the gap between the price ($258) and its estimated value: analysts target $263 on median (+2%), with 36% buys (most reliable on ALL: Evercore ISI Group, 100%). Cross-check with their real reliability on ALL and the cautions above. Information, not advice.

What's the main risk in buying ALL?

The consensus is not unanimous: of 14 ratings, 5 are neutral and 4 are sells.

→ Go deeper: the full Allstate profile (consensus, analyst reliability, price target, performance).