Amerisafe, Inc. (AMSF) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability
Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Amerisafe, Inc. · Financials · ref. ETF XLF · 28 calls · price $26.14
What the company does: Operating as an insurance holding company, AMERISAFE, Inc. specializes in providing workers' compensation coverage across the United States.
📈 Amerisafe, Inc. (AMSF) stock price
$26.14-43.1% over range
Aug 28, 25low $25.7 · high $47.25Aug 27, 26
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
SellBuy
Buy
50% recommend buying · 2 analysts
📊 JPI status : Amerisafe, Inc. has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks →
🎯 AMSF price target & analyst consensus — price $26.14
The price target · all analysts combined (2 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 2$45+72.1%
Median target · of 2 targets$38.5+47.3%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 2$32+22.4%
Current price$26.14
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
· those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Truist Securities — 71% of its targets hit on this sector (58 calls tested). It aims for $32 (+22 %), call made on July 24, 2026, maturing on July 24, 2027 (35 d ago).
The 1 reliable analyst
$32+22 %
The 1 other firm
$45+72 %
How to read it: the 1 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 1 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $32 median. “The 1 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.
The consensus · 2 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy00%
Buy150%
Hold150%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Go deeper on the analysts
🎯 AMSF price target all
All 28 calls, one by one, with our verdict on each firm.
→ See all 28 targets, analyst by analyst💡 The best analysts on AMSF most reliable
Their real reliability on AMSF, firm by firm: who was right, who was wrong.
→ See their reliability on AMSFAll analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Amerisafe, Inc.? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
🔎 Detailed analyses
✅ Historical analyst reliability on AMSF
Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
| Firm ↕ | % right i ↕ | Gain vs sector i ↕ | Calls i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | 80% | +8.4% | 5 |
| JMP Securities | 33% | -10.6% | 12 |
📊 What $1,000 invested in Amerisafe, Inc. would be worth › open the full page
In short — $1,000 invested in Amerisafe, Inc. 10 years ago would be worth $669 today, i.e. -4%/yr on average. Best year: 2016 (+22%), worst: 2025 (-25%). Price performance, excluding dividends.
If I'd invested $1,000 in Amerisafe, Inc.
| Investment | Worth today | Gain |
|---|---|---|
| 1 years ago | $661 | -34% |
| 3 years ago | $655 | -34% |
| 5 years ago | $593 | -41% |
Return by year (Amerisafe, Inc.)
| Year | Return | $1,000 invested at year start |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 (YTD) | -11% | $887 (-11%) |
| 2025 | -25% | $661 (-34%) |
| 2024 | +10% | $728 (-27%) |
⚠️ Past performance, not predictive nor advice. Prices in $, excluding dividends. Yahoo Finance data.
📰 Recent news on Amerisafe, Inc.
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📋 All analyst calls on AMSF
Filtered on — · ✕ show all
Truist Securities ↗
Jul 23, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$32
Price at call : $30.41 — gap to target +5%
Today : $26.14 — gap to target +22%
🎯 on AMSF : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 41.4% · -1.7% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 23, 27
matures : Jul 23, 27
Truist Securities ↗
Apr 23, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$34
Price at call : $31.09 — gap to target +9%
Today : $26.14 — gap to target +30%
🎯 on AMSF : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 41.4% · -1.7% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 23, 27
matures : Apr 23, 27
Citizens
Apr 13, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$45
Price at call : $33.63 — upside +34%
Today : $26.14 — upside +72%
🎯 on AMSF : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Apr 13, 27
matures : Apr 13, 27
Truist Securities ↗
Feb 27, 26
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$36
Price at call : $33.62 — gap to target +7%
Today : $26.14 — gap to target +38%
🎯 on AMSF : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 41.4% · -1.7% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 27, 27
matures : Feb 27, 27
Citizens
Jan 16, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$55
Price at call : $38.12 — upside +44%
Today : $26.14 — upside +110%
🎯 on AMSF : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Jan 16, 27
matures : Jan 16, 27
JMP Securities
Oct 14, 25
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$60
Price at call : $41.29 — upside +45%
Today : $26.14 — upside +130%
🎯 on AMSF : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 14, 26
matures : Oct 14, 26
Truist Securities ↗
Jul 28, 25
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $45.98 — gap to target +9%
Today : $26.14 — gap to target +91%
🎯 on AMSF : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 41.4% · -1.7% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 28, 26
matures : Jul 28, 26
JMP Securities
Apr 30, 25
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$65
Price at call : $45.83 — upside +42%
Today : $26.14 — upside +149%
Expected +42% · Actual -34% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMSF : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-34.2%
stock -34% · XLF +7%
matured Apr 30, 26
See the other 20 calls, newest to oldest
Truist Securities ↗
Oct 25, 24
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$54
Price at call : $54.89 — gap to target -2%
Today : $26.14 — gap to target +107%
🎯 on AMSF : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 41.4% · -1.7% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Oct 25, 25
matures : Oct 25, 25
JMP Securities
Oct 15, 24
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$65
Price at call : $50.98 — upside +28%
Today : $26.14 — upside +149%
Expected +28% · Actual -21% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMSF : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-20.6%
stock -21% · XLF +9%
matured Oct 15, 25
JMP Securities
Jul 30, 24
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$65
Price at call : $47.48 — upside +37%
Today : $26.14 — upside +149%
Expected +37% · Actual -6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMSF : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-5.7%
stock -6% · XLF +20%
matured Jul 30, 25
JMP Securities
Apr 15, 24
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$65
Price at call : $48.85 — upside +33%
Today : $26.14 — upside +149%
Expected +33% · Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMSF : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+1.6%
stock +2% · XLF +18%
matured Apr 15, 25
JMP Securities
Jul 12, 23
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$65
Price at call : $52.43 — upside +24%
Today : $26.14 — upside +149%
Expected +24% · Actual -15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMSF : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-14.6%
stock -15% · XLF +23%
matured Jul 11, 24
JMP Securities
Apr 27, 23
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$65
Price at call : $55.32 — upside +17%
Today : $26.14 — upside +149%
Expected +17% · Actual -18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMSF : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-17.6%
stock -18% · XLF +25%
matured Apr 26, 24
Janney Montgomery Scott
Feb 24, 23
■ Neutral neutral · not a buy · 🎯$58
Price at call : $54.02 — gap to target +7%
Today : $26.14 — gap to target +122%
🎯 on AMSF : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 44.1% · -3.6% (34 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Feb 24, 24
matures : Feb 24, 24
Truist Securities ↗
Mar 4, 22
■ Hold neutral · not a buy · 🎯$50
Price at call : $46.86 — gap to target +7%
Today : $26.14 — gap to target +91%
🎯 on AMSF : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 41.4% · -1.7% (58 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Mar 4, 23
matures : Mar 4, 23
JMP Securities
Oct 15, 21
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$70
Price at call : $57.26 — upside +22%
Today : $26.14 — upside +168%
Expected +22% · Actual -14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMSF : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-13.9%
stock -14% · XLF -20%
matured Oct 15, 22
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey
May 1, 20
▲ Buy · 🎯$72
Price at call : $62.25 — upside +16%
Today : $26.14 — upside +175%
Expected +16% · Actual +3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMSF : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+2.6%
stock +3% · XLF +67%
matured May 1, 21
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey
Apr 1, 20
▲ Buy · 🎯$77
Price at call : $63.9 — upside +21%
Today : $26.14 — upside +195%
Expected +21% · Actual -0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMSF : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-0.2%
stock -0% · XLF +76%
matured Apr 1, 21
JMP Securities
Feb 20, 20
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$80
Price at call : $76.26 — upside +5%
Today : $26.14 — upside +206%
Expected +5% · Actual -24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMSF : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-23.8%
stock -24% · XLF +4%
matured Feb 19, 21
JMP Securities
Nov 19, 19
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$70
Price at call : $66.96 — upside +5%
Today : $26.14 — upside +168%
Expected +5% · Actual -14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMSF : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-14.1%
stock -14% · XLF -9%
matured Nov 18, 20
JMP Securities
Aug 2, 18
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$67
Price at call : $63.5 — upside +6%
Today : $26.14 — upside +156%
Expected +6% · Actual +3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMSF : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+3.2%
stock +3% · XLF -1%
matured Aug 2, 19
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey
Aug 1, 16
▲ Buy · 🎯$67
Price at call : $55.56 — upside +21%
Today : $26.14 — upside +156%
Expected +21% · Actual +4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMSF : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+4.5%
stock +4% · XLF +32%
matured Aug 1, 17
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey
Oct 30, 15
▲ Buy · 🎯$64
Price at call : $54.73 — upside +17%
Today : $26.14 — upside +145%
Expected +17% · Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMSF : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+1.6%
stock +2% · XLF +1%
matured Oct 29, 16
JMP Securities
Oct 29, 15
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$60
Price at call : $54.73 — upside +10%
Today : $26.14 — upside +130%
Expected +10% · Actual +2% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMSF : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+1.6%
stock +2% · XLF +1%
matured Oct 28, 16
JMP Securities
Apr 9, 15
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$50
Price at call : $46.11 — upside +8%
Today : $26.14 — upside +91%
Expected +8% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on AMSF : 33% (12 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+10.6%
stock +11% · XLF -9%
matured Apr 8, 16
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey
Feb 28, 13
▲ Buy · 🎯$38
Price at call : $32.62 — upside +16%
Today : $26.14 — upside +45%
Expected +16% · Actual +33% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on AMSF : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+33.5%
stock +33% · XLF +23%
matured Feb 28, 14
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods ↗
Jul 16, 12
■ Market Perform neutral · not a buy · 🎯$28
Price at call : $27.24 — gap to target +3%
Today : $26.14 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on AMSF : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
in progress (365j)
matures : Jul 16, 13
matures : Jul 16, 13
Frequently asked questions
Should I buy Amerisafe, Inc. stock?
This isn't buy advice. For Amerisafe, Inc., the analyst consensus is "Buy", with an average price target of $38.50 (+47% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 80% of the time (5 calls tracked on Amerisafe, Inc.). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Amerisafe, Inc.? How high can it go?
The most bullish analyst target on Amerisafe, Inc. is $45.00 (+72% above today's price); the average is $38.50. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Amerisafe, Inc. on our site before trusting it.
Is Amerisafe, Inc. still a good buy?
The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 2 analysts have a real record on Amerisafe, Inc., the best hitting 80% over 5 calls. Current consensus: "Buy". Make your call on data, not noise.
Will Amerisafe, Inc. stock recover (go back up)?
It's down from its high. We answer with the numbers — the analysts' 12-month target and what happened after its past drops: will AMSF stock recover (go back up)?
What has Amerisafe, Inc.'s past performance been?
Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: AMSF performance & returns.
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