Does Ares Management (ARES) stock go up or down depending on the month?
Ares Management month by month, year by year
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -7.4% | -25.2% | -2.6% | +7.6% | +9.5% | -13.4% | +15.1% | |||||
| 2025 | +12.0% | -13.8% | -14.2% | +4.0% | +8.5% | +4.7% | +7.1% | -3.4% | -10.8% | -7.0% | +5.5% | +3.0% |
| 2024 | +2.2% | +9.2% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +5.3% | -4.9% | +14.9% | -4.4% | +6.4% | +7.6% | +5.4% | +0.2% |
| 2023 | +21.3% | -2.8% | +3.5% | +5.0% | -0.6% | +10.6% | +3.0% | +4.3% | -0.6% | -4.2% | +13.9% | +5.9% |
| 2022 | -1.9% | +1.7% | +0.2% | -18.5% | +7.5% | -20.1% | +26.0% | +3.5% | -16.4% | +22.4% | +3.4% | -12.7% |
| 2021 | -4.0% | +15.1% | +7.8% | -6.3% | +5.1% | +15.2% | +12.6% | +7.8% | -4.3% | +14.8% | -4.2% | +0.1% |
| 2020 | +1.0% | -4.1% | -10.6% | +8.5% | +12.5% | +5.1% | +0.6% | +1.3% | -0.1% | +4.7% | +6.5% | +4.4% |
| 2019 | +17.3% | +13.2% | -1.7% | +5.3% | +5.1% | +1.9% | +11.8% | -0.5% | -7.9% | +10.3% | +11.9% | +7.9% |
| 2018 | +16.8% | +4.5% | -12.3% | +2.8% | +0.7% | -6.5% | +3.1% | -0.2% | +8.9% | -15.5% | +14.4% | -20.8% |
| 2017 | +2.3% | +9.9% | -12.3% | +3.7% | -8.1% | -0.3% | +2.8% | -1.9% | +2.8% | -1.6% | +0.5% | +8.4% |
| 2016 | -9.0% | +1.2% | +29.4% | -5.8% | -2.8% | -0.1% | +23.1% | +5.4% | -4.8% | -3.8% | +2.1% | +12.3% |
| 2015 | +10.8% | +6.9% | -8.7% | -2.3% | +7.6% | -5.1% | +2.6% | -9.1% | +1.3% | -7.4% | -13.1% | -8.1% |
| 2014 | +0.9% | +1.3% | -8.0% | -2.1% | -9.3% | +2.0% | +5.8% | |||||
| Average | +5.1% | +1.3% | -1.8% | +0.3% | +4.2% | -0.9% | +9.5% | -0.5% | -2.3% | +0.9% | +4.0% | +0.5% |
| % of years up | 67% | 67% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 46% | 100% | 42% | 33% | 42% | 83% | 75% |
| Years observed | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Ares Management month by month: the summary
Over 2014-2026, here's what Ares Management (ARES) stock did each month, on average: January +5.1% (up 67% of 12 years), February +1.3% (up 67% of 12 years), March -1.8% (up 42% of 12 years), April +0.3% (up 67% of 12 years), May +4.2% (up 75% of 12 years), June -0.9% (up 46% of 13 years), July +9.5% (up 100% of 13 years), August -0.5% (up 42% of 12 years), September -2.3% (up 33% of 12 years), October +0.9% (up 42% of 12 years), November +4.0% (up 83% of 12 years), December +0.5% (up 75% of 12 years). In other words, ARES historically rose in January, February, April, May, July, October, November, December, and fell in March, June, August, September.
Does Ares Management really go up in July?
Over 2014-2026, July is Ares Management's strongest month: +9.5% on average, positive in 13 of 13 years. At the other end, September shows -2.3%. But a monthly gap is often built on one or two extreme years — the table above shows it: look at the spread, not just the average. Seasonality only means something when it has a cause (selling season, earnings calendar, year-end tax effects); with no identified cause, it's probably noise.
Frequently asked questions
Does Ares Management stock go up or down in August?
Over 12 years, ARES fell -0.5% on average in August, finishing the month up 5 times out of 12 (42%). Median: -0.4%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 12 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Ares Management stock go up or down in January?
Over 12 years, ARES rose +5.1% on average in January, finishing the month up 8 times out of 12 (67%). Median: +2.2%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 12 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Ares Management stock go up or down in May?
Over 12 years, ARES rose +4.2% on average in May, finishing the month up 9 times out of 12 (75%). Median: +5.2%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 12 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Ares Management stock go up or down in November?
Over 12 years, ARES rose +4.0% on average in November, finishing the month up 10 times out of 12 (83%). Median: +4.4%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 12 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Ares Management stock go up or down in March?
Over 12 years, ARES fell -1.8% on average in March, finishing the month up 5 times out of 12 (42%). Median: -2.2%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 12 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Ares Management stock go up or down in February?
Over 12 years, ARES rose +1.3% on average in February, finishing the month up 8 times out of 12 (67%). Median: +3.1%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 12 years of data is not a prediction.
What is the best month to buy Ares Management stock?
Historically, July: over the last 13 years, ARES gained +9.5% on average that month and finished up 100% of the time (13 years observed). September is the weakest month (-2.3%). This is not a prediction: 13 years is a small sample, and the past is under no obligation to repeat.
Do Ares Management's quarterly earnings move the stock?
July — when Ares Management reports quarterly earnings — has been its best month over 13 years (+9.5% on average, up 100% of years). Earnings are a known driver of moves. ⚠️ This is a past tendency over a short history, not a rule. Use it as context, never as a buy plan.
Why does Ares Management stock often rise in July?
July has averaged as its best month over 13 years (+9.5%, up 100% of years). This month covers Ares Management's quarterly earnings release — a known driver of moves, and over this history it has tended to push the stock higher.
Why is Ares Management stock weaker in September?
September has averaged as its weakest month over 13 years (-2.3%, up only 33% of years). No clearly established recurring seasonal driver explains this month — it's a statistical tendency over 13 years of history, not a prediction.
Is there a best month to invest in the stock market in general?
There's no universal rule: every stock has its own seasonality. For ARES it's July (+9.5% on average over 13 years) — another stock will look completely different. The calendar effects people cite ("sell in May", the year-end rally) are market-wide averages, not laws: on ARES, July is the most consistent month (100% positive years). We also rank all 12 months for the whole market.
Does stock seasonality actually work?
Careful. A month that rose 13 times out of 13 can simply be chance: with 12 months and a dozen years, patterns appear naturally even in random data. Seasonality describes what happened; it doesn't explain why and predicts nothing. Treat it as context, never as a standalone buy signal.
What data is this table based on?
On ARES's real monthly closing prices from 2014 to 2026 (13 years), source Yahoo Finance. Each cell = the price change over that month. Price performance, excluding dividends. Incomplete months and quote gaps are excluded.