Should I buy Carlyle Group (The) (CG) stock or is it too late?

Carlyle Group (The) · Financials · price $37

See the full Carlyle Group (The) (CG) profile

⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: RBC Capital — 72% of its targets hit on this sector (176 calls tested). It aims for $48 (+29 %), call made on October 6, 2026, maturing on October 6, 2027 (8 d ago).

The 6 reliable analysts $49+32 %

The 5 other firms $63+69 %

How to read it: the 6 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 6 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $49 median. “The 5 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.

Firm-by-firm track record on Carlyle Group (The)

Here the hit rate is measured <b>on this stock specifically</b> (matured targets replayed against real prices, minimum 5 calls tested) — the green block above measures reliability <b>across the whole sector</b>, which is the criterion behind JPI selections. “Aims for” = the firm's most recent target on this stock; “—” means it hasn't published one recently.

Firm	% right	Gain vs sector	Calls	Aims for
Oppenheimer	69 %	+19.5 %	16	$85 +128%
JMP Securities	75 %	+19.4 %	12	$75 +101%
Goldman Sachs	71 %	+18.5 %	7	$69 +85%
Barclays	68 %	+14.3 %	19	$53 +42%
JP Morgan	62 %	+10.0 %	13	$63 +69%
Citigroup	40 %	+3.7 %	15	$71 +91%
Morgan Stanley	43 %	-3.3 %	7	$66 +77%
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods	50 %	-4.1 %	6	$50 +34%

In short — Should you invest in Carlyle Group (The)? Is it too late, still worth it? Analysts are split (36% buy, median target $52, i.e. +40%), and the most reliable on CG targets even higher. We give you both sides, with the numbers — not advice.

✅ Reasons to believe

Median price target $52, i.e. +40% from the current price ($37).
The most reliable firm on CG, Piper Sandler (100% hit rate, 4 scored calls), targets $54 (call made on September 24, 2026, maturing on September 24, 2027) (+45%) in its most recent call.
Pays a dividend (3.3% yield) — regular income on top of potential upside.

⚠️ Reasons to hesitate

The consensus is not unanimous: of 11 ratings, 7 are neutral.
A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.

The analyst consensus on CG

Median target $52 (+40%) · 11 ratings · Hold consensus

Strong Buy00%

Buy436%

Hold764%

Sell00%

Strong Sell00%

⚠️ Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon.

Frequently asked questions

Should you invest in Carlyle Group (The) now?

We won't decide for you. The facts: 36% of analysts rate it a buy, median target $52 (+40%), and Piper Sandler (most reliable on CG, 100%) targets $54. Weigh that against valuation. This is not personalized advice.

Is it too late to invest in Carlyle Group (The)?

Not according to analysts: the median target ($52) is still +40% above the current price ($37) (most reliable on CG: Piper Sandler, 100%). The real question isn't "too late" but the price-to-value gap and risk. Not advice.

Is Carlyle Group (The) still worth investing in?

It depends on the gap between the price ($37) and its estimated value: analysts target $52 on median (+40%), with 36% buys (most reliable on CG: Piper Sandler, 100%). Cross-check with their real reliability on CG and the cautions above. Information, not advice.

What's the main risk in buying CG?

The consensus is not unanimous: of 11 ratings, 7 are neutral.

→ Go deeper: the full Carlyle Group (The) profile (consensus, analyst reliability, price target, performance).