Should I buy Churchill Downs Inc. (CHDN) stock or is it too late?
⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Wells Fargo — 56% of its targets hit on this sector (347 calls tested). It aims for $117 (+44 %), call made on August 1, 2026, maturing on August 1, 2027 (74 d ago).
Firm-by-firm track record on Churchill Downs Inc.
| Firm | % right | Gain vs sector | Calls | Aims for |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferies | 50 % | +9.2 % | 6 | $127 +57% |
| Susquehanna | 50 % | +5.8 % | 6 | $124 +53% |
| Wells Fargo | 47 % | -0.9 % | 15 | $117 +44% |
| JMP Securities | 43 % | -3.4 % | 23 | $138 +70% |
| Truist Securities | 36 % | -4.7 % | 11 | $145 +79% |
| Stifel | 14 % | -15.7 % | 7 | $133 +64% |
| Mizuho | 10 % | -16.9 % | 10 | $157 +94% |
| Imperial Capital | 100 % | +24.0 % | 5 | — |
✅ Reasons to believe
- 100% of analysts rate it a buy (Buy consensus, 6 ratings) — a sign of market conviction.
- Median price target $128, i.e. +57% from the current price ($81).
- The most reliable firm on CHDN, JP Morgan (50% hit rate, 2 scored calls), targets $128 (call made on October 16, 2025, maturing on October 16, 2026) (+58%) in its most recent call.
⚠️ Reasons to hesitate
- A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.
- Volatile stock: sharp swings — including steep drops — are part of its profile.
- Negligible dividend (0.5% yield): your return depends mostly on price appreciation.
- A near-unanimous consensus leaves little room for positive surprise — a lot of optimism is already baked in.
The analyst consensus on CHDN
Median target $128 (+57%) · 6 ratings · Buy consensus
⚠️ Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon.
Frequently asked questions
Should you invest in Churchill Downs Inc. now?
We won't decide for you. The facts: 100% of analysts rate it a buy, median target $128 (+57%), and JP Morgan (most reliable on CHDN, 50%) targets $128. Weigh that against valuation and volatility. This is not personalized advice.
Is it too late to invest in Churchill Downs Inc.?
Not according to analysts: the median target ($128) is still +57% above the current price ($81) (most reliable on CHDN: JP Morgan, 50%). The real question isn't "too late" but the price-to-value gap and risk. Not advice.
Is Churchill Downs Inc. still worth investing in?
It depends on the gap between the price ($81) and its estimated value: analysts target $128 on median (+57%), with 100% buys (most reliable on CHDN: JP Morgan, 50%). Cross-check with their real reliability on CHDN and the cautions above. Information, not advice.
What's the main risk in buying CHDN?
A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.
→ Go deeper: the full Churchill Downs Inc. profile (consensus, analyst reliability, price target, performance).