Does ConocoPhillips (COP) stock go up or down depending on the month?
ConocoPhillips month by month, year by year
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +11.3% | +8.9% | +16.3% | -4.7% | -9.4% | -8.8% | +15.9% | |||||
| 2025 | -0.3% | +0.3% | +5.9% | -15.1% | -4.2% | +5.1% | +6.2% | +3.8% | -4.4% | -6.1% | -0.2% | +5.5% |
| 2024 | -3.6% | +0.6% | +13.1% | -1.3% | -7.3% | -1.8% | -2.8% | +2.3% | -7.5% | +4.0% | -1.1% | -8.5% |
| 2023 | +3.3% | -15.2% | -4.0% | +3.7% | -3.5% | +4.3% | +13.6% | +1.1% | +0.6% | -0.8% | -2.7% | +0.4% |
| 2022 | +22.8% | +7.0% | +5.4% | -4.5% | +17.6% | -20.1% | +8.5% | +12.3% | -6.5% | +23.2% | -2.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | +0.1% | +29.9% | +1.8% | -3.5% | +9.0% | +9.3% | -7.9% | -0.9% | +22.0% | +9.9% | -5.9% | +2.9% |
| 2020 | -8.6% | -18.5% | -36.4% | +36.7% | +0.2% | -0.4% | -11.0% | +1.3% | -13.3% | -12.9% | +38.2% | +1.1% |
| 2019 | +8.6% | +0.2% | -1.6% | -5.4% | -6.6% | +3.5% | -3.1% | -11.7% | +9.2% | -3.1% | +8.6% | +8.5% |
| 2018 | +7.1% | -7.7% | +9.2% | +10.5% | +2.9% | +3.3% | +3.7% | +1.7% | +5.4% | -9.7% | -5.3% | -5.8% |
| 2017 | -2.8% | -2.4% | +4.8% | -3.9% | -6.7% | -1.6% | +3.2% | -3.8% | +14.6% | +2.2% | -0.5% | +7.9% |
| 2016 | -16.3% | -13.4% | +19.0% | +18.7% | -8.4% | -0.4% | -6.4% | +0.6% | +5.9% | -0.0% | +11.7% | +3.3% |
| 2015 | -8.8% | +3.5% | -4.5% | +9.1% | -6.2% | -3.6% | -18.0% | -2.4% | -2.4% | +11.2% | +1.3% | -13.6% |
| 2014 | -8.1% | +2.4% | +5.8% | +5.6% | +7.6% | +7.2% | -3.8% | -1.6% | -5.8% | -5.7% | -8.4% | +4.5% |
| 2013 | -0.1% | +3.7% | +0.6% | +1.5% | -1.4% | +7.2% | +2.2% | +4.8% | +5.5% | -0.7% | -3.0% | |
| Average | +0.4% | -0.3% | +2.8% | +3.3% | -1.0% | -0.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +1.7% | +1.4% | +2.5% | -0.1% |
| % of years up | 46% | 57% | 71% | 50% | 43% | 43% | 50% | 62% | 54% | 46% | 31% | 62% |
| Years observed | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
ConocoPhillips month by month: the summary
Over 2013-2026, here's what ConocoPhillips (COP) stock did each month, on average: January +0.4% (up 46% of 13 years), February -0.3% (up 57% of 14 years), March +2.8% (up 71% of 14 years), April +3.3% (up 50% of 14 years), May -1.0% (up 43% of 14 years), June -0.4% (up 43% of 14 years), July +0.4% (up 50% of 14 years), August +0.4% (up 62% of 13 years), September +1.7% (up 54% of 13 years), October +1.4% (up 46% of 13 years), November +2.5% (up 31% of 13 years), December -0.1% (up 62% of 13 years). In other words, COP historically rose in January, March, April, July, August, September, October, November, and fell in February, May, June, December.
Does ConocoPhillips really go up in April?
Over 2013-2026, April is ConocoPhillips's strongest month: +3.3% on average, positive in 7 of 14 years. At the other end, May shows -1.0%. But a monthly gap is often built on one or two extreme years — the table above shows it: look at the spread, not just the average. Seasonality only means something when it has a cause (selling season, earnings calendar, year-end tax effects); with no identified cause, it's probably noise.
Frequently asked questions
Does ConocoPhillips stock go up or down in March?
Over 14 years, COP rose +2.8% on average in March, finishing the month up 10 times out of 14 (71%). Median: +5.1%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does ConocoPhillips stock go up or down in August?
Over 13 years, COP rose +0.4% on average in August, finishing the month up 8 times out of 13 (62%). Median: +1.1%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does ConocoPhillips stock go up or down in November?
Over 13 years, COP rose +2.5% on average in November, finishing the month up 4 times out of 13 (31%). Median: -0.7%. It's one of its weakest months. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does ConocoPhillips stock go up or down in September?
Over 13 years, COP rose +1.7% on average in September, finishing the month up 7 times out of 13 (54%). Median: +0.6%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does ConocoPhillips stock go up or down in October?
Over 13 years, COP rose +1.4% on average in October, finishing the month up 6 times out of 13 (46%). Median: -0.0%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does ConocoPhillips stock go up or down in June?
Over 14 years, COP fell -0.4% on average in June, finishing the month up 6 times out of 14 (43%). Median: -0.4%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
What is the best month to buy ConocoPhillips stock?
Historically, April: over the last 14 years, COP gained +3.3% on average that month and finished up 50% of the time (14 years observed). May is the weakest month (-1.0%). This is not a prediction: 14 years is a small sample, and the past is under no obligation to repeat.
Why does ConocoPhillips stock often rise in April?
April has averaged as its best month over 14 years (+3.3%, up 50% of years). No clearly established recurring seasonal driver explains this month — it's a statistical tendency over 14 years of history, not a prediction.
Is there a best month to invest in the stock market in general?
There's no universal rule: every stock has its own seasonality. For COP it's April (+3.3% on average over 14 years) — another stock will look completely different. The calendar effects people cite ("sell in May", the year-end rally) are market-wide averages, not laws: on COP, March is the most consistent month (71% positive years). We also rank all 12 months for the whole market.
Does stock seasonality actually work?
Careful. A month that rose 14 times out of 14 can simply be chance: with 12 months and a dozen years, patterns appear naturally even in random data. Seasonality describes what happened; it doesn't explain why and predicts nothing. Treat it as context, never as a standalone buy signal.
What data is this table based on?
On COP's real monthly closing prices from 2013 to 2026 (14 years), source Yahoo Finance. Each cell = the price change over that month. Price performance, excluding dividends. Incomplete months and quote gaps are excluded.