Should I buy HF Sinclair (DINO) stock or is it too late?

HF Sinclair · Energy · price $97

⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Raymond James — 56% of its targets hit on this sector (99 calls tested). It aims for $95 (-2.1 %), call made on July 14, 2026, maturing on July 14, 2027 (45 d ago).

The 1 reliable analyst $95-2.1 %

The 10 other firms $82.50-15 %

How to read it: the 1 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 0 aim above the price, 1 below, hence their $95 median. “The 10 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.

Firm-by-firm track record on HF Sinclair

Here the hit rate is measured <b>on this stock specifically</b> (matured targets replayed against real prices, minimum 5 calls tested) — the green block above measures reliability <b>across the whole sector</b>, which is the criterion behind JPI selections. “Aims for” = the firm's most recent target on this stock; “—” means it hasn't published one recently.

Firm	% right	Gain vs sector	Calls	Aims for
UBS	60 %	+36.7 %	5	$80 -18%
Morgan Stanley	67 %	+27.2 %	9	$78 -20%
Piper Sandler	57 %	+14.3 %	21	$63 -35%
Wells Fargo	46 %	-1.2 %	13	$67 -31%

In short — Should you invest in HF Sinclair? Is it too late, still worth it? Analysts are split (36% buy, median target $85, i.e. -12%). But the stock is volatile. We give you both sides, with the numbers — not advice.

✅ Reasons to believe

Pays a dividend (2.8% yield) — regular income on top of potential upside.

⚠️ Reasons to hesitate

Even the most reliable firm on DINO, Mizuho (100% hit rate, 4 scored calls), only targets $85 (call made on August 4, 2026, maturing on August 4, 2027) (-12%) in its most recent call, and $60 (call made on September 15, 2025, maturing on September 15, 2026) (-38%) in the one coming due soonest. The stock may already have run past its target.
The consensus is not unanimous: of 11 ratings, 7 are neutral.
Limited upside: the median target is only -12% from the current price.
A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.
Volatile stock: sharp swings — including steep drops — are part of its profile.

The analyst consensus on DINO

Median target $85 (-12%) · 11 ratings · Hold consensus

Strong Buy19%

Buy327%

Hold764%

Sell00%

Strong Sell00%

⚠️ Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon.

Frequently asked questions

Should you invest in HF Sinclair now?

We won't decide for you. The facts: 36% of analysts rate it a buy, median target $85 (-12%), and Mizuho (most reliable on DINO, 100%) targets $85. Weigh that against valuation and volatility. This is not personalized advice.

Is it too late to invest in HF Sinclair?

The stated upside is small: the median target ($85) sits just -12% from the price ($97) (most reliable on DINO: Mizuho, 100%). The real question isn't "too late" but the price-to-value gap and risk. Not advice.

Is HF Sinclair still worth investing in?

It depends on the gap between the price ($97) and its estimated value: analysts target $85 on median (-12%), with 36% buys (most reliable on DINO: Mizuho, 100%). Cross-check with their real reliability on DINO and the cautions above. Information, not advice.

What's the main risk in buying DINO?

Even the most reliable firm on DINO, Mizuho (100% hit rate, 4 scored calls), only targets $85 (call made on August 4, 2026, maturing on August 4, 2027) (-12%) in its most recent call, and $60 (call made on September 15, 2025, maturing on September 15, 2026) (-38%) in the one coming due soonest. The stock may already have run past its target.

→ Go deeper: the full HF Sinclair profile (consensus, analyst reliability, price target, performance).