Home › Stocks › S&P 600 Small Cap › Ellington Financial, Inc. (EFC) Ellington Financial, Inc. (EFC) stock: analyst price target and their real reliability Live quote · data updated Aug 28, 2026
Ellington Financial, Inc. · Financials · ref. ETF XLF · 56 calls · price $13.57
🏆 JPI 2026 portfolios See tracking → Target Consensus Reliability $1,000 invested Analyses All calls What the company does: Ellington Financial Inc., through its subsidiary, Ellington Financial Operating Partnership LLC, acquires and manages mortgage-related, consumer-related, corporate-related, and other financial assets in the United States.
📈 Ellington Financial, Inc. (EFC) stock price 24h 7d 30d 90d 6mo 1yr 5yr
$13.57 -1.3% over range
📏 Click 2 points (left → right) to measure the change · click again to clear.
Sell Buy
Hold
0% recommend buying · 2 analysts
📊 JPI status : Ellington Financial, Inc. has never appeared in a JPI ranking (Fair or Risk +) — our methods haven't picked it to date. See the selected stocks → 🎯 EFC price target & analyst consensus — price $13.57 The price target · all analysts combined (1 targets)
Highest target · 1 firm of 1 $14.5 +6.9%
Median target · of 1 targets $14.5 +6.9%
Lowest target · 1 firm of 1 $14.5 +6.9%
Current price $13.57
⭐ What the most reliable analysts say
No reliable analyst is bullish on this stock right now. A “reliable” analyst is a firm that, on this sector, hits more than 55% of its targets and beats its sector. None of them sees upside here — which is exactly why this stock is in no JPI selection.
The consensus · 2 ratings (last 6 months)
Strong Buy 0 0%
Buy 0 0%
Hold 2 100%
Sell 0 0%
Strong Sell 0 0%
Go deeper on the analysts
All analysts (the consensus) · vs · the best (those who've been right)
💬 A question about Ellington Financial, Inc.? The JPI assistant answers using our backtest data.
Should I buy Ellington Financial, Inc. stock? Are the analysts reliable on EFC? How high can EFC go?
✅ Historical analyst reliability on EFC Hit rate measured on targets already matured (12 months), replayed against real prices. Click a header to sort.
📰 Recent news on Ellington Financial, Inc. Loading news…
📋 All analyst calls on EFC ■ Neutral
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$14.5
Price at call : $13.62 — gap to target +6%
Today : $13.57 — gap to target +7%
🎯 on EFC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Aug 19, 27
■ Neutral
neutral · not a buy 🎯 on EFC : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 53.8% · +10.5% (39 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Jun 17, 27
■ Neutral
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$13.5
Price at call : $13.67 — gap to target -1%
Today : $13.57 — gap to target -1%
🎯 on EFC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Sep 3, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$14.5
Price at call : $13.75 — upside +5%
Today : $13.57 — upside +7%
Expected +5% · Actual -1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 53.8% · +10.5% (39 calls)
-1.2% stock -1% · XLF +10%
matured Aug 14, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$14.25
Price at call : $13.77 — upside +3%
Today : $13.57 — upside +5%
Expected +3% · Actual -1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 on Finance : 37.5% · +11.8% (8 calls)
-0.7% stock -1% · XLF +10%
matured Aug 13, 26
■ Neutral
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$12.5
Price at call : $13.22 — gap to target -5%
Today : $13.57 — gap to target -8%
🎯 on EFC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Jul 10, 26
▲ Overweight · 🎯$14.5
Price at call : $13.09 — upside +11%
Today : $13.57 — upside +7%
Expected +11% · Actual +3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
+2.9% stock +3% · XLF +6%
matured Jul 1, 26
▲ Buy · 🎯$16
Price at call : $13.25 — upside +21%
Today : $13.57 — upside +18%
Expected +21% · Actual +1% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 55.4% · +31.0% (83 calls)
+0.6% stock +1% · XLF +0%
matured May 15, 26
See the other 48 calls, newest to oldest ▲ Outperform · 🎯$14.5
Price at call : $13.6 — upside +7%
Today : $13.57 — upside +7%
Expected +7% · Actual -10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 40% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
-10.3% stock -10% · XLF +3%
matured Mar 3, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$14
Price at call : $12.52 — upside +12%
Today : $13.57 — upside +3%
Expected +12% · Actual +11% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 46% (13 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+10.7% stock +11% · XLF +5%
matured Jan 23, 26
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$14
Price at call : $12.68 — upside +10%
Today : $13.57 — upside +3%
Expected +10% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 46% (13 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+4.5% stock +5% · XLF +25%
matured Jul 24, 25
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$14.5
Price at call : $11.47 — upside +26%
Today : $13.57 — upside +7%
Expected +26% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 46% (13 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+5.4% stock +5% · XLF +12%
matured Apr 19, 25
■ Hold
neutral · not a buy 🎯 on EFC : no call matured yet · 📊 unranked overall
in progress (365j) matures : Apr 19, 25
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$14.5
Price at call : $11.42 — upside +27%
Today : $13.57 — upside +7%
Expected +27% · Actual +6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 46% (13 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+5.9% stock +6% · XLF +13%
matured Apr 18, 25
▲ Buy · 🎯$13.5
Price at call : $11.27 — upside +20%
Today : $13.57 — upside -1%
Expected +20% · Actual +7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 53.8% · +10.5% (39 calls)
+7.3% stock +7% · XLF +15%
matured Apr 18, 25
▲ Outperform · 🎯$13.25
Price at call : $11.33 — upside +17%
Today : $13.57 — upside -2%
Expected +17% · Actual +27% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on EFC : 40% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
+26.7% stock +27% · XLF +29%
matured Feb 27, 25
■ Neutral
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$13.5
Price at call : $12.73 — gap to target +6%
Today : $13.57 — gap to target -1%
🎯 on EFC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Dec 5, 24
▲ Buy · 🎯$15
Price at call : $12.23 — upside +23%
Today : $13.57 — upside +11%
Expected +23% · Actual +3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 55.4% · +31.0% (83 calls)
+3.4% stock +3% · XLF +47%
matured Oct 18, 24
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$14.5
Price at call : $14.06 — upside +3%
Today : $13.57 — upside +7%
Expected +3% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 46% (13 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-6.8% stock -7% · XLF +22%
matured Jul 20, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$14.5
Price at call : $13.88 — upside +4%
Today : $13.57 — upside +7%
Expected +4% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 46% (13 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-6.6% stock -7% · XLF +23%
matured Jul 12, 24
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$13.5
Price at call : $12.92 — upside +4%
Today : $13.57 — upside -1%
Expected +4% · Actual -7% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 46% (13 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-7.0% stock -7% · XLF +28%
matured May 25, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$13.75
Price at call : $12.4 — upside +11%
Today : $13.57 — upside +1%
Expected +11% · Actual -3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 40% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
-2.7% stock -3% · XLF +32%
matured May 15, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$13.75
Price at call : $12.4 — upside +11%
Today : $13.57 — upside +1%
Expected +11% · Actual -3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 40% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
-2.7% stock -3% · XLF +32%
matured May 14, 24
▲ Outperform · 🎯$13.5
Price at call : $12.54 — upside +8%
Today : $13.57 — upside -1%
Expected +8% · Actual -9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 46% (13 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-8.5% stock -9% · XLF +23%
matured Apr 20, 24
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$15
Price at call : $12.26 — upside +22%
Today : $13.57 — upside +11%
Expected +22% · Actual -0% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 46% (13 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-0.2% stock -0% · XLF +3%
matured Oct 20, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$15
Price at call : $11.48 — upside +31%
Today : $13.57 — upside +11%
Expected +31% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
+4.6% stock +5% · XLF +4%
matured Oct 3, 23
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$16.5
Price at call : $15.42 — upside +7%
Today : $13.57 — upside +22%
Expected +7% · Actual -15% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 46% (13 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-15.4% stock -15% · XLF -2%
matured Aug 25, 23
■ Market Perform
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$14.75
Price at call : $15.41 — gap to target -4%
Today : $13.57 — gap to target +9%
🎯 on EFC : 40% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Jul 18, 23
▲ Overweight · 🎯$17
Price at call : $15.03 — upside +13%
Today : $13.57 — upside +25%
Expected +13% · Actual -10% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
-9.8% stock -10% · XLF +1%
matured Jun 24, 23
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$17.5
Price at call : $12.83 — upside +36%
Today : $13.57 — upside +29%
Expected +36% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 46% (13 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+5.4% stock +5% · XLF +9%
matured Jun 16, 23
■ Neutral
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18
Price at call : $17.8 — gap to target +1%
Today : $13.57 — gap to target +33%
🎯 on EFC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 60.2% · +7.6% (118 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Mar 9, 23
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$20
Price at call : $18.35 — upside +9%
Today : $13.57 — upside +47%
Expected +9% · Actual -33% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 46% (13 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
-33.5% stock -33% · XLF -20%
matured Oct 18, 22
■ Neutral
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$18.5
Price at call : $19.23 — gap to target -4%
Today : $13.57 — gap to target +36%
🎯 on EFC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 40.2% · -7.9% (82 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Jun 8, 22
▲ Market Outperform · 🎯$16.5
Price at call : $15.77 — upside +5%
Today : $13.57 — upside +22%
Expected +5% · Actual +8% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 46% (13 calls matureds) · 📊 unranked overall
+8.1% stock +8% · XLF +26%
matured Jan 22, 22
▲ Outperform · 🎯$16.5
Price at call : $14.97 — upside +10%
Today : $13.57 — upside +22%
Expected +10% · Actual +6% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 40% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
+6.2% stock +6% · XLF +32%
matured Dec 18, 21
■ Neutral
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$15.5
Price at call : $14.88 — gap to target +4%
Today : $13.57 — gap to target +14%
🎯 on EFC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 60.2% · +7.6% (118 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Nov 25, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$16.5
Price at call : $15.27 — upside +8%
Today : $13.57 — upside +22%
Expected +8% · Actual +16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on EFC : 67% (3 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 53.8% · +10.5% (39 calls)
+15.8% stock +16% · XLF +40%
matured Nov 24, 21
▲ Overweight · 🎯$15
Price at call : $12.95 — upside +16%
Today : $13.57 — upside +11%
Expected +16% · Actual +45% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on EFC : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
+45.0% stock +45% · XLF +53%
matured Oct 9, 21
■ Neutral
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$11.5
Price at call : $11.36 — gap to target +1%
Today : $13.57 — gap to target -15%
🎯 on EFC : no call matured yet · 📊 on Finance : 60.2% · +7.6% (118 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Jul 13, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$13
Price at call : $11.04 — upside +18%
Today : $13.57 — upside -4%
Expected +18% · Actual +59% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✓ Yes
🎯 on EFC : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 55.4% · +31.0% (83 calls)
+59.2% stock +59% · XLF +50%
matured Apr 8, 21
▲ Overweight · 🎯$20
Price at call : $18.43 — upside +9%
Today : $13.57 — upside +47%
Expected +9% · Actual -14% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 60% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 51.5% · +3.5% (326 calls)
-14.4% stock -14% · XLF -1%
matured Jan 21, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$19.5
Price at call : $18.62 — upside +5%
Today : $13.57 — upside +44%
Expected +5% · Actual -18% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 55.4% · +31.0% (83 calls)
-18.3% stock -18% · XLF +2%
matured Jan 12, 21
▲ Buy · 🎯$20
Price at call : $18.03 — upside +11%
Today : $13.57 — upside +47%
Expected +11% · Actual -29% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
-28.8% stock -29% · XLF -14%
matured Sep 26, 20
▲ Buy · 🎯$18
Price at call : $17.38 — upside +4%
Today : $13.57 — upside +33%
Expected +4% · Actual +9% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 55.4% · +31.0% (83 calls)
+8.6% stock +9% · XLF +17%
matured Feb 15, 20
■ Neutral
neutral · not a buy 🎯 on EFC : 80% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 55.4% · +31.0% (83 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Nov 8, 18
▲ Buy · 🎯$17
Price at call : $15.35 — upside +11%
Today : $13.57 — upside +25%
Expected +11% · Actual +5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 11% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 41.3% · -0.1% (46 calls)
+4.8% stock +5% · XLF +4%
matured Nov 8, 18
▲ Outperform
Actual -3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 0% (1 call matured) · 📊 unranked overall
-3.3% stock -3% · XLF +22%
matured Apr 21, 17
▲ Buy · 🎯$22
Price at call : $17.93 — upside +23%
Today : $13.57 — upside +62%
Expected +23% · Actual -12% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 11% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 41.3% · -0.1% (46 calls)
-12.1% stock -12% · XLF +4%
matured Nov 8, 16
■ Market Perform
neutral · not a buy · 🎯$20.5
Price at call : $18.42 — gap to target +11%
Today : $13.57 — gap to target +51%
🎯 on EFC : 40% (5 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 43.3% · +0.7% (291 calls)
in progress (365j) matures : Aug 10, 16
▲ Buy · 🎯$22.8
Price at call : $18.41 — upside +24%
Today : $13.57 — upside +68%
Expected +24% · Actual -4% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 11% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 41.3% · -0.1% (46 calls)
-3.9% stock -4% · XLF -5%
matured Aug 9, 16
▲ Buy · 🎯$24.25
Price at call : $20.75 — upside +17%
Today : $13.57 — upside +79%
Expected +17% · Actual -19% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 11% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 41.3% · -0.1% (46 calls)
-19.2% stock -19% · XLF -15%
matured Feb 13, 16
▲ Buy · 🎯$26.5
Price at call : $23.93 — upside +11%
Today : $13.57 — upside +95%
Expected +11% · Actual -24% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 11% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 41.3% · -0.1% (46 calls)
-23.6% stock -24% · XLF +14%
matured Aug 7, 15
▲ Buy · 🎯$26.75
Price at call : $24.23 — upside +10%
Today : $13.57 — upside +97%
Expected +10% · Actual -16% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 11% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 41.3% · -0.1% (46 calls)
-16.4% stock -16% · XLF +13%
matured May 8, 15
▲ Buy · 🎯$26.5
Price at call : $22.97 — upside +15%
Today : $13.57 — upside +95%
Expected +15% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 11% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 41.3% · -0.1% (46 calls)
-4.9% stock -5% · XLF +18%
matured Nov 6, 14
▲ Buy · 🎯$27
Price at call : $24.64 — upside +10%
Today : $13.57 — upside +99%
Expected +10% · Actual -3% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 11% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 41.3% · -0.1% (46 calls)
-2.7% stock -3% · XLF +23%
matured Mar 8, 14
▲ Buy · 🎯$28.25
Price at call : $25.97 — upside +9%
Today : $13.57 — upside +108%
Expected +9% · Actual -5% · Reason (≥ +15%) : ✗ No
🎯 on EFC : 11% (9 calls matureds) · 📊 on Finance : 41.3% · -0.1% (46 calls)
-5.4% stock -5% · XLF +21%
matured Feb 14, 14
Frequently asked questions Should I buy Ellington Financial, Inc. stock? This isn't buy advice. For Ellington Financial, Inc., the analyst consensus is "Hold", with an average price target of $14.50 (+7% vs the current price). What matters is their past reliability on this stock: the most reliable one is right 80% of the time (5 calls tracked on Ellington Financial, Inc.). We show the numbers — you decide.
Is it too late to buy Ellington Financial, Inc.? How high can it go? The most bullish analyst target on Ellington Financial, Inc. is $14.50 (+7% above today's price); the average is $14.50. That's the upside they see. Check how reliable those analysts have actually been on Ellington Financial, Inc. on our site before trusting it.
Is Ellington Financial, Inc. still a good buy? The most useful "opinion" isn't an opinion — it's a track record: 7 analysts have a real record on Ellington Financial, Inc., the best hitting 80% over 5 calls. Current consensus: "Hold". Make your call on data, not noise.
What has Ellington Financial, Inc.'s past performance been? Historical returns and a "how much if I had invested" calculator: EFC performance & returns .