Does Estée Lauder Companies (The) (EL) stock go up or down depending on the month?
Estée Lauder Companies (The) month by month, year by year
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +10.1% | -5.0% | -34.4% | +6.9% | +16.0% | -11.2% | +6.3% | |||||
| 2025 | +11.3% | -13.8% | -8.2% | -9.2% | +11.6% | +20.7% | +15.5% | -1.7% | -3.9% | +9.7% | -2.7% | +11.3% |
| 2024 | -9.8% | +12.6% | +3.7% | -4.8% | -15.9% | -13.7% | -6.4% | -8.0% | +8.8% | -30.8% | +4.6% | +4.0% |
| 2023 | +11.7% | -12.3% | +1.4% | +0.1% | -25.4% | +6.7% | -8.3% | -10.8% | -10.0% | -10.8% | -0.9% | +14.5% |
| 2022 | -15.8% | -5.0% | -8.1% | -3.0% | -3.6% | +0.0% | +7.2% | -6.9% | -15.1% | -7.1% | +17.6% | +5.2% |
| 2021 | -11.1% | +20.8% | +1.7% | +7.9% | -2.3% | +3.8% | +5.0% | +2.0% | -11.9% | +8.1% | +2.4% | +11.5% |
| 2020 | -5.5% | -5.9% | -13.2% | +10.7% | +11.9% | -4.5% | +4.7% | +12.2% | -1.6% | +0.6% | +11.7% | +8.5% |
| 2019 | +4.9% | +15.0% | +5.5% | +3.8% | -6.3% | +13.7% | +0.6% | +7.5% | +0.5% | -6.4% | +4.9% | +5.7% |
| 2018 | +6.1% | +2.6% | +8.1% | -1.1% | +0.9% | -4.5% | -5.4% | +3.8% | +3.7% | -5.4% | +3.8% | -8.8% |
| 2017 | +6.2% | +2.0% | +2.3% | +2.8% | +8.0% | +2.0% | +3.1% | +8.1% | +0.8% | +3.7% | +11.6% | +1.9% |
| 2016 | -3.2% | +7.1% | +3.3% | +1.7% | -4.3% | -0.8% | +2.1% | -4.0% | -0.8% | -1.6% | -10.8% | -1.6% |
| 2015 | -7.4% | +17.1% | +0.6% | -2.2% | +7.6% | -0.9% | +2.8% | -10.5% | +1.1% | -0.3% | +4.5% | +4.7% |
| 2014 | -8.7% | +0.1% | -2.8% | +8.5% | +5.6% | -3.1% | -1.1% | +4.6% | -2.7% | +0.6% | -1.4% | +2.8% |
| 2013 | +5.2% | -0.1% | +8.3% | -2.3% | -3.0% | -0.2% | -0.4% | +6.9% | +1.5% | +5.6% | +0.5% | |
| Average | -0.9% | +2.9% | -2.9% | +2.2% | +0.1% | +0.4% | +1.8% | -0.3% | -1.9% | -2.9% | +3.9% | +4.6% |
| % of years up | 46% | 64% | 57% | 64% | 50% | 43% | 64% | 46% | 46% | 46% | 69% | 85% |
| Years observed | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Estée Lauder Companies (The) month by month: the summary
Over 2013-2026, here's what Estée Lauder Companies (The) (EL) stock did each month, on average: January -0.9% (up 46% of 13 years), February +2.9% (up 64% of 14 years), March -2.9% (up 57% of 14 years), April +2.2% (up 64% of 14 years), May +0.1% (up 50% of 14 years), June +0.4% (up 43% of 14 years), July +1.8% (up 64% of 14 years), August -0.3% (up 46% of 13 years), September -1.9% (up 46% of 13 years), October -2.9% (up 46% of 13 years), November +3.9% (up 69% of 13 years), December +4.6% (up 85% of 13 years). In other words, EL historically rose in February, April, May, June, July, November, December, and fell in January, March, August, September, October.
Does Estée Lauder Companies (The) really go up in December?
Over 2013-2026, December is Estée Lauder Companies (The)'s strongest month: +4.6% on average, positive in 11 of 13 years. At the other end, October shows -2.9%. But a monthly gap is often built on one or two extreme years — the table above shows it: look at the spread, not just the average. Seasonality only means something when it has a cause (selling season, earnings calendar, year-end tax effects); with no identified cause, it's probably noise.
Frequently asked questions
Does Estée Lauder Companies (The) stock go up or down in August?
Over 13 years, EL fell -0.3% on average in August, finishing the month up 6 times out of 13 (46%). Median: -0.4%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Estée Lauder Companies (The) stock go up or down in November?
Over 13 years, EL rose +3.9% on average in November, finishing the month up 9 times out of 13 (69%). Median: +4.5%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Estée Lauder Companies (The) stock go up or down in February?
Over 14 years, EL rose +2.9% on average in February, finishing the month up 9 times out of 14 (64%). Median: +2.3%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Estée Lauder Companies (The) stock go up or down in March?
Over 14 years, EL fell -2.9% on average in March, finishing the month up 8 times out of 14 (57%). Median: +1.0%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Estée Lauder Companies (The) stock go up or down in April?
Over 14 years, EL rose +2.2% on average in April, finishing the month up 9 times out of 14 (64%). Median: +2.2%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Estée Lauder Companies (The) stock go up or down in September?
Over 13 years, EL fell -1.9% on average in September, finishing the month up 6 times out of 13 (46%). Median: -0.8%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
What is the best month to buy Estée Lauder Companies (The) stock?
Historically, December: over the last 14 years, EL gained +4.6% on average that month and finished up 85% of the time (13 years observed). October is the weakest month (-2.9%). This is not a prediction: 14 years is a small sample, and the past is under no obligation to repeat.
Why does Estée Lauder Companies (The) stock often rise in December?
December has averaged as its best month over 14 years (+4.6%, up 85% of years). No clearly established recurring seasonal driver explains this month — it's a statistical tendency over 14 years of history, not a prediction.
Is there a best month to invest in the stock market in general?
There's no universal rule: every stock has its own seasonality. For EL it's December (+4.6% on average over 14 years) — another stock will look completely different. The calendar effects people cite ("sell in May", the year-end rally) are market-wide averages, not laws: on EL, December is the most consistent month (85% positive years). We also rank all 12 months for the whole market.
Does stock seasonality actually work?
Careful. A month that rose 14 times out of 14 can simply be chance: with 12 months and a dozen years, patterns appear naturally even in random data. Seasonality describes what happened; it doesn't explain why and predicts nothing. Treat it as context, never as a standalone buy signal.
What data is this table based on?
On EL's real monthly closing prices from 2013 to 2026 (14 years), source Yahoo Finance. Each cell = the price change over that month. Price performance, excluding dividends. Incomplete months and quote gaps are excluded.