Does FedEx (FDX) stock go up or down depending on the month?
FedEx month by month, year by year
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +11.6% | +20.1% | -8.0% | +13.2% | +2.1% | -5.6% | -1.8% | |||||
| 2025 | -5.9% | -0.7% | -7.3% | -13.7% | +3.7% | +4.2% | -1.7% | +3.4% | +2.1% | +7.6% | +8.6% | +4.8% |
| 2024 | -4.6% | +3.2% | +16.4% | -9.7% | -3.0% | +18.1% | +0.8% | -1.1% | -8.4% | +0.1% | +10.5% | -7.0% |
| 2023 | +11.9% | +4.8% | +12.4% | -0.3% | -4.3% | +13.7% | +8.9% | -3.3% | +1.5% | -9.4% | +7.8% | -2.3% |
| 2022 | -4.9% | -9.6% | +4.1% | -14.1% | +13.0% | +0.9% | +2.8% | -9.6% | -29.6% | +7.9% | +13.7% | -5.0% |
| 2021 | -9.3% | +8.1% | +11.6% | +2.2% | +8.4% | -5.2% | -6.2% | -5.1% | -17.5% | +7.4% | -2.2% | +12.3% |
| 2020 | -4.3% | -2.4% | -14.1% | +4.5% | +3.0% | +7.4% | +20.1% | +30.5% | +14.4% | +3.2% | +10.5% | -9.4% |
| 2019 | +10.1% | +1.9% | +0.2% | +4.4% | -18.6% | +6.4% | +3.9% | -7.0% | -8.2% | +4.9% | +4.8% | -5.5% |
| 2018 | +5.2% | -6.1% | -2.6% | +3.0% | +0.8% | -8.9% | +8.3% | -0.8% | -1.3% | -8.5% | +3.9% | -29.6% |
| 2017 | +1.6% | +2.0% | +1.1% | -2.8% | +2.2% | +12.1% | -4.3% | +3.1% | +5.2% | +0.1% | +2.5% | +7.8% |
| 2016 | -10.8% | +3.0% | +18.9% | +1.5% | -0.1% | -8.0% | +6.7% | +1.9% | +5.9% | -0.2% | +10.0% | -2.9% |
| 2015 | -2.6% | +4.7% | -6.5% | +2.5% | +2.2% | -1.6% | +0.6% | -12.1% | -4.4% | +8.4% | +1.6% | -6.0% |
| 2014 | -7.3% | +0.0% | -0.6% | +2.8% | +5.8% | +5.0% | -3.0% | +0.7% | +9.2% | +3.7% | +6.4% | -2.5% |
| 2013 | +3.9% | -6.9% | -4.3% | +2.5% | +2.3% | +7.5% | +1.3% | +6.3% | +14.8% | +5.9% | +3.7% | |
| Average | -0.7% | +2.4% | +1.3% | -0.8% | +1.3% | +2.9% | +3.0% | +0.1% | -1.9% | +3.1% | +6.5% | -3.2% |
| % of years up | 38% | 71% | 50% | 57% | 71% | 64% | 64% | 46% | 54% | 77% | 92% | 31% |
| Years observed | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
FedEx month by month: the summary
Over 2013-2026, here's what FedEx (FDX) stock did each month, on average: January -0.7% (up 38% of 13 years), February +2.4% (up 71% of 14 years), March +1.3% (up 50% of 14 years), April -0.8% (up 57% of 14 years), May +1.3% (up 71% of 14 years), June +2.9% (up 64% of 14 years), July +3.0% (up 64% of 14 years), August +0.1% (up 46% of 13 years), September -1.9% (up 54% of 13 years), October +3.1% (up 77% of 13 years), November +6.5% (up 92% of 13 years), December -3.2% (up 31% of 13 years). In other words, FDX historically rose in February, March, May, June, July, August, October, November, and fell in January, April, September, December.
Does FedEx really go up in November?
Over 2013-2026, November is FedEx's strongest month: +6.5% on average, positive in 12 of 13 years. At the other end, December shows -3.2%. But a monthly gap is often built on one or two extreme years — the table above shows it: look at the spread, not just the average. Seasonality only means something when it has a cause (selling season, earnings calendar, year-end tax effects); with no identified cause, it's probably noise.
Frequently asked questions
Does FedEx stock go up or down in August?
Over 13 years, FDX rose +0.1% on average in August, finishing the month up 6 times out of 13 (46%). Median: -0.8%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does FedEx stock go up or down in October?
Over 13 years, FDX rose +3.1% on average in October, finishing the month up 10 times out of 13 (77%). Median: +3.7%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does FedEx stock go up or down in July?
Over 14 years, FDX rose +3.0% on average in July, finishing the month up 9 times out of 14 (64%). Median: +1.8%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does FedEx stock go up or down in June?
Over 14 years, FDX rose +2.9% on average in June, finishing the month up 9 times out of 14 (64%). Median: +3.3%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does FedEx stock go up or down in February?
Over 14 years, FDX rose +2.4% on average in February, finishing the month up 10 times out of 14 (71%). Median: +2.5%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does FedEx stock go up or down in September?
Over 13 years, FDX fell -1.9% on average in September, finishing the month up 7 times out of 13 (54%). Median: +1.5%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
What is the best month to buy FedEx stock?
Historically, November: over the last 14 years, FDX gained +6.5% on average that month and finished up 92% of the time (13 years observed). December is the weakest month (-3.2%). This is not a prediction: 14 years is a small sample, and the past is under no obligation to repeat.
Why does FedEx stock often rise in November?
November has averaged as its best month over 14 years (+6.5%, up 92% of years). No clearly established recurring seasonal driver explains this month — it's a statistical tendency over 14 years of history, not a prediction.
Is there a best month to invest in the stock market in general?
There's no universal rule: every stock has its own seasonality. For FDX it's November (+6.5% on average over 14 years) — another stock will look completely different. The calendar effects people cite ("sell in May", the year-end rally) are market-wide averages, not laws: on FDX, November is the most consistent month (92% positive years). We also rank all 12 months for the whole market.
Does stock seasonality actually work?
Careful. A month that rose 14 times out of 14 can simply be chance: with 12 months and a dozen years, patterns appear naturally even in random data. Seasonality describes what happened; it doesn't explain why and predicts nothing. Treat it as context, never as a standalone buy signal.
What data is this table based on?
On FDX's real monthly closing prices from 2013 to 2026 (14 years), source Yahoo Finance. Each cell = the price change over that month. Price performance, excluding dividends. Incomplete months and quote gaps are excluded.