Does Grocery Outlet (GO) stock go up or down depending on the month?
Grocery Outlet month by month, year by year
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -5.6% | +3.7% | -28.6% | +12.2% | +7.6% | +17.3% | -7.9% | |||||
| 2025 | +3.7% | -26.7% | +17.8% | +20.1% | -19.1% | -8.5% | +6.0% | +37.5% | -11.4% | -15.2% | -18.2% | -9.3% |
| 2024 | -8.1% | +4.1% | +11.6% | -9.8% | -15.3% | +0.6% | -11.6% | -3.2% | -7.3% | -18.5% | +46.9% | -25.7% |
| 2023 | +4.1% | -11.0% | +4.5% | +5.4% | -3.6% | +6.6% | +9.3% | -7.8% | -6.5% | -4.1% | +2.0% | -4.4% |
| 2022 | -10.3% | +9.6% | +17.9% | +2.7% | +13.6% | +11.5% | +0.2% | -6.1% | -17.0% | +3.8% | -12.4% | -3.6% |
| 2021 | +8.8% | -15.7% | +2.5% | +9.5% | -15.6% | +1.7% | -4.4% | -21.4% | -17.1% | +2.9% | +30.5% | -2.3% |
| 2020 | +0.9% | -3.3% | +8.5% | -3.1% | +10.6% | +10.8% | +7.8% | -6.5% | -4.4% | +12.0% | -12.3% | +1.6% |
| 2019 | +18.4% | +3.9% | -14.3% | -8.0% | +3.9% | -2.1% | ||||||
| Average | -0.9% | -5.6% | +4.9% | +5.3% | -3.1% | +5.7% | +2.2% | -0.5% | -11.1% | -3.9% | +5.7% | -6.5% |
| % of years up | 57% | 43% | 86% | 71% | 43% | 86% | 63% | 29% | 0% | 43% | 57% | 14% |
| Years observed | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Grocery Outlet month by month: the summary
Over 2019-2026, here's what Grocery Outlet (GO) stock did each month, on average: January -0.9% (up 57% of 7 years), February -5.6% (up 43% of 7 years), March +4.9% (up 86% of 7 years), April +5.3% (up 71% of 7 years), May -3.1% (up 43% of 7 years), June +5.7% (up 86% of 7 years), July +2.2% (up 63% of 8 years), August -0.5% (up 29% of 7 years), September -11.1% (up 0% of 7 years), October -3.9% (up 43% of 7 years), November +5.7% (up 57% of 7 years), December -6.5% (up 14% of 7 years). In other words, GO historically rose in March, April, June, July, November, and fell in January, February, May, August, September, October, December.
Does Grocery Outlet really go up in November?
Over 2019-2026, November is Grocery Outlet's strongest month: +5.7% on average, positive in 4 of 7 years. At the other end, September shows -11.1%. But a monthly gap is often built on one or two extreme years — the table above shows it: look at the spread, not just the average. Seasonality only means something when it has a cause (selling season, earnings calendar, year-end tax effects); with no identified cause, it's probably noise.
Frequently asked questions
Does Grocery Outlet stock go up or down in March?
Over 7 years, GO rose +4.9% on average in March, finishing the month up 6 times out of 7 (86%). Median: +8.5%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 7 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Grocery Outlet stock go up or down in August?
Over 7 years, GO fell -0.5% on average in August, finishing the month up 2 times out of 7 (29%). Median: -6.1%. It's one of its weakest months. ⚠️ 7 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Grocery Outlet stock go up or down in December?
Over 7 years, GO fell -6.5% on average in December, finishing the month up 1 times out of 7 (14%). Median: -3.6%. It's one of its weakest months. ⚠️ 7 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Grocery Outlet stock go up or down in June?
Over 7 years, GO rose +5.7% on average in June, finishing the month up 6 times out of 7 (86%). Median: +6.6%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 7 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Grocery Outlet stock go up or down in February?
Over 7 years, GO fell -5.6% on average in February, finishing the month up 3 times out of 7 (43%). Median: -3.3%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 7 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Grocery Outlet stock go up or down in April?
Over 7 years, GO rose +5.3% on average in April, finishing the month up 5 times out of 7 (71%). Median: +5.4%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 7 years of data is not a prediction.
What is the best month to buy Grocery Outlet stock?
Historically, November: over the last 8 years, GO gained +5.7% on average that month and finished up 57% of the time (7 years observed). September is the weakest month (-11.1%). This is not a prediction: 8 years is a small sample, and the past is under no obligation to repeat.
Why does Grocery Outlet stock often rise in November?
November has averaged as its best month over 8 years (+5.7%, up 57% of years). No clearly established recurring seasonal driver explains this month — it's a statistical tendency over 8 years of history, not a prediction.
Is there a best month to invest in the stock market in general?
There's no universal rule: every stock has its own seasonality. For GO it's November (+5.7% on average over 8 years) — another stock will look completely different. The calendar effects people cite ("sell in May", the year-end rally) are market-wide averages, not laws: on GO, March is the most consistent month (86% positive years). We also rank all 12 months for the whole market.
Does stock seasonality actually work?
Careful. A month that rose 8 times out of 8 can simply be chance: with 12 months and a dozen years, patterns appear naturally even in random data. Seasonality describes what happened; it doesn't explain why and predicts nothing. Treat it as context, never as a standalone buy signal.
What data is this table based on?
On GO's real monthly closing prices from 2019 to 2026 (8 years), source Yahoo Finance. Each cell = the price change over that month. Price performance, excluding dividends. Incomplete months and quote gaps are excluded.