Does Intel (INTC) stock go up or down depending on the month?
Intel month by month, year by year
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +25.9% | -1.9% | -3.2% | +114.1% | +21.4% | +21.8% | -35.4% | |||||
| 2025 | -3.1% | +22.1% | -4.3% | -11.5% | -2.7% | +14.6% | -11.6% | +23.0% | +37.8% | +19.2% | +1.4% | -9.0% |
| 2024 | -14.3% | -0.1% | +2.6% | -31.0% | +1.2% | +0.4% | -0.7% | -28.3% | +6.4% | -8.3% | +11.8% | -16.6% |
| 2023 | +6.9% | -11.8% | +31.0% | -4.9% | +1.2% | +6.4% | +7.0% | -1.8% | +1.2% | +2.7% | +22.5% | +12.4% |
| 2022 | -5.2% | -2.3% | +3.9% | -12.0% | +1.9% | -15.8% | -2.9% | -12.1% | -19.3% | +10.3% | +5.8% | -12.1% |
| 2021 | +11.4% | +9.5% | +5.3% | -10.1% | -0.7% | -1.7% | -4.3% | +0.6% | -1.4% | -8.0% | +0.4% | +4.7% |
| 2020 | +6.8% | -13.2% | -2.5% | +10.8% | +4.9% | -4.9% | -20.2% | +6.7% | +1.6% | -14.5% | +9.2% | +3.0% |
| 2019 | +0.4% | +12.4% | +1.4% | -5.0% | -13.7% | +8.7% | +5.6% | -6.2% | +8.7% | +9.7% | +2.7% | +3.1% |
| 2018 | +4.3% | +2.4% | +5.7% | -0.9% | +6.9% | -9.9% | -3.2% | +0.7% | -2.4% | -0.9% | +5.2% | -4.8% |
| 2017 | +1.5% | -1.7% | -0.4% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -6.6% | +5.1% | -1.1% | +8.6% | +19.5% | -1.4% | +2.9% |
| 2016 | -10.0% | -4.6% | +9.3% | -6.4% | +4.3% | +3.8% | +6.3% | +3.0% | +5.2% | -7.6% | -0.5% | +4.5% |
| 2015 | -9.0% | +0.6% | -6.0% | +4.1% | +5.9% | -11.7% | -4.8% | -1.4% | +5.6% | +12.3% | +2.7% | -0.9% |
| 2014 | -5.5% | +0.9% | +4.2% | +3.4% | +2.4% | +13.1% | +9.7% | +3.0% | -0.3% | -2.3% | +9.5% | -2.6% |
| 2013 | -0.8% | +4.6% | +9.7% | +1.4% | -0.2% | -3.7% | -5.8% | +4.3% | +6.8% | -2.6% | +8.9% | |
| Average | +0.8% | +0.8% | +3.7% | +4.3% | +2.4% | +1.3% | -3.8% | -1.5% | +4.3% | +3.0% | +5.1% | -0.5% |
| % of years up | 54% | 43% | 64% | 43% | 71% | 50% | 36% | 46% | 69% | 54% | 77% | 54% |
| Years observed | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Intel month by month: the summary
Over 2013-2026, here's what Intel (INTC) stock did each month, on average: January +0.8% (up 54% of 13 years), February +0.8% (up 43% of 14 years), March +3.7% (up 64% of 14 years), April +4.3% (up 43% of 14 years), May +2.4% (up 71% of 14 years), June +1.3% (up 50% of 14 years), July -3.8% (up 36% of 14 years), August -1.5% (up 46% of 13 years), September +4.3% (up 69% of 13 years), October +3.0% (up 54% of 13 years), November +5.1% (up 77% of 13 years), December -0.5% (up 54% of 13 years). In other words, INTC historically rose in January, February, March, April, May, June, September, October, November, and fell in July, August, December.
Does Intel really go up in November?
Over 2013-2026, November is Intel's strongest month: +5.1% on average, positive in 10 of 13 years. At the other end, July shows -3.8%. But a monthly gap is often built on one or two extreme years — the table above shows it: look at the spread, not just the average. Seasonality only means something when it has a cause (selling season, earnings calendar, year-end tax effects); with no identified cause, it's probably noise.
Frequently asked questions
Does Intel stock go up or down in August?
Over 13 years, INTC fell -1.5% on average in August, finishing the month up 6 times out of 13 (46%). Median: -1.1%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Intel stock go up or down in April?
Over 14 years, INTC rose +4.3% on average in April, finishing the month up 6 times out of 14 (43%). Median: -2.9%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Intel stock go up or down in September?
Over 13 years, INTC rose +4.3% on average in September, finishing the month up 9 times out of 13 (69%). Median: +4.3%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Intel stock go up or down in March?
Over 14 years, INTC rose +3.7% on average in March, finishing the month up 9 times out of 14 (64%). Median: +3.3%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Intel stock go up or down in October?
Over 13 years, INTC rose +3.0% on average in October, finishing the month up 7 times out of 13 (54%). Median: +2.7%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Intel stock go up or down in May?
Over 14 years, INTC rose +2.4% on average in May, finishing the month up 10 times out of 14 (71%). Median: +1.6%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
What is the best month to buy Intel stock?
Historically, November: over the last 14 years, INTC gained +5.1% on average that month and finished up 77% of the time (13 years observed). July is the weakest month (-3.8%). This is not a prediction: 14 years is a small sample, and the past is under no obligation to repeat.
Why does Intel stock often rise in November?
November has averaged as its best month over 14 years (+5.1%, up 77% of years). No clearly established recurring seasonal driver explains this month — it's a statistical tendency over 14 years of history, not a prediction.
Is there a best month to invest in the stock market in general?
There's no universal rule: every stock has its own seasonality. For INTC it's November (+5.1% on average over 14 years) — another stock will look completely different. The calendar effects people cite ("sell in May", the year-end rally) are market-wide averages, not laws: on INTC, November is the most consistent month (77% positive years). We also rank all 12 months for the whole market.
Does stock seasonality actually work?
Careful. A month that rose 14 times out of 14 can simply be chance: with 12 months and a dozen years, patterns appear naturally even in random data. Seasonality describes what happened; it doesn't explain why and predicts nothing. Treat it as context, never as a standalone buy signal.
What data is this table based on?
On INTC's real monthly closing prices from 2013 to 2026 (14 years), source Yahoo Finance. Each cell = the price change over that month. Price performance, excluding dividends. Incomplete months and quote gaps are excluded.