Will Mattel (MAT) stock recover?

Mattel · Consumer Discretionary · ref. ETF XLY · price $16.8
Logo MattelSee the full Mattel (MAT) profile
In short — Mattel is down 40 % from its 12-month high. Analysts target $17 over 12 months, i.e. -2 % from the current price. Over 2013-2026, Mattel saw 7 drops of 30%+. Twelve months later it was +2 % on median (positive 57% of the time). It regained its pre-crash high in 57% of cases, in about 17.5 months. We answer with facts, not a promise.

What do analysts say about MAT?

Average price target from 6 analysts: $17 over ~12 months (Hold consensus), i.e. -2 % from the current price. Most reliable firm on MAT: Keybanc (100% hit rate, 6 scored calls). A target is a 12-month view, not for tomorrow.

What happened after its past drops?

Over 2013-2026, Mattel saw 7 drops of 30%+. Twelve months later it was +2 % on median (positive 57% of the time). It regained its pre-crash high in 57% of cases, in about 17.5 months. (monthly history 2013-2026 — transparency data, not a guarantee)

MAT's biggest months

📈 Best month — July 2019+30 %
📉 Worst month — August 2019-33 %

⚠️ Drop measured from the 12-month high; analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon; monthly history since 2013. Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Frequently asked questions

Will Mattel stock recover?

No one can guarantee it, and we won't. What we know: it's down 40 % from its high; analysts target $17 over 12 months (-2 % from the current price). Over 2013-2026, Mattel saw 7 drops of 30%+. Twelve months later it was +2 % on median (positive 57% of the time). It regained its pre-crash high in 57% of cases, in about 17.5 months. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Why has MAT dropped so much?

We don't assert the cause of a drop — a headline can be a consequence or a coincidence. What we measure is what comes next: the analysts' target and the stock's historical behavior after this kind of drop.

Should I buy MAT now that it's down?

A drop is not a buy signal by itself. Cross-check with the analysts' target, their real reliability on the stock (most solid: Keybanc, 100% hit rate), and the fundamentals. This is not personalized advice.

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