Should I buy Matador Resources (MTDR) stock or is it too late?
No reliable analyst is bullish on this stock right now. A “reliable” analyst is a firm that, on this sector, hits more than 55% of its targets and beats its sector. None of them sees upside here — which is exactly why this stock is in no JPI selection.
Firm-by-firm track record on Matador Resources
| Firm | % right | Gain vs sector | Calls | Aims for |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond James | 88 % | +39.9 % | 17 | $55 -3% |
| Truist Securities | 40 % | +17.3 % | 10 | $59 +4% |
| Wells Fargo | 44 % | +16.0 % | 16 | $79 +39% |
| Keybanc | 55 % | +0.4 % | 11 | $68 +20% |
| RBC Capital | 42 % | -0.7 % | 12 | $60 +6% |
| Benchmark | 50 % | -5.9 % | 8 | $62 +9% |
| Stephens & Co. | 14 % | -8.4 % | 7 | $93 +64% |
| Mizuho | 21 % | -10.3 % | 14 | $77 +36% |
✅ Reasons to believe
- 64% of analysts rate it a buy (Buy consensus, 11 ratings) — a sign of market conviction.
- Median price target $66, i.e. +16% from the current price ($57).
- Pays a dividend (2.9% yield) — regular income on top of potential upside.
⚠️ Reasons to hesitate
- Even the most reliable firm on MTDR, Raymond James (88% hit rate, 17 scored calls), only targets $55 (call made on October 20, 2025, maturing on October 20, 2026) (-3%) in its most recent call. The stock may already have run past its target.
- The consensus is not unanimous: of 11 ratings, 4 are neutral.
- A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.
- Volatile stock: sharp swings — including steep drops — are part of its profile.
The analyst consensus on MTDR
Median target $66 (+16%) · 11 ratings · Buy consensus
⚠️ Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon.
Frequently asked questions
Should you invest in Matador Resources now?
We won't decide for you. The facts: 64% of analysts rate it a buy, median target $66 (+16%), and Raymond James (most reliable on MTDR, 88%) targets $55. Weigh that against valuation and volatility. This is not personalized advice.
Is it too late to invest in Matador Resources?
Not according to analysts: the median target ($66) is still +16% above the current price ($57) (most reliable on MTDR: Raymond James, 88%). The real question isn't "too late" but the price-to-value gap and risk. Not advice.
Is Matador Resources still worth investing in?
It depends on the gap between the price ($57) and its estimated value: analysts target $66 on median (+16%), with 64% buys (most reliable on MTDR: Raymond James, 88%). Cross-check with their real reliability on MTDR and the cautions above. Information, not advice.
What's the main risk in buying MTDR?
Even the most reliable firm on MTDR, Raymond James (88% hit rate, 17 scored calls), only targets $55 (call made on October 20, 2025, maturing on October 20, 2026) (-3%) in its most recent call. The stock may already have run past its target.
→ Go deeper: the full Matador Resources profile (consensus, analyst reliability, price target, performance).