Should I buy Vail Resorts (MTN) stock or is it too late?
No reliable analyst is bullish on this stock right now. A “reliable” analyst is a firm that, on this sector, hits more than 55% of its targets and beats its sector. None of them sees upside here — which is exactly why this stock is in no JPI selection.
Firm-by-firm track record on Vail Resorts
| Firm | % right | Gain vs sector | Calls | Aims for |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deutsche Bank | 86 % | +47.6 % | 7 | $169 +17% |
| Barclays | 75 % | +17.5 % | 20 | $119 -18% |
| B of A Securities | 56 % | +5.3 % | 9 | $165 +14% |
| Stifel | 46 % | +4.4 % | 13 | $167 +15% |
| Truist Securities | 17 % | -8.3 % | 6 | $195 +35% |
| Mizuho | 0 % | -18.2 % | 5 | $191 +32% |
| Keybanc | 43 % | +12.7 % | 14 | — |
| Credit Suisse | 60 % | +8.1 % | 15 | — |
✅ Reasons to believe
- Pays a dividend (6.5% yield) — regular income on top of potential upside.
⚠️ Reasons to hesitate
- Even the most reliable firm on MTN, JP Morgan (100% hit rate, 3 scored calls), only targets $126 (call made on June 9, 2026, maturing on June 9, 2027) (-13%) in its most recent call, and $172 (call made on December 11, 2025, maturing on December 11, 2026) (+19%) in the one coming due soonest. The stock may already have run past its target.
- The consensus is not unanimous: of 9 ratings, 4 are neutral and 2 are sells.
- Limited upside: the median target is only -4% from the current price.
- A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.
- Volatile stock: sharp swings — including steep drops — are part of its profile.
The analyst consensus on MTN
Median target $139 (-4%) · 9 ratings · Hold consensus
⚠️ Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon.
Frequently asked questions
Should you invest in Vail Resorts now?
We won't decide for you. The facts: 33% of analysts rate it a buy, median target $139 (-4%), and JP Morgan (most reliable on MTN, 100%) targets $126. Weigh that against valuation and volatility. This is not personalized advice.
Is it too late to invest in Vail Resorts?
The stated upside is small: the median target ($139) sits just -4% from the price ($145) (most reliable on MTN: JP Morgan, 100%). The real question isn't "too late" but the price-to-value gap and risk. Not advice.
Is Vail Resorts still worth investing in?
It depends on the gap between the price ($145) and its estimated value: analysts target $139 on median (-4%), with 33% buys (most reliable on MTN: JP Morgan, 100%). Cross-check with their real reliability on MTN and the cautions above. Information, not advice.
What's the main risk in buying MTN?
Even the most reliable firm on MTN, JP Morgan (100% hit rate, 3 scored calls), only targets $126 (call made on June 9, 2026, maturing on June 9, 2027) (-13%) in its most recent call, and $172 (call made on December 11, 2025, maturing on December 11, 2026) (+19%) in the one coming due soonest. The stock may already have run past its target.
→ Go deeper: the full Vail Resorts profile (consensus, analyst reliability, price target, performance).