Should I buy Murphy Oil (MUR) stock or is it too late?

Murphy Oil · Energy · price $39

⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: UBS — 56% of its targets hit on this sector (55 calls tested). It aims for $38 (-2.7 %), call made on August 8, 2026, maturing on August 8, 2027 (67 d ago).

The 1 reliable analyst $38-2.7 %

The 5 other firms $43+10 %

How to read it: the 1 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 0 aim above the price, 1 below, hence their $38 median. “The 5 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.

Firm-by-firm track record on Murphy Oil

Here the hit rate is measured <b>on this stock specifically</b> (matured targets replayed against real prices, minimum 5 calls tested) — the green block above measures reliability <b>across the whole sector</b>, which is the criterion behind JPI selections. “Aims for” = the firm's most recent target on this stock; “—” means it hasn't published one recently.

Firm	% right	Gain vs sector	Calls	Aims for
Keybanc	36 %	+27.4 %	11	$47 +20%
Piper Sandler	52 %	+4.8 %	23	$41 +5%
Mizuho	42 %	-9.6 %	19	$44 +13%
Morgan Stanley	44 %	-28.3 %	16	$35 -10%
Truist Securities	56 %	-4.3 %	9	—
JP Morgan	20 %	-10.2 %	5	—

In short — Should you invest in Murphy Oil? Is it too late, still worth it? Analysts are split (14% buy, median target $41, i.e. +4%), and the most reliable on MUR targets even higher. But the stock is volatile. We give you both sides, with the numbers — not advice.

✅ Reasons to believe

The most reliable firm on MUR, Wells Fargo (67% hit rate, 3 scored calls), targets $43 (call made on September 29, 2026, maturing on September 29, 2027) (+10%) in its most recent call, and $26 (call made on October 17, 2025, maturing on October 17, 2026) (-33%) in the one coming due soonest.
Pays a dividend (4.3% yield) — regular income on top of potential upside.

⚠️ Reasons to hesitate

The consensus is not unanimous: of 7 ratings, 4 are neutral and 2 are sells.
Limited upside: the median target is only +4% from the current price.
A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.
Volatile stock: sharp swings — including steep drops — are part of its profile.

The analyst consensus on MUR

Median target $41 (+4%) · 7 ratings · Hold consensus

Strong Buy00%

Buy114%

Hold457%

Sell229%

Strong Sell00%

⚠️ Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon.

Frequently asked questions

Should you invest in Murphy Oil now?

We won't decide for you. The facts: 14% of analysts rate it a buy, median target $41 (+4%), and Wells Fargo (most reliable on MUR, 67%) targets $43. Weigh that against valuation and volatility. This is not personalized advice.

Is it too late to invest in Murphy Oil?

Not according to analysts: the median target ($41) is still +4% above the current price ($39) (most reliable on MUR: Wells Fargo, 67%). The real question isn't "too late" but the price-to-value gap and risk. Not advice.

Is Murphy Oil still worth investing in?

It depends on the gap between the price ($39) and its estimated value: analysts target $41 on median (+4%), with 14% buys (most reliable on MUR: Wells Fargo, 67%). Cross-check with their real reliability on MUR and the cautions above. Information, not advice.

What's the main risk in buying MUR?

The consensus is not unanimous: of 7 ratings, 4 are neutral and 2 are sells.

→ Go deeper: the full Murphy Oil profile (consensus, analyst reliability, price target, performance).