Should I buy Murphy Oil (MUR) stock or is it too late?
No reliable analyst is bullish on this stock right now. A “reliable” analyst is a firm that, on this sector, hits more than 55% of its targets and beats its sector. None of them sees upside here — which is exactly why this stock is in no JPI selection.
Firm-by-firm track record on Murphy Oil
| Firm | % right | Gain vs sector | Calls | Aims for |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keybanc | 36 % | +27.4 % | 11 | $43 +20% |
| Piper Sandler | 52 % | +4.8 % | 23 | $41 +14% |
| Mizuho | 42 % | -9.6 % | 19 | $44 +22% |
| Morgan Stanley | 44 % | -28.3 % | 16 | $35 -3% |
| Truist Securities | 56 % | -4.3 % | 9 | — |
| JP Morgan | 20 % | -10.2 % | 5 | — |
✅ Reasons to believe
- Median price target $41, i.e. +14% from the current price ($36).
- The most reliable firm on MUR, Wells Fargo (67% hit rate, 3 scored calls), targets $45 (call made on August 13, 2026, maturing on August 13, 2027) (+25%) in its most recent call, and $28 (call made on October 13, 2025, maturing on October 13, 2026) (-22%) in the one coming due soonest.
- Pays a dividend (4.3% yield) — regular income on top of potential upside.
⚠️ Reasons to hesitate
- The consensus is not unanimous: of 9 ratings, 4 are neutral and 2 are sells.
- A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.
- Volatile stock: sharp swings — including steep drops — are part of its profile.
The analyst consensus on MUR
Median target $41 (+14%) · 9 ratings · Hold consensus
⚠️ Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon.
Frequently asked questions
Should you invest in Murphy Oil now?
We won't decide for you. The facts: 33% of analysts rate it a buy, median target $41 (+14%), and Wells Fargo (most reliable on MUR, 67%) targets $45. Weigh that against valuation and volatility. This is not personalized advice.
Is it too late to invest in Murphy Oil?
Not according to analysts: the median target ($41) is still +14% above the current price ($36) (most reliable on MUR: Wells Fargo, 67%). The real question isn't "too late" but the price-to-value gap and risk. Not advice.
Is Murphy Oil still worth investing in?
It depends on the gap between the price ($36) and its estimated value: analysts target $41 on median (+14%), with 33% buys (most reliable on MUR: Wells Fargo, 67%). Cross-check with their real reliability on MUR and the cautions above. Information, not advice.
What's the main risk in buying MUR?
The consensus is not unanimous: of 9 ratings, 4 are neutral and 2 are sells.
→ Go deeper: the full Murphy Oil profile (consensus, analyst reliability, price target, performance).