Does Newmont (NEM) stock go up or down depending on the month?
Newmont month by month, year by year
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +12.5% | +15.7% | -16.7% | +2.6% | -1.2% | -14.9% | +0.3% | |||||
| 2025 | +14.8% | +0.3% | +12.7% | +9.1% | +0.1% | +10.5% | +6.6% | +19.8% | +13.3% | -4.0% | +12.1% | +10.1% |
| 2024 | -16.6% | -9.4% | +14.7% | +13.4% | +3.2% | -0.2% | +17.2% | +8.8% | +0.1% | -15.0% | -7.7% | -11.3% |
| 2023 | +12.1% | -17.6% | +12.4% | -3.3% | -14.5% | +5.2% | +0.6% | -8.2% | -6.3% | +1.4% | +7.3% | +3.0% |
| 2022 | -1.4% | +8.2% | +20.0% | -8.3% | -6.9% | -12.1% | -24.1% | -8.7% | +1.6% | +0.7% | +12.2% | -0.6% |
| 2021 | -0.5% | -8.8% | +10.8% | +3.6% | +17.7% | -13.7% | -0.9% | -7.7% | -6.4% | -0.6% | +1.7% | +12.9% |
| 2020 | +3.7% | -1.0% | +1.5% | +31.4% | -1.7% | +5.6% | +12.1% | -2.8% | -5.7% | -1.0% | -6.4% | +1.8% |
| 2019 | -1.6% | +0.0% | +4.8% | -13.2% | +6.5% | +16.3% | -5.1% | +9.2% | -4.9% | +4.8% | -3.3% | +13.2% |
| 2018 | +8.0% | -5.7% | +2.3% | +0.6% | -0.9% | -3.1% | -2.7% | -15.4% | -2.7% | +2.4% | +4.6% | +7.1% |
| 2017 | +6.5% | -5.6% | -3.7% | +2.6% | +1.0% | -5.2% | +14.8% | +3.1% | -2.2% | -3.6% | +2.3% | +1.4% |
| 2016 | +11.0% | +29.4% | +2.9% | +31.6% | -7.3% | +20.7% | +12.5% | -13.1% | +2.7% | -5.7% | -12.4% | +5.0% |
| 2015 | +33.1% | +4.7% | -17.5% | +22.0% | +2.8% | -14.2% | -26.5% | -0.6% | -5.9% | +21.1% | -5.4% | -2.3% |
| 2014 | -6.2% | +7.7% | +0.8% | +5.9% | -7.8% | +11.1% | -2.1% | +8.8% | -14.9% | -18.6% | -1.9% | +2.7% |
| 2013 | -6.2% | +4.0% | -22.7% | +5.8% | -12.6% | +0.2% | +5.9% | -11.6% | -3.0% | -8.9% | -7.2% | |
| Average | +5.8% | +0.8% | +3.5% | +5.4% | -0.2% | -0.5% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -3.3% | -1.6% | -0.5% | +2.8% |
| % of years up | 62% | 50% | 79% | 71% | 50% | 43% | 57% | 46% | 31% | 38% | 46% | 69% |
| Years observed | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Newmont month by month: the summary
Over 2013-2026, here's what Newmont (NEM) stock did each month, on average: January +5.8% (up 62% of 13 years), February +0.8% (up 50% of 14 years), March +3.5% (up 79% of 14 years), April +5.4% (up 71% of 14 years), May -0.2% (up 50% of 14 years), June -0.5% (up 43% of 14 years), July +0.2% (up 57% of 14 years), August -0.1% (up 46% of 13 years), September -3.3% (up 31% of 13 years), October -1.6% (up 38% of 13 years), November -0.5% (up 46% of 13 years), December +2.8% (up 69% of 13 years). In other words, NEM historically rose in January, February, March, April, July, December, and fell in May, June, August, September, October, November.
Does Newmont really go up in January?
Over 2013-2026, January is Newmont's strongest month: +5.8% on average, positive in 8 of 13 years. At the other end, September shows -3.3%. But a monthly gap is often built on one or two extreme years — the table above shows it: look at the spread, not just the average. Seasonality only means something when it has a cause (selling season, earnings calendar, year-end tax effects); with no identified cause, it's probably noise.
Frequently asked questions
Does Newmont stock go up or down in March?
Over 14 years, NEM rose +3.5% on average in March, finishing the month up 11 times out of 14 (79%). Median: +3.4%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Newmont stock go up or down in August?
Over 13 years, NEM fell -0.1% on average in August, finishing the month up 6 times out of 13 (46%). Median: -0.6%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Newmont stock go up or down in April?
Over 14 years, NEM rose +5.4% on average in April, finishing the month up 10 times out of 14 (71%). Median: +3.1%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Newmont stock go up or down in December?
Over 13 years, NEM rose +2.8% on average in December, finishing the month up 9 times out of 13 (69%). Median: +2.7%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Newmont stock go up or down in October?
Over 13 years, NEM fell -1.6% on average in October, finishing the month up 5 times out of 13 (38%). Median: -1.0%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Newmont stock go up or down in February?
Over 14 years, NEM rose +0.8% on average in February, finishing the month up 7 times out of 14 (50%). Median: -0.5%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
What is the best month to buy Newmont stock?
Historically, January: over the last 14 years, NEM gained +5.8% on average that month and finished up 62% of the time (13 years observed). September is the weakest month (-3.3%). This is not a prediction: 14 years is a small sample, and the past is under no obligation to repeat.
Why does Newmont stock often rise in January?
January has averaged as its best month over 14 years (+5.8%, up 62% of years). No clearly established recurring seasonal driver explains this month — it's a statistical tendency over 14 years of history, not a prediction.
Is there a best month to invest in the stock market in general?
There's no universal rule: every stock has its own seasonality. For NEM it's January (+5.8% on average over 14 years) — another stock will look completely different. The calendar effects people cite ("sell in May", the year-end rally) are market-wide averages, not laws: on NEM, March is the most consistent month (79% positive years). We also rank all 12 months for the whole market.
Does stock seasonality actually work?
Careful. A month that rose 14 times out of 14 can simply be chance: with 12 months and a dozen years, patterns appear naturally even in random data. Seasonality describes what happened; it doesn't explain why and predicts nothing. Treat it as context, never as a standalone buy signal.
What data is this table based on?
On NEM's real monthly closing prices from 2013 to 2026 (14 years), source Yahoo Finance. Each cell = the price change over that month. Price performance, excluding dividends. Incomplete months and quote gaps are excluded.