Does Netflix (NFLX) stock go up or down depending on the month?
Netflix month by month, year by year
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -11.0% | +15.3% | -0.1% | -2.6% | -8.1% | -17.0% | +0.4% | |||||
| 2025 | +9.6% | +0.4% | -4.9% | +21.4% | +6.7% | +10.9% | -13.4% | +4.2% | -0.8% | -6.7% | -3.9% | -12.8% |
| 2024 | +15.9% | +6.9% | +0.7% | -9.3% | +16.5% | +5.2% | -6.9% | +11.6% | +1.1% | +6.6% | +17.3% | +0.5% |
| 2023 | +20.0% | -9.0% | +7.3% | -4.5% | +19.8% | +11.5% | -0.3% | -1.2% | -12.9% | +9.0% | +15.1% | +2.7% |
| 2022 | -29.1% | -7.6% | -5.0% | -49.2% | +3.7% | -11.4% | +28.6% | -0.6% | +5.3% | +24.0% | +4.7% | -3.5% |
| 2021 | -1.5% | +1.2% | -3.2% | -1.6% | -2.1% | +5.1% | -2.0% | +10.0% | +7.2% | +13.1% | -7.0% | -6.2% |
| 2020 | +6.6% | +6.9% | +1.8% | +11.8% | -0.0% | +8.4% | +7.5% | +8.3% | -5.6% | -4.9% | +3.2% | +10.2% |
| 2019 | +26.8% | +5.5% | -0.4% | +3.9% | -7.3% | +7.0% | -12.1% | -9.0% | -8.9% | +7.4% | +9.5% | +2.8% |
| 2018 | +40.8% | +7.8% | +1.3% | +5.8% | +12.5% | +11.3% | -13.8% | +9.0% | +1.7% | -19.3% | -5.2% | -6.4% |
| 2017 | +13.7% | +1.0% | +4.0% | +3.0% | +7.2% | -8.4% | +21.6% | -3.9% | +3.8% | +8.3% | -4.5% | +2.3% |
| 2016 | -19.8% | +1.7% | +9.4% | -11.9% | +14.0% | -10.8% | -0.3% | +6.8% | +1.1% | +26.8% | -6.3% | +5.8% |
| 2015 | +29.3% | +7.4% | -12.2% | +33.6% | +12.2% | +5.2% | +21.9% | +0.6% | -10.2% | +4.9% | +13.7% | -7.2% |
| 2014 | +11.2% | +8.9% | -21.0% | -8.5% | +29.8% | +5.4% | -4.0% | +12.9% | -5.4% | -13.0% | -11.8% | -1.4% |
| 2013 | +14.0% | +0.4% | +14.4% | +4.5% | -6.5% | +15.6% | +16.3% | +8.9% | +4.3% | +13.4% | +0.6% | |
| Average | +8.7% | +4.3% | -1.6% | +0.4% | +7.8% | +1.1% | +3.0% | +5.0% | -1.1% | +4.7% | +2.9% | -1.0% |
| % of years up | 69% | 86% | 50% | 50% | 71% | 64% | 43% | 69% | 54% | 69% | 54% | 54% |
| Years observed | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Netflix month by month: the summary
Over 2013-2026, here's what Netflix (NFLX) stock did each month, on average: January +8.7% (up 69% of 13 years), February +4.3% (up 86% of 14 years), March -1.6% (up 50% of 14 years), April +0.4% (up 50% of 14 years), May +7.8% (up 71% of 14 years), June +1.1% (up 64% of 14 years), July +3.0% (up 43% of 14 years), August +5.0% (up 69% of 13 years), September -1.1% (up 54% of 13 years), October +4.7% (up 69% of 13 years), November +2.9% (up 54% of 13 years), December -1.0% (up 54% of 13 years). In other words, NFLX historically rose in January, February, April, May, June, July, August, October, November, and fell in March, September, December.
Does Netflix really go up in January?
Over 2013-2026, January is Netflix's strongest month: +8.7% on average, positive in 9 of 13 years. At the other end, March shows -1.6%. But a monthly gap is often built on one or two extreme years — the table above shows it: look at the spread, not just the average. Seasonality only means something when it has a cause (selling season, earnings calendar, year-end tax effects); with no identified cause, it's probably noise.
Frequently asked questions
Does Netflix stock go up or down in February?
Over 14 years, NFLX rose +4.3% on average in February, finishing the month up 12 times out of 14 (86%). Median: +6.2%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Netflix stock go up or down in August?
Over 13 years, NFLX rose +5.0% on average in August, finishing the month up 9 times out of 13 (69%). Median: +6.8%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Netflix stock go up or down in May?
Over 14 years, NFLX rose +7.8% on average in May, finishing the month up 10 times out of 14 (71%). Median: +6.9%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Netflix stock go up or down in October?
Over 13 years, NFLX rose +4.7% on average in October, finishing the month up 9 times out of 13 (69%). Median: +6.6%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Netflix stock go up or down in July?
Over 14 years, NFLX rose +3.0% on average in July, finishing the month up 6 times out of 14 (43%). Median: -0.3%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Netflix stock go up or down in November?
Over 13 years, NFLX rose +2.9% on average in November, finishing the month up 7 times out of 13 (54%). Median: +3.2%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
What is the best month to buy Netflix stock?
Historically, January: over the last 14 years, NFLX gained +8.7% on average that month and finished up 69% of the time (13 years observed). March is the weakest month (-1.6%). This is not a prediction: 14 years is a small sample, and the past is under no obligation to repeat.
Why does Netflix stock often rise in January?
January has averaged as its best month over 14 years (+8.7%, up 69% of years). No clearly established recurring seasonal driver explains this month — it's a statistical tendency over 14 years of history, not a prediction.
Is there a best month to invest in the stock market in general?
There's no universal rule: every stock has its own seasonality. For NFLX it's January (+8.7% on average over 14 years) — another stock will look completely different. The calendar effects people cite ("sell in May", the year-end rally) are market-wide averages, not laws: on NFLX, February is the most consistent month (86% positive years). We also rank all 12 months for the whole market.
Does stock seasonality actually work?
Careful. A month that rose 14 times out of 14 can simply be chance: with 12 months and a dozen years, patterns appear naturally even in random data. Seasonality describes what happened; it doesn't explain why and predicts nothing. Treat it as context, never as a standalone buy signal.
What data is this table based on?
On NFLX's real monthly closing prices from 2013 to 2026 (14 years), source Yahoo Finance. Each cell = the price change over that month. Price performance, excluding dividends. Incomplete months and quote gaps are excluded.