Does Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) stock go up or down depending on the month?
Ollie's Bargain Outlet month by month, year by year
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.6% | -2.9% | -14.1% | -6.0% | -5.6% | -5.8% | -4.4% | |||||
| 2025 | +1.6% | -7.2% | +12.4% | -8.8% | +5.0% | +18.2% | +3.7% | -7.2% | +1.2% | -5.9% | +1.9% | -11.0% |
| 2024 | -5.2% | +11.5% | -0.7% | -8.1% | +12.7% | +19.1% | -0.5% | -8.3% | +8.5% | -5.5% | +7.8% | +10.9% |
| 2023 | +16.9% | +5.1% | +0.7% | +12.6% | -15.5% | +5.1% | +25.8% | +5.8% | +0.1% | +0.1% | -5.1% | +3.6% |
| 2022 | -6.3% | -9.9% | -0.5% | +11.8% | -2.2% | +25.1% | +0.3% | -6.2% | -6.7% | +8.5% | +8.7% | -23.1% |
| 2021 | +15.8% | -12.7% | +5.2% | +6.1% | -6.3% | -2.7% | +10.7% | -22.3% | -16.7% | +12.2% | -8.5% | -17.3% |
| 2020 | -18.8% | -4.1% | -8.9% | +46.5% | +34.7% | +6.8% | +7.6% | -9.1% | -8.6% | -0.3% | +1.1% | -7.1% |
| 2019 | +17.5% | +12.9% | -3.3% | +12.1% | +3.2% | -11.8% | -2.8% | -34.5% | +5.8% | +8.9% | +2.4% | -0.1% |
| 2018 | +4.3% | +6.8% | +1.6% | +3.2% | +13.7% | +2.5% | -4.1% | +25.3% | +10.3% | -3.3% | -4.5% | -25.0% |
| 2017 | +7.4% | +2.6% | +6.9% | +14.3% | +7.4% | +3.5% | +4.9% | -6.4% | +10.9% | -3.8% | +6.3% | +12.2% |
| 2016 | +31.4% | -9.6% | +16.0% | +12.9% | -5.2% | -0.7% | +5.0% | -2.8% | +3.1% | +4.3% | +9.9% | -5.3% |
| 2015 | -8.8% | -9.6% | -2.0% | +11.4% | -3.7% | |||||||
| Average | +5.9% | -0.7% | +1.4% | +8.8% | +3.8% | +5.4% | +4.2% | -6.8% | -0.2% | +1.2% | +2.8% | -6.0% |
| % of years up | 73% | 45% | 55% | 73% | 55% | 64% | 64% | 18% | 64% | 45% | 73% | 27% |
| Years observed | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Ollie's Bargain Outlet month by month: the summary
Over 2015-2026, here's what Ollie's Bargain Outlet (OLLI) stock did each month, on average: January +5.9% (up 73% of 11 years), February -0.7% (up 45% of 11 years), March +1.4% (up 55% of 11 years), April +8.8% (up 73% of 11 years), May +3.8% (up 55% of 11 years), June +5.4% (up 64% of 11 years), July +4.2% (up 64% of 11 years), August -6.8% (up 18% of 11 years), September -0.2% (up 64% of 11 years), October +1.2% (up 45% of 11 years), November +2.8% (up 73% of 11 years), December -6.0% (up 27% of 11 years). In other words, OLLI historically rose in January, March, April, May, June, July, October, November, and fell in February, August, September, December.
Does Ollie's Bargain Outlet really go up in April?
Over 2015-2026, April is Ollie's Bargain Outlet's strongest month: +8.8% on average, positive in 8 of 11 years. At the other end, August shows -6.8%. But a monthly gap is often built on one or two extreme years — the table above shows it: look at the spread, not just the average. Seasonality only means something when it has a cause (selling season, earnings calendar, year-end tax effects); with no identified cause, it's probably noise.
Frequently asked questions
Does Ollie's Bargain Outlet stock go up or down in January?
Over 11 years, OLLI rose +5.9% on average in January, finishing the month up 8 times out of 11 (73%). Median: +4.3%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 11 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Ollie's Bargain Outlet stock go up or down in December?
Over 11 years, OLLI fell -6.0% on average in December, finishing the month up 3 times out of 11 (27%). Median: -5.3%. It's one of its weakest months. ⚠️ 11 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Ollie's Bargain Outlet stock go up or down in June?
Over 11 years, OLLI rose +5.4% on average in June, finishing the month up 7 times out of 11 (64%). Median: +3.5%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 11 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Ollie's Bargain Outlet stock go up or down in July?
Over 11 years, OLLI rose +4.2% on average in July, finishing the month up 7 times out of 11 (64%). Median: +3.7%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 11 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Ollie's Bargain Outlet stock go up or down in May?
Over 11 years, OLLI rose +3.8% on average in May, finishing the month up 6 times out of 11 (55%). Median: +3.2%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 11 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Ollie's Bargain Outlet stock go up or down in November?
Over 11 years, OLLI rose +2.8% on average in November, finishing the month up 8 times out of 11 (73%). Median: +2.4%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 11 years of data is not a prediction.
What is the best month to buy Ollie's Bargain Outlet stock?
Historically, April: over the last 12 years, OLLI gained +8.8% on average that month and finished up 73% of the time (11 years observed). August is the weakest month (-6.8%). This is not a prediction: 12 years is a small sample, and the past is under no obligation to repeat.
Do Ollie's Bargain Outlet's quarterly earnings move the stock?
August — when Ollie's Bargain Outlet reports quarterly earnings — has been its weakest month over 12 years (-6.8% on average, up 18% of years). Earnings are a known driver of moves. ⚠️ This is a past tendency over a short history, not a rule. Use it as context, never as a buy plan.
Why does Ollie's Bargain Outlet stock often rise in April?
April has averaged as its best month over 12 years (+8.8%, up 73% of years). No clearly established recurring seasonal driver explains this month — it's a statistical tendency over 12 years of history, not a prediction.
Why is Ollie's Bargain Outlet stock weaker in August?
August has averaged as its weakest month over 12 years (-6.8%, up only 18% of years). This month covers Ollie's Bargain Outlet's quarterly earnings release — a known driver of moves, and over this history it has tended to weigh on the stock.
Is there a best month to invest in the stock market in general?
There's no universal rule: every stock has its own seasonality. For OLLI it's April (+8.8% on average over 12 years) — another stock will look completely different. The calendar effects people cite ("sell in May", the year-end rally) are market-wide averages, not laws: on OLLI, January is the most consistent month (73% positive years). We also rank all 12 months for the whole market.
Does stock seasonality actually work?
Careful. A month that rose 12 times out of 12 can simply be chance: with 12 months and a dozen years, patterns appear naturally even in random data. Seasonality describes what happened; it doesn't explain why and predicts nothing. Treat it as context, never as a standalone buy signal.
What data is this table based on?
On OLLI's real monthly closing prices from 2015 to 2026 (12 years), source Yahoo Finance. Each cell = the price change over that month. Price performance, excluding dividends. Incomplete months and quote gaps are excluded.