Should I buy Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) stock or is it too late?

Packaging Corporation of America · Materials · price $232

See the full Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) profile

⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: UBS — 63% of its targets hit on this sector (185 calls tested). It aims for $289 (+25 %), call made on October 6, 2026, maturing on October 6, 2027 (8 d ago).

The 4 reliable analysts $285+23 %

The 3 other firms $256+11 %

How to read it: the 4 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 4 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $285 median. “The 3 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.

Firm-by-firm track record on Packaging Corporation of America

Here the hit rate is measured <b>on this stock specifically</b> (matured targets replayed against real prices, minimum 5 calls tested) — the green block above measures reliability <b>across the whole sector</b>, which is the criterion behind JPI selections. “Aims for” = the firm's most recent target on this stock; “—” means it hasn't published one recently.

Firm	% right	Gain vs sector	Calls	Aims for
Deutsche Bank	83 %	+49.1 %	6	$256 +11%
Citigroup	69 %	+20.9 %	13	$253 +9%
Truist Securities	80 %	+16.0 %	20	$280 +21%
B of A Securities	75 %	+12.1 %	8	$260 +12%
Wells Fargo	78 %	+7.3 %	9	$245 +6%
BMO Capital	86 %	+23.0 %	7	—
Jefferies	58 %	+16.1 %	12	—

In short — Should you invest in Packaging Corporation of America? Is it too late, still worth it? Analysts are fairly positive (71% buy, median target $260, i.e. +12%), and the most reliable on PKG targets even higher. But the valuation is stretched (P/E ~30). We give you both sides, with the numbers — not advice.

✅ Reasons to believe

71% of analysts rate it a buy (Buy consensus, 7 ratings) — a sign of market conviction.
Median price target $260, i.e. +12% from the current price ($232).
The most reliable firm on PKG, Deutsche Bank (83% hit rate, 6 scored calls), targets $256 (call made on May 4, 2026, maturing on May 4, 2027) (+11%) in its most recent call, and $225 (call made on April 1, 2026, maturing on April 1, 2027) (-3%) in the one coming due soonest.
Pays a dividend (2.2% yield) — regular income on top of potential upside.

⚠️ Reasons to hesitate

The consensus is not unanimous: of 7 ratings, 2 are neutral.
High valuation (P/E ~30): strong growth is already "priced in", leaving little room for error.
A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.

The analyst consensus on PKG

Median target $260 (+12%) · 7 ratings · Buy consensus

Strong Buy00%

Buy571%

Hold229%

Sell00%

Strong Sell00%

⚠️ Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon.

Frequently asked questions

Should you invest in Packaging Corporation of America now?

We won't decide for you. The facts: 71% of analysts rate it a buy, median target $260 (+12%), and Deutsche Bank (most reliable on PKG, 83%) targets $256. Weigh that against valuation (P/E ~30). This is not personalized advice.

Is it too late to invest in Packaging Corporation of America?

Not according to analysts: the median target ($260) is still +12% above the current price ($232) (most reliable on PKG: Deutsche Bank, 83%). The real question isn't "too late" but the price-to-value gap and risk. Not advice.

Is Packaging Corporation of America still worth investing in?

It depends on the gap between the price ($232) and its estimated value: analysts target $260 on median (+12%), with 71% buys (most reliable on PKG: Deutsche Bank, 83%). Cross-check with their real reliability on PKG and the cautions above. Information, not advice.

What's the main risk in buying PKG?

The consensus is not unanimous: of 7 ratings, 2 are neutral.

→ Go deeper: the full Packaging Corporation of America profile (consensus, analyst reliability, price target, performance).