Does Timken (TKR) stock go up or down depending on the month?
Timken month by month, year by year
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +10.8% | +16.3% | -7.2% | +10.3% | +15.4% | +13.5% | -5.3% | |||||
| 2025 | +12.5% | +0.9% | -11.3% | -10.6% | +6.6% | +5.9% | +4.9% | +1.5% | -2.7% | +4.4% | +3.7% | +3.4% |
| 2024 | +2.2% | +2.5% | +4.1% | +2.0% | -2.6% | -7.8% | +8.5% | -2.8% | -0.3% | -1.5% | -6.7% | -7.9% |
| 2023 | +16.5% | +3.8% | -4.4% | -6.0% | -6.9% | +27.9% | +1.5% | -17.7% | -3.8% | -5.9% | +4.7% | +10.7% |
| 2022 | -3.6% | -1.9% | -7.4% | -5.0% | +6.0% | -13.1% | +23.2% | -3.7% | -6.3% | +20.7% | +6.6% | -7.0% |
| 2021 | -2.2% | +3.6% | +3.6% | +3.3% | +5.5% | -8.9% | -1.4% | -7.5% | -11.0% | +8.5% | -7.2% | +5.3% |
| 2020 | -6.7% | -14.6% | -27.9% | +16.2% | +13.2% | +6.9% | +0.4% | +18.7% | +0.1% | +10.1% | +23.0% | +5.3% |
| 2019 | +14.1% | +1.9% | +0.5% | +9.9% | -8.2% | +16.7% | -11.0% | -12.1% | +8.3% | +12.6% | +7.3% | +7.1% |
| 2018 | +6.9% | -16.7% | +4.1% | -6.3% | +10.6% | -7.9% | +13.1% | -1.2% | +2.5% | -20.7% | +1.5% | -7.0% |
| 2017 | +11.8% | -0.5% | +2.3% | +6.7% | -4.4% | +0.2% | -1.6% | -1.4% | +8.2% | -2.9% | +5.8% | -1.5% |
| 2016 | -7.1% | +12.4% | +12.3% | +6.4% | -6.7% | -7.8% | +9.1% | +1.3% | +3.7% | -5.9% | +18.2% | +1.7% |
| 2015 | -10.9% | +11.8% | -0.8% | -6.8% | -0.5% | -6.5% | -8.7% | -4.9% | -13.4% | +15.0% | +2.0% | -11.3% |
| 2014 | +2.3% | +7.2% | -2.6% | +7.3% | +1.8% | +5.6% | -8.8% | +2.2% | -6.4% | +1.4% | -0.5% | -0.3% |
| 2013 | +1.3% | +4.2% | -7.1% | +8.0% | -0.8% | +3.8% | -4.0% | +7.7% | -12.6% | -2.0% | +6.4% | |
| Average | +3.6% | +2.0% | -2.2% | +1.5% | +2.7% | +1.7% | +2.0% | -2.4% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +4.3% | +0.4% |
| % of years up | 62% | 71% | 50% | 57% | 57% | 50% | 57% | 31% | 46% | 54% | 69% | 54% |
| Years observed | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Timken month by month: the summary
Over 2013-2026, here's what Timken (TKR) stock did each month, on average: January +3.6% (up 62% of 13 years), February +2.0% (up 71% of 14 years), March -2.2% (up 50% of 14 years), April +1.5% (up 57% of 14 years), May +2.7% (up 57% of 14 years), June +1.7% (up 50% of 14 years), July +2.0% (up 57% of 14 years), August -2.4% (up 31% of 13 years), September -1.0% (up 46% of 13 years), October +1.8% (up 54% of 13 years), November +4.3% (up 69% of 13 years), December +0.4% (up 54% of 13 years). In other words, TKR historically rose in January, February, April, May, June, July, October, November, December, and fell in March, August, September.
Does Timken really go up in November?
Over 2013-2026, November is Timken's strongest month: +4.3% on average, positive in 9 of 13 years. At the other end, August shows -2.4%. But a monthly gap is often built on one or two extreme years — the table above shows it: look at the spread, not just the average. Seasonality only means something when it has a cause (selling season, earnings calendar, year-end tax effects); with no identified cause, it's probably noise.
Frequently asked questions
Does Timken stock go up or down in February?
Over 14 years, TKR rose +2.0% on average in February, finishing the month up 10 times out of 14 (71%). Median: +2.2%. It's one of its most consistent months. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Timken stock go up or down in January?
Over 13 years, TKR rose +3.6% on average in January, finishing the month up 8 times out of 13 (62%). Median: +2.3%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Timken stock go up or down in May?
Over 14 years, TKR rose +2.7% on average in May, finishing the month up 8 times out of 14 (57%). Median: +3.6%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Timken stock go up or down in March?
Over 14 years, TKR fell -2.2% on average in March, finishing the month up 7 times out of 14 (50%). Median: -0.1%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Timken stock go up or down in July?
Over 14 years, TKR rose +2.0% on average in July, finishing the month up 8 times out of 14 (57%). Median: +0.9%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 14 years of data is not a prediction.
Does Timken stock go up or down in October?
Over 13 years, TKR rose +1.8% on average in October, finishing the month up 7 times out of 13 (54%). Median: +1.4%. Results are split year to year — there's no clear pattern. ⚠️ 13 years of data is not a prediction.
What is the best month to buy Timken stock?
Historically, November: over the last 14 years, TKR gained +4.3% on average that month and finished up 69% of the time (13 years observed). August is the weakest month (-2.4%). This is not a prediction: 14 years is a small sample, and the past is under no obligation to repeat.
Why does Timken stock often rise in November?
November has averaged as its best month over 14 years (+4.3%, up 69% of years). No clearly established recurring seasonal driver explains this month — it's a statistical tendency over 14 years of history, not a prediction.
Is there a best month to invest in the stock market in general?
There's no universal rule: every stock has its own seasonality. For TKR it's November (+4.3% on average over 14 years) — another stock will look completely different. The calendar effects people cite ("sell in May", the year-end rally) are market-wide averages, not laws: on TKR, February is the most consistent month (71% positive years). We also rank all 12 months for the whole market.
Does stock seasonality actually work?
Careful. A month that rose 14 times out of 14 can simply be chance: with 12 months and a dozen years, patterns appear naturally even in random data. Seasonality describes what happened; it doesn't explain why and predicts nothing. Treat it as context, never as a standalone buy signal.
What data is this table based on?
On TKR's real monthly closing prices from 2013 to 2026 (14 years), source Yahoo Finance. Each cell = the price change over that month. Price performance, excluding dividends. Incomplete months and quote gaps are excluded.