Should I buy Timken (TKR) stock or is it too late?

Timken · Industrials · price $114

⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Evercore ISI Group — 71% of its targets hit on this sector (49 calls tested). It aims for $157 (+37 %), call made on August 12, 2026, maturing on August 12, 2027 (63 d ago).

The 4 reliable analysts $145+27 %

The 4 other firms $151+32 %

How to read it: the 4 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 4 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $145 median. “The 4 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.

Firm-by-firm track record on Timken

Here the hit rate is measured <b>on this stock specifically</b> (matured targets replayed against real prices, minimum 5 calls tested) — the green block above measures reliability <b>across the whole sector</b>, which is the criterion behind JPI selections. “Aims for” = the firm's most recent target on this stock; “—” means it hasn't published one recently.

Firm	% right	Gain vs sector	Calls	Aims for
Citigroup	88 %	+42.7 %	8	$140 +23%
Evercore ISI Group	100 %	+28.1 %	6	$157 +37%
Keybanc	50 %	+13.3 %	16	$160 +40%
Oppenheimer	50 %	+9.9 %	8	$150 +31%
Jefferies	46 %	+8.1 %	13	$70 -39%
B of A Securities	45 %	-2.1 %	11	$135 +18%
Stifel	60 %	-0.6 %	10	—

In short — Should you invest in Timken? Is it too late, still worth it? Analysts are fairly positive (75% buy, median target $146, i.e. +28%), and the most reliable on TKR targets even higher. We give you both sides, with the numbers — not advice.

✅ Reasons to believe

75% of analysts rate it a buy (Buy consensus, 8 ratings) — a sign of market conviction.
Median price target $146, i.e. +28% from the current price ($114).
The most reliable firm on TKR, Morgan Stanley (100% hit rate, 2 scored calls), targets $119 (call made on March 30, 2026, maturing on March 30, 2027) (+4%) in its most recent call, and $116 (call made on February 10, 2026, maturing on February 10, 2027) (+2%) in the one coming due soonest.

⚠️ Reasons to hesitate

The consensus is not unanimous: of 8 ratings, 2 are neutral.
A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.

The analyst consensus on TKR

Median target $146 (+28%) · 8 ratings · Buy consensus

Strong Buy00%

Buy675%

Hold225%

Sell00%

Strong Sell00%

⚠️ Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon.

Frequently asked questions

Should you invest in Timken now?

We won't decide for you. The facts: 75% of analysts rate it a buy, median target $146 (+28%), and Morgan Stanley (most reliable on TKR, 100%) targets $119. Weigh that against valuation. This is not personalized advice.

Is it too late to invest in Timken?

Not according to analysts: the median target ($146) is still +28% above the current price ($114) (most reliable on TKR: Morgan Stanley, 100%). The real question isn't "too late" but the price-to-value gap and risk. Not advice.

Is Timken still worth investing in?

It depends on the gap between the price ($114) and its estimated value: analysts target $146 on median (+28%), with 75% buys (most reliable on TKR: Morgan Stanley, 100%). Cross-check with their real reliability on TKR and the cautions above. Information, not advice.

What's the main risk in buying TKR?

The consensus is not unanimous: of 8 ratings, 2 are neutral.

→ Go deeper: the full Timken profile (consensus, analyst reliability, price target, performance).