Should I buy Timken (TKR) stock or is it too late?

Timken · Industrials · price $125

⭐ What the most reliable analysts say · those who beat their sector, targets replayed on real prices

⭐ The most reliable of them, either direction: Evercore ISI Group — 71% of its targets hit on this sector (45 calls tested). It aims for $157 (+26 %), call made on August 12, 2026, maturing on August 12, 2027 (16 d ago).

The 6 reliable analysts $159+27 %

The 2 other firms $120-4.0 %

How to read it: the 6 reliable firms are not filtered by optimism — 6 aim above the price, 0 below, hence their $159 median. “The 2 others” are the firms that don't pass our reliability filter on this sector.

Firm-by-firm track record on Timken

Here the hit rate is measured <b>on this stock specifically</b> (matured targets replayed against real prices, minimum 5 calls tested) — the green block above measures reliability <b>across the whole sector</b>, which is the criterion behind JPI selections. “Aims for” = the firm's most recent target on this stock; “—” means it hasn't published one recently.

Firm	% right	Gain vs sector	Calls	Aims for
Citigroup	86 %	+41.2 %	7	$160 +28%
Evercore ISI Group	100 %	+28.1 %	6	$157 +26%
Keybanc	50 %	+13.3 %	16	$160 +28%
Oppenheimer	50 %	+9.9 %	8	$150 +20%
Jefferies	46 %	+8.1 %	13	$70 -44%
B of A Securities	45 %	-2.1 %	11	$85 -32%
Stifel	60 %	-0.6 %	10	—

In short — Should you invest in Timken? Is it too late, still worth it? Analysts are fairly positive (75% buy, median target $154, i.e. +23%). We give you both sides, with the numbers — not advice.

✅ Reasons to believe

75% of analysts rate it a buy (Buy consensus, 8 ratings) — a sign of market conviction.
Median price target $154, i.e. +23% from the current price ($125).

⚠️ Reasons to hesitate

Even the most reliable firm on TKR, Morgan Stanley (100% hit rate, 2 scored calls), only targets $119 (call made on March 30, 2026, maturing on March 30, 2027) (-4%) in its most recent call, and $116 (call made on February 10, 2026, maturing on February 10, 2027) (-7%) in the one coming due soonest. The stock may already have run past its target.
The consensus is not unanimous: of 8 ratings, 2 are neutral.
A 12-month target is not a guaranteed path: the price can fall in the meantime.

The analyst consensus on TKR

Median target $154 (+23%) · 8 ratings · Buy consensus

Strong Buy00%

Buy675%

Hold225%

Sell00%

Strong Sell00%

⚠️ Information, not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Analyst targets on a ~12-month horizon.

Frequently asked questions

Should you invest in Timken now?

We won't decide for you. The facts: 75% of analysts rate it a buy, median target $154 (+23%), and Morgan Stanley (most reliable on TKR, 100%) targets $119. Weigh that against valuation. This is not personalized advice.

Is it too late to invest in Timken?

Not according to analysts: the median target ($154) is still +23% above the current price ($125) (most reliable on TKR: Morgan Stanley, 100%). The real question isn't "too late" but the price-to-value gap and risk. Not advice.

Is Timken still worth investing in?

It depends on the gap between the price ($125) and its estimated value: analysts target $154 on median (+23%), with 75% buys (most reliable on TKR: Morgan Stanley, 100%). Cross-check with their real reliability on TKR and the cautions above. Information, not advice.

What's the main risk in buying TKR?

Even the most reliable firm on TKR, Morgan Stanley (100% hit rate, 2 scored calls), only targets $119 (call made on March 30, 2026, maturing on March 30, 2027) (-4%) in its most recent call, and $116 (call made on February 10, 2026, maturing on February 10, 2027) (-7%) in the one coming due soonest. The stock may already have run past its target.

→ Go deeper: the full Timken profile (consensus, analyst reliability, price target, performance).